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Nets at Celtics

NBA · Tuesday, Oct 27 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final BKN 124 – BOS 125
← NBA / Oct 27

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
BKN313021357124
BOS263030318125
Team box
BKN·BOS
45-97
field goals
42-93
17-50
3-pointers
11-41
17-22
free throws
30-38
48
rebounds
47
26
assists
32
16
turnovers
14
46
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jayson TatumBOS424058
Michael Porter Jr.BKN4027122
Julius RandleBKN442494
Paul GeorgeBOS362077
Mikel Brown Jr.BKN281755
Derrick WhiteBOS331657

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +8
BKN +8
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: BOS 8 · BKN 8lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 14%, BOS 86% · Updated Oct 27

Expected margin
BOS by 15.7
Expected score
BOS 118.2 – 102.5 BKN
Expected total
220.7
NetsThe matchupCeltics
+614Our fair odds−614
102.5Expected points118.2
−1.31Power rating+0.81
111.0Points / game118.0
123.7Allowed / game107.7
42.0FG%46.7
37.73P%42.0
42.0Rebounds / game43.3
0−3Season record2−1
2−8Last 105−5
Ben Saraf · Drake Powell
Grant Nelson · Joshua Jefferson
Tyler BilodeauOutDevin Carter

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · BOS chance
Our model fair14.0%86.0%
Kalshi14.8%87.8%
Polymarket US14.8%87.8%
ProphetX15.4%86.9%
Novig14.0%86.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:30 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:29 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:28 PM CT
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+61414%+57414.8%+57414.8%+54815.4%+61414.0%
BOSBoston Celtics−61486%−71987.8%−71987.8%−66586.9%−64186.5%
SpreadBOS by 15.7
BKNBrooklyn Nets+15.7our margin+13.5 −11252.7%+13.5 −11252.7%+13.5 −10852.0%+13.5 −10250.5%
BOSBoston Celtics−15.7our margin−13.5 −11252.7%−13.5 −10751.7%−13.5 −10350.8%−13.5 +10050.0%
Totalwe expect 220.7
Over220.7our totalo224.5 −10350.7%o223.5 −10751.7%o224.5 +10449.1%o224.5 +10449.0%
Under220.7our totalu224.5 −11653.7%u223.5 −11252.7%u224.5 −11453.3%u224.5 −11152.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 15.7 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 53 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← BKN wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more80%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more67%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more52%
Within 5 points either way15%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.7 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.570%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.530%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GEgor Deminstarted
GNolan Traorestarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
CDay'Ron Sharpestarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJordan Walshstarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FJayson Tatumstarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·BOS
Oct 25 vs IND
last game
Oct 26 vs CHI
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 27, 1:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNDrake Powell · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNGrant Nelson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNJoshua Jefferson · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNTyler Bilodeau · g league - two-wayOut
Boston Celtics
BOSDevin Carter · illnessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
BKN·BOS
−1.31
rating (0 = average)
+0.81
111.0
points / game
118.0
123.7
points allowed / game
107.7
0−3
season record
2−1
0−2
home record
2−0
0−1
away record
0−1
L3
streak
W2
2−8
last 10
5−5
42.0
FG%
46.7
37.7
3P%
42.0
42.0
rebounds / game
43.3
23.3
assists / game
26.3
18.7
turnovers / game
16.7
38.0
points in paint / game
39.3

Rating Trend

BKN · BOS · 7 days
Brooklyn NetsBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 9−1
Feb 27at BOSBOS 148 − 111
Jan 23at BKNBOS 130 − 126
Nov 21, 2025at BOSBKN 113 − 105
Nov 18, 2025at BKNBOS 113 − 99
Mar 18, 2025at BOSBOS 104 − 96
Mar 15, 2025at BKNBOS 115 − 113
Nov 13, 2024at BKNBOS 139 − 114
Nov 8, 2024at BOSBOS 108 − 104
Feb 14, 2024at BOSBOS 136 − 86
Feb 13, 2024at BKNBOS 118 − 110

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L6
Oct 25vs IND109 − 136L
Oct 24at CLE121 − 125L
Oct 21vs CHA103 − 110L
Apr 12at TOR101 − 136L
Apr 10at MIL108 − 125L
Apr 9vs IND94 − 123L
Apr 7vs MIL96 − 90W
Apr 5vs WSH121 − 115W
Apr 3vs ATL107 − 141L
Mar 31vs CHA86 − 117L

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Oct 26vs CHI134 − 99W
Oct 23vs NY107 − 103W
Oct 20at DET113 − 121L
May 2vs PHI100 − 109L
Apr 30at PHI93 − 106L
Apr 28vs PHI97 − 113L
Apr 26at PHI128 − 96W
Apr 24at PHI108 − 100W
Apr 21vs PHI97 − 111L
Apr 19vs PHI123 − 91W