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Nets at Bucks

NBA · Friday, Apr 10 · 7:00 PM CT · Fiserv Forum · Final BKN 108 – MIL 125
← NBA / Apr 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN24303024108
MIL38283326125
Team box
BKN·MIL
38-84
field goals
45-81
18-45
3-pointers
24-48
14-16
free throws
11-16
37
rebounds
44
28
assists
36
11
turnovers
17
30
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
AJ GreenMIL413554
Cormac RyanMIL342853
Tyson EtienneBKN322342
Malachi SmithBKN4319810
Taurean PrinceMIL3518105
Ben SarafBKN411533

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIL +23
BKN +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIL 23 · BKN 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 30%, MIL 70% · Updated Apr 10

Expected margin
MIL by 7.6
Expected score
MIL 112.5 – 104.9 BKN
Expected total
217.3
NetsThe matchupBucks
+238Our fair odds−238
104.9Expected points112.5
−1.08Power rating−0.42
106.0Points / game110.5
115.5Allowed / game116.8
44.4FG%47.6
34.13P%38.8
39.4Rebounds / game40.6
20−60Season record31−49
3−7Last 102−8
Danny Wolf · Day'Ron Sharpe
Drake Powell · Egor Demin
Josh MinottOut (5 each)Bobby Portis · Gary Trent Jr.
Giannis Antetokounmpo · Kevin Porter Jr.
Pete Nance

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · MIL chance
Our model fair29.6%70.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+23830%————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−23870%————
SpreadMIL by 7.6
BKNBrooklyn Nets+7.6our margin————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−7.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 217.3
Over217.3our total————
Under217.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Milwaukee Bucks by 7.6 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 43 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 44 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 45 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 46 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 47 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 48 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 49 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 50 points: <1%
← BKN wins byMIL wins by →
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 5 or more60%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 10 or more45%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 15 or more31%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

217.3 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 207.569%
Total over 217.549%
Total over 227.530%
Total from 208 to 22739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GMalachi Smithstarted
GTyson Etiennestarted
GBen Sarafstarted
FTrevon Scottstarted
FE.J. Liddellstarted
Milwaukee Bucks
GCormac Ryanstarted
GAJ Greenstarted
FTaurean Princestarted
FOusmane Diengstarted
CMyles Turnerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·MIL
Apr 9 vs IND
last game
Apr 8 at DET
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 10, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNDanny Wolf · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNDay'Ron Sharpe · left thumb; surgeryOut
BKNDrake Powell · left knee; injury managementOut
BKNEgor Demin · left plantar fascia; injury managementOut
BKNJosh Minott · left ankle; sorenessOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNNic Claxton · right fifth finger; sprainOut
BKNNoah Clowney · left ankle; injury managementOut
BKNTerance Mann · right patella; tendinosisOut
BKNZiaire Williams · left foot; tenosynovitis / bursitisOut
Milwaukee Bucks
MILBobby Portis · left wrist; sprainOut
MILGary Trent Jr. · oblique muscle; strain (internal)Out
MILGiannis Antetokounmpo · left knee; hyperextension; bone bruiseOut
MILKevin Porter Jr. · right knee; surgeryOut
MILPete Nance · right knee; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 80+ games
BKN·MIL
−1.08
rating (0 = average)
−0.42
106.0
points / game
110.5
115.5
points allowed / game
116.8
20−60
season record
31−49
12−29
home record
18−22
8−31
away record
13−27
L1
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
2−8
44.4
FG%
47.6
34.1
3P%
38.8
39.4
rebounds / game
40.6
25.0
assists / game
25.7
15.8
turnovers / game
15.1
44.3
points in paint / game
41.8

Rating Trend

BKN · MIL · 157 days
Brooklyn NetsMilwaukee Bucks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIL 5−5
Apr 7at BKNBKN 96 − 90
Dec 14, 2025at BKNBKN 127 − 82
Nov 29, 2025at MILMIL 116 − 99
Jan 2, 2025at MILBKN 113 − 110
Dec 26, 2024at MILBKN 111 − 105
Dec 8, 2024at BKNMIL 118 − 113
Oct 27, 2024at BKNBKN 115 − 102
Mar 21, 2024at MILMIL 115 − 108
Dec 27, 2023at BKNMIL 144 − 122
Nov 6, 2023at BKNMIL 129 − 125

BKN · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Apr 9vs IND94 − 123L
Apr 7vs MIL96 − 90W
Apr 5vs WSH121 − 115W
Apr 3vs ATL107 − 141L
Mar 31vs CHA86 − 117L
Mar 29vs SAC116 − 99W
Mar 27at LAL99 − 116L
Mar 25at GS106 − 109L
Mar 23at POR99 − 134L
Mar 22at SAC122 − 126L

MIL · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Apr 8at DET111 − 137L
Apr 7at BKN90 − 96L
Apr 5vs MEM131 − 115W
Apr 3vs BOS101 − 133L
Apr 1at HOU113 − 119L
Mar 31vs DAL123 − 99W
Mar 29vs LAC113 − 127L
Mar 28vs SA95 − 127L
Mar 25at POR99 − 130L
Mar 23at LAC96 − 129L