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Pacers at Nets

NBA · Sunday, Oct 25 · 5:00 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final IND 136 – BKN 109
← NBA / Oct 25

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
IND24413734136
BKN26302429109
Team box
IND·BKN
49-85
field goals
35-86
21-43
3-pointers
13-39
17-22
free throws
26-37
40
rebounds
40
34
assists
25
15
turnovers
15
56
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese HaliburtonIND3124410
Pascal SiakamIND262176
Nolan TraoreBKN251725
Obi ToppinIND201662
Josh MinottBKN211582
Jay HuffIND211423

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +27
IND +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 6 · IND 27lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was IND 61%, BKN 39% · Updated Oct 25

Expected margin
IND by 4.0
Expected score
IND 117.3 – 113.2 BKN
Expected total
230.5
PacersThe matchupNets
−156Our fair odds+156
117.3Expected points113.2
−0.85Power rating−1.15
114.0Points / game112.0
120.5Allowed / game117.5
48.0FG%42.5
26.03P%40.0
42.5Rebounds / game43.0
1−1Season record0−2
4−6Last 103−7
Ben Sheppard · Braden Smith
Johnny Furphy · Kobe Brown
T.J. McConnellOutMikel Brown Jr. · Tyler Bilodeau

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
IND chance · BKN chance
Our model fair61.0%39.0%
Kalshi67.6%36.6%
Polymarket US67.6%36.6%
ProphetX66.0%36.3%
Novig66.0%34.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 5:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 4:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 4:58 PM CTNovigpre-game · 4:58 PM CT
Moneyline
INDIndiana Pacers−15661%−20867.6%−20867.6%−19466.0%−19466.0%
BKNBrooklyn Nets+15639%+17336.6%+17336.6%+17636.3%+19034.5%
SpreadIND by 4.0
INDIndiana Pacers−4our margin−5.5 −11653.7%−5.5 −11653.7%−5.5 −11152.7%−5.5 −10852.0%
BKNBrooklyn Nets+4our margin+5.5 −10350.7%+5.5 −10350.7%+5.5 −10050.0%+5.5 +10648.5%
Totalwe expect 230.5
Over230.5our totalo232.5 −10751.8%o232.5 −10751.7%o232.5 −10651.5%o232.5 +10050.0%
Under230.5our totalu232.5 −11252.7%u232.5 −11252.7%u232.5 −10551.2%u232.5 −10451.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Indiana Pacers by 4.0 expected
Indiana Pacers by 45 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%
← IND wins byBKN wins by →
Indiana Pacers wins by 5 or more51%
Indiana Pacers wins by 10 or more36%
Indiana Pacers wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.5 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.549%
Total over 240.530%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Indiana Pacers
GAndrew Nembhardstarted
GAaron Nesmithstarted
GTyrese Haliburtonstarted
FPascal Siakamstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GKeon Ellisstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
CDay'Ron Sharpestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
IND·BKN
Oct 23 vs DAL
last game
Oct 24 at CLE
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 25, 5:15 PM ET
Indiana Pacers
INDBen Sheppard · left meniscus tearOut
INDBraden Smith · g league - two-wayOut
INDJohnny Furphy · right acl repair / surgeryOut
INDKobe Brown · g league - two-wayOut
INDT.J. McConnell · right hamstring strainOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNMikel Brown Jr. · back, injuryOut
BKNTyler Bilodeau · right shoulder sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
IND·BKN
−0.85
rating (0 = average)
−1.15
114.0
points / game
112.0
120.5
points allowed / game
117.5
1−1
season record
0−2
0−1
home record
0−1
1−0
away record
0−1
L1
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
3−7
48.0
FG%
42.5
26.0
3P%
40.0
42.5
rebounds / game
43.0
28.0
assists / game
22.5
17.0
turnovers / game
20.5
62.0
points in paint / game
37.0

Rating Trend

IND · BKN · 5 days
Indiana PacersBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 3−7
Apr 9at BKNIND 123 − 94
Feb 11at BKNIND 115 − 110
Nov 5, 2025at INDBKN 112 − 103
Mar 22, 2025at INDIND 108 − 103
Mar 20, 2025at INDIND 105 − 99
Jan 6, 2025at BKNIND 113 − 99
Dec 4, 2024at BKNBKN 99 − 90
Apr 3, 2024at BKNBKN 115 − 111
Apr 1, 2024at INDIND 133 − 111
Mar 16, 2024at INDIND 121 − 100

IND · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 23vs DAL105 − 121L
Oct 21at NO123 − 120W
Apr 12vs DET121 − 133L
Apr 10vs PHI94 − 105L
Apr 9at BKN123 − 94W
Apr 7vs MIN104 − 124L
Apr 5at CLE108 − 117L
Apr 3at CHA108 − 129L
Apr 1at CHI145 − 126W
Mar 29vs MIA135 − 118W

BKN · Last 10

3−7 · streak L5
Oct 24at CLE121 − 125L
Oct 21vs CHA103 − 110L
Apr 12at TOR101 − 136L
Apr 10at MIL108 − 125L
Apr 9vs IND94 − 123L
Apr 7vs MIL96 − 90W
Apr 5vs WSH121 − 115W
Apr 3vs ATL107 − 141L
Mar 31vs CHA86 − 117L
Mar 29vs SAC116 − 99W