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Bulls at Celtics

NBA · Monday, Oct 26 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final CHI 99 – BOS 134
← NBA / Oct 26

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI2133212499
BOS33333929134
Team box
CHI·BOS
33-84
field goals
46-93
12-44
3-pointers
21-44
21-31
free throws
21-29
40
rebounds
54
20
assists
26
25
turnovers
25
30
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Payton PritchardBOS222814
Jayson TatumBOS282376
Norman PowellCHI242012
Caleb WilsonCHI321753
Paul GeorgeBOS251652
Hugo GonzalezBOS241352

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +40
CHI +40
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 40 · CHI 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 16%, BOS 84% · Updated Oct 26

Expected margin
BOS by 14.5
Expected score
BOS 123.2 – 108.7 CHI
Expected total
232.0
BullsThe matchupCeltics
+533Our fair odds−533
108.7Expected points123.2
−0.75Power rating+0.74
114.7Points / game110.0
128.0Allowed / game112.0
40.7FG%45.5
22.03P%39.0
48.3Rebounds / game38.0
1−2Season record1−1
3−7Last 105−5
Nic Claxton · Patrick WilliamsOutDevin Carter

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · BOS chance
Our model fair15.8%84.2%
Kalshi14.8%87.8%
Polymarket US14.8%87.8%
ProphetX15.6%86.6%
Novig14.5%86.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:30 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:29 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:28 PM CT
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+53316%+57414.8%+57414.8%+54115.6%+59014.5%
BOSBoston Celtics−53384%−71987.8%−71987.8%−64586.6%−61486.0%
SpreadBOS by 14.5
CHIChicago Bulls+14.5our margin+14.5 −11252.7%+14.5 −11252.7%+14.5 −10952.2%+14.5 −10451.0%
BOSBoston Celtics−14.5our margin−14.5 −10751.8%−14.5 −10751.7%−14.5 −10250.5%−14.5 +10050.0%
Totalwe expect 232.0
Over232.0our totalo233.5 −10751.8%o233.5 −10751.7%o233.5 −10350.8%o233.5 +10050.0%
Under232.0our totalu233.5 −11252.7%u233.5 −11252.7%u233.5 −10852.0%u233.5 −10451.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 14.5 expected
Chicago Bulls by 53 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← CHI wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more77%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more64%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more49%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.0 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.550%
Total over 241.531%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GNorman Powellstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
FCaleb Wilsonstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJordan Walshstarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FJayson Tatumstarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·BOS
Oct 24 vs WSH
last game
Oct 23 vs NY
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 26, 5:30 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHINic Claxton · left hamstring strainOut
CHIPatrick Williams · right adductor / groin soreness / tightnessOut
Boston Celtics
BOSDevin Carter · illnessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
CHI·BOS
−0.75
rating (0 = average)
+0.74
114.7
points / game
110.0
128.0
points allowed / game
112.0
1−2
season record
1−1
0−1
home record
1−0
1−1
away record
0−1
L1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
5−5
40.7
FG%
45.5
22.0
3P%
39.0
48.3
rebounds / game
38.0
23.3
assists / game
26.5
17.7
turnovers / game
12.5
52.0
points in paint / game
36.0

Rating Trend

CHI · BOS · 6 days
Chicago BullsBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 8−2
Feb 11at BOSBOS 124 − 105
Jan 24at CHICHI 114 − 111
Jan 5at BOSBOS 115 − 101
Jan 29, 2025at BOSBOS 122 − 100
Dec 21, 2024at CHIBOS 123 − 98
Dec 19, 2024at BOSCHI 117 − 108
Nov 29, 2024at CHIBOS 138 − 129
Mar 23, 2024at CHIBOS 124 − 113
Feb 22, 2024at CHIBOS 129 − 112
Nov 28, 2023at BOSBOS 124 − 97

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 24vs WSH120 − 124L
Oct 23at MIL132 − 125W
Oct 21at TOR92 − 135L
Apr 12at DAL128 − 149L
Apr 10vs ORL103 − 127L
Apr 9at WSH119 − 108W
Apr 7at WSH129 − 98W
Apr 5vs PHX110 − 120L
Apr 3at NY96 − 136L
Apr 1vs IND126 − 145L

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 23vs NY107 − 103W
Oct 20at DET113 − 121L
May 2vs PHI100 − 109L
Apr 30at PHI93 − 106L
Apr 28vs PHI97 − 113L
Apr 26at PHI128 − 96W
Apr 24at PHI108 − 100W
Apr 21vs PHI97 − 111L
Apr 19vs PHI123 − 91W
Apr 12vs ORL113 − 108W