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Wizards at Magic

NBA · Monday, Nov 2 · 6:30 PM CT · Kia Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 2

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
ORL by 5.1
Expected score
ORL 119.4 – 114.4 WSH
Expected total
233.8
WizardsThe matchupMagic
+179Our fair odds−179
114.4Expected points119.4
−1.16Power rating+0.01
113.6Points / game107.0
115.8Allowed / game119.5
47.8FG%44.0
28.03P%31.2
40.0Rebounds / game41.2
2−3Season record1−3
2−8Last 103−7
Jamir Watkins G · Justin Champagnie F
Tristan Vukcevic FOutIzaiyah Nelson F · Jalen Suggs G
Jonathan Isaac F · Noah Penda F
Paolo Banchero F

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · ORL chance
Our model fair35.9%64.1%
Kalshi46.7%61.7%
Polymarket US43.7%62.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:27 AM CTPolymarket US4:27 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+17936%+11446.7%+12943.7%——
ORLOrlando Magic−17964%−16161.7%−16862.7%——
SpreadORL by 5.1
WSHWashington Wizards+5.1our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−5.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.8
Over233.8our total————
Under233.8our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 5.1 expected
Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%
← WSH wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more54%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more39%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.8 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.550%
Total over 243.531%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Washington Wizards
GTrae Younglast game
FAnthony Davislast game
FAJ Dybantsalast game
FKyshawn Georgelast game
CAlex Sarrlast game
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banelast game
GAnthony Blacklast game
GJase Richardsonlast game
FFranz Wagnerlast game
CWendell Carter Jr.last game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·ORL
Oct 30 vs CHA
last game
Oct 30 at TOR
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Washington Wizards
WSHJamir Watkins GOut
WSHJustin Champagnie F · right foot, back about Feb 25, 2027Out
WSHTristan Vukcevic F · left hip, back about Nov 2Out
WSHTre Johnson G · right achilles sorenessDay-to-day
Orlando Magic
ORLIzaiyah Nelson FOut
ORLJalen Suggs G · right knee, back about Nov 10Out
ORLJonathan Isaac F · left knee, back about Nov 10Out
ORLNoah Penda F · right hamstring, back about Nov 18Out
ORLPaolo Banchero F · right ankle sprain, back about Nov 22Out

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
WSH·ORL
−1.16
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
113.6
points / game
107.0
115.8
points allowed / game
119.5
2−3
season record
1−3
1−1
home record
0−2
1−2
away record
1−1
L2
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
3−7
47.8
FG%
44.0
28.0
3P%
31.2
40.0
rebounds / game
41.2
25.8
assists / game
26.0
14.8
turnovers / game
18.0
57.2
points in paint / game
45.0

Rating Trend

WSH · ORL · 10 days
Washington WizardsOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 9−1
Mar 12at ORLORL 136 − 131
Mar 3at ORLORL 126 − 109
Jan 6at WSHWSH 120 − 112
Nov 1, 2025at WSHORL 125 − 94
Apr 3, 2025at WSHORL 109 − 97
Mar 21, 2025at WSHORL 120 − 105
Feb 23, 2025at ORLORL 110 − 90
Nov 10, 2024at ORLORL 121 − 94
Mar 6, 2024at WSHORL 119 − 109
Dec 26, 2023at WSHORL 127 − 119

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Oct 28at CLE111 − 121L
Oct 26at CHA103 − 110L
Oct 24at CHI124 − 120W
Oct 23vs TOR102 − 112L
Oct 21vs MIL128 − 116W
Apr 12at CLE117 − 130L
Apr 10vs MIA117 − 140L
Apr 9vs CHI108 − 119L
Apr 7vs CHI98 − 129L
Apr 5at BKN115 − 121L

ORL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 28at TOR99 − 129L
Oct 25at NY111 − 102W
Oct 23vs MIN93 − 115L
Oct 21vs ATL125 − 132L
May 3at DET94 − 116L
May 1vs DET79 − 93L
Apr 29at DET109 − 116L
Apr 27vs DET94 − 88W
Apr 25vs DET113 − 105W
Apr 22at DET83 − 98L