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Celtics at Magic

NBA · Sunday, Nov 1 · 2:30 PM CT · Kia Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 1

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
BOS by 6.1
Expected score
BOS 113.3 – 107.3 ORL
Expected total
220.6
CelticsThe matchupMagic
−182Our fair odds+182
113.3Expected points107.3
+0.77Power rating+0.01
119.8Points / game107.0
111.8Allowed / game119.5
46.2FG%44.0
38.23P%31.2
44.2Rebounds / game41.2
3−1Season record1−3
5−5Last 103−7
Devin Carter GOutIzaiyah Nelson F · Jalen Suggs G
Jonathan Isaac F · Noah Penda F
Paolo Banchero F

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · ORL chance
Our model fair64.6%35.4%
Kalshi69.5%34.5%
Polymarket US67.6%36.6%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:18 AM CTPolymarket US4:17 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−18265%−22869.5%−20867.6%——
ORLOrlando Magic+18235%+18934.5%+17336.6%——
SpreadBOS by 6.1
BOSBoston Celtics−6.1our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic+6.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.6
Over220.6our total————
Under220.6our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 6.1 expected
Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%
← BOS wins byORL wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more57%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more41%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.6 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.569%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.530%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitelast game
GJordan Walshlast game
FPaul Georgelast game
FJayson Tatumlast game
CMitchell Robinsonlast game
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banelast game
GAnthony Blacklast game
GJase Richardsonlast game
FFranz Wagnerlast game
CWendell Carter Jr.last game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·ORL
Oct 30 vs CHI
last game
Oct 30 at TOR
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Boston Celtics
BOSDevin Carter G · illnessOut
Orlando Magic
ORLIzaiyah Nelson FOut
ORLJalen Suggs G · right knee, back about Nov 10Out
ORLJonathan Isaac F · left knee, back about Nov 10Out
ORLNoah Penda F · right hamstring, back about Nov 18Out
ORLPaolo Banchero F · right ankle sprain, back about Nov 22Out

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
BOS·ORL
+0.77
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
119.8
points / game
107.0
111.8
points allowed / game
119.5
3−1
season record
1−3
3−0
home record
0−2
0−1
away record
1−1
W3
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
3−7
46.2
FG%
44.0
38.2
3P%
31.2
44.2
rebounds / game
41.2
27.8
assists / game
26.0
16.0
turnovers / game
18.0
42.5
points in paint / game
45.0

Rating Trend

BOS · ORL · 10 days
Boston CelticsOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 3−7
Apr 12at BOSBOS 113 − 108
Nov 23, 2025at BOSBOS 138 − 129
Nov 9, 2025at ORLBOS 111 − 107
Nov 7, 2025at ORLORL 123 − 110
Apr 29, 2025at BOSBOS 120 − 89post
Apr 27, 2025at ORLBOS 107 − 98post
Apr 25, 2025at ORLORL 95 − 93post
Apr 23, 2025at BOSBOS 109 − 100post
Apr 20, 2025at BOSBOS 103 − 86post
Apr 9, 2025at ORLORL 96 − 76

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Oct 27vs BKN125 − 124W
Oct 26vs CHI134 − 99W
Oct 23vs NY107 − 103W
Oct 20at DET113 − 121L
May 2vs PHI100 − 109L
Apr 30at PHI93 − 106L
Apr 28vs PHI97 − 113L
Apr 26at PHI128 − 96W
Apr 24at PHI108 − 100W
Apr 21vs PHI97 − 111L

ORL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 28at TOR99 − 129L
Oct 25at NY111 − 102W
Oct 23vs MIN93 − 115L
Oct 21vs ATL125 − 132L
May 3at DET94 − 116L
May 1vs DET79 − 93L
Apr 29at DET109 − 116L
Apr 27vs DET94 − 88W
Apr 25vs DET113 − 105W
Apr 22at DET83 − 98L