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Cavaliers at Hawks

NBA · Thursday, Oct 29 · 7:00 PM CT · State Farm Arena · Final CLE 111 – ATL 114
← NBA / Oct 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE28163829111
ATL16304325114
Team box
CLE·ATL
38-87
field goals
42-95
13-42
3-pointers
17-43
22-29
free throws
13-18
45
rebounds
53
26
assists
34
9
turnovers
11
46
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Onyeka OkongwuATL3329122
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerATL312531
James HardenCLE362454
Donovan MitchellCLE332233
Aaron WigginsATL242073
Jalen JohnsonATL341787

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ATL +15
CLE +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ATL 11 · CLE 15lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 49%, ATL 51% · Updated Oct 29

Expected margin
ATL by 1.0
Expected score
ATL 119.0 – 118.0 CLE
Expected total
237.1
CavaliersThe matchupHawks
+106Our fair odds−106
118.0Expected points119.0
+0.39Power rating+0.28
119.8Points / game120.2
117.8Allowed / game115.2
47.0FG%47.2
35.83P%35.2
47.0Rebounds / game41.4
3−1Season record2−3
4−6Last 104−6
Khalifa Diop · Meleek Thomas
Nae'Qwan Tomlin · Tristan EnarunaOutHenri Veesaar · Jalen Wilson
Keshon Gilbert · Mouhamed Gueye
RayJ Dennis

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · ATL chance
Our model fair48.6%51.4%
Kalshi50.7%53.7%
Polymarket US50.7%53.7%
ProphetX49.1%53.1%
Novig48.5%52.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 7:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:57 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:58 PM CT
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers+10649%−10350.7%−10350.7%+10449.1%+10648.5%
ATLAtlanta Hawks−10651%−11653.7%−11653.7%−11353.1%−10852.0%
SpreadATL by 1.0
CLECleveland Cavaliers+1our margin+1.5 −11252.7%+1.5 −11252.7%+1.5 −10551.2%+1.5 −10250.5%
ATLAtlanta Hawks−1our margin−1.5 −10751.8%−1.5 −10751.7%−1.5 −10451.0%−1.5 +10050.0%
Totalwe expect 237.1
Over237.1our totalo237.5 −11252.7%o237.5 −11252.7%o237.5 −10751.7%o237.5 −10451.0%
Under237.1our totalu237.5 −10751.8%u237.5 −10751.7%u237.5 −10350.8%u237.5 +10249.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Atlanta Hawks by 1.0 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%
← CLE wins byATL wins by →
Atlanta Hawks wins by 5 or more43%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 10 or more29%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.1 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.567%
Total over 237.548%
Total over 247.530%
Total from 228 to 24738%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GPeyton Watsonstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Atlanta Hawks
GCJ McCollumstarted
GNickeil Alexander-Walkerstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FOnyeka Okongwustarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·ATL
Oct 28 vs WSH
last game
Oct 28 vs MIA
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 29, 7:30 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEKhalifa Diop · g league - on assignmentOut
CLEMeleek Thomas · right foot inflammation / sorenessOut
CLENae'Qwan Tomlin · low back stress reactionOut
CLETristan Enaruna · g league - two-wayOut
Atlanta Hawks
ATLHenri Veesaar · right acl tearOut
ATLJalen Wilson · g league - two-wayOut
ATLKeshon Gilbert · g league - two-wayOut
ATLMouhamed Gueye · left foot fractureOut
ATLRayJ Dennis · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
CLE·ATL
+0.39
rating (0 = average)
+0.28
119.8
points / game
120.2
117.8
points allowed / game
115.2
3−1
season record
2−3
3−0
home record
0−2
0−1
away record
2−1
W3
streak
L3
4−6
last 10
4−6
47.0
FG%
47.2
35.8
3P%
35.2
47.0
rebounds / game
41.4
26.2
assists / game
32.2
17.2
turnovers / game
14.4
49.0
points in paint / game
56.0

Rating Trend

CLE · ATL · 9 days
Cleveland CavaliersAtlanta Hawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ATL 5−5
Apr 10at ATLATL 124 − 102
Apr 8at CLECLE 122 − 116
Nov 28, 2025at ATLATL 130 − 123
Nov 2, 2025at CLECLE 117 − 109
Jan 30, 2025at CLECLE 137 − 115
Nov 29, 2024at ATLATL 117 − 101
Nov 27, 2024at CLEATL 135 − 124
Mar 6, 2024at ATLATL 112 − 101
Jan 20, 2024at ATLCLE 116 − 95
Dec 16, 2023at CLECLE 127 − 119

CLE · Last 10

4−6 · streak W3
Oct 28vs WSH121 − 111W
Oct 26vs MIN127 − 125W
Oct 24vs BKN125 − 121W
Oct 22at PHI106 − 114L
May 25vs NY93 − 130L
May 23vs NY108 − 121L
May 21at NY93 − 109L
May 19at NY104 − 115L
May 17at DET125 − 94W
May 15vs DET94 − 115L

ATL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Oct 28vs MIA117 − 129L
Oct 26at HOU110 − 120L
Oct 24vs HOU114 − 121L
Oct 23at CHA128 − 81W
Oct 21at ORL132 − 125W
Apr 30vs NY89 − 140L
Apr 28at NY97 − 126L
Apr 25vs NY98 − 114L
Apr 23vs NY109 − 108W
Apr 20at NY107 − 106W