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76ers at Pistons

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 4 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 4

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
DET by 7.3
Expected score
DET 112.7 – 105.3 PHI
Expected total
218.0
76ersThe matchupPistons
+214Our fair odds−214
105.3Expected points112.7
+0.16Power rating+0.86
110.8Points / game109.8
107.4Allowed / game103.4
43.0FG%46.0
31.63P%37.8
42.2Rebounds / game46.8
4−1Season record4−1
5−5Last 105−5
Ariel Hukporti C · Dominick Barlow F
Jabari Walker F · Tacko Fall COutIsaiah Joe G · Jalen Duren C

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · DET chance
Our model fair31.9%68.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+21432%————
DETDetroit Pistons−21468%————
SpreadDET by 7.3
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+7.3our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−7.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 218.0
Over218.0our total————
Under218.0our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 7.3 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 50 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 49 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 50 points: <1%
← PHI wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more60%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more44%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

218.0 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 208.568%
Total over 218.548%
Total over 228.529%
Total from 209 to 22839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Philadelphia 76ers
GJaylen Brownlast game
GTyrese Maxeylast game
GVJ Edgecombelast game
FLeBron Jameslast game
CJoel Embiidlast game
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamlast game
GAusar Thompsonlast game
FDuncan Robinsonlast game
FJohn Collinslast game
FPaul Reedlast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·DET
Oct 30 vs NY
last game
Oct 30 at BKN
4 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIAriel Hukporti C · right achilles ruptured, back about Oct 1, 2027Out
PHIDominick Barlow F · backOut
PHIJabari Walker F · left knee sorenessOut
PHITacko Fall C · left quadriceps strain, back about Nov 4Out
PHIJaylen Brown G · kneeDay-to-day
Detroit Pistons
DETIsaiah Joe G · right hip bruiseOut
DETJalen Duren C · right hamstring strain, back about Nov 9Out

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
PHI·DET
+0.16
rating (0 = average)
+0.86
110.8
points / game
109.8
107.4
points allowed / game
103.4
4−1
season record
4−1
2−1
home record
2−0
2−0
away record
2−1
W1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
5−5
43.0
FG%
46.0
31.6
3P%
37.8
42.2
rebounds / game
46.8
24.6
assists / game
27.0
13.4
turnovers / game
16.4
43.6
points in paint / game
42.4

Rating Trend

PHI · DET · 10 days
Philadelphia 76ersDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 7−3
Oct 25at PHIDET 106 − 93
Apr 4at PHIDET 116 − 93
Mar 12at DETDET 131 − 109
Nov 14, 2025at DETDET 114 − 105
Nov 9, 2025at PHIDET 111 − 108
Feb 7, 2025at DETDET 125 − 112
Nov 30, 2024at DETPHI 111 − 96
Oct 30, 2024at PHIDET 105 − 95
Apr 9, 2024at PHIPHI 120 − 102
Dec 15, 2023at PHIPHI 124 − 92

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28at IND114 − 109W
Oct 25vs DET93 − 106L
Oct 24vs MIL127 − 116W
Oct 22vs CLE114 − 106W
Oct 20at NY106 − 100W
May 10vs NY114 − 144L
May 8vs NY94 − 108L
May 6at NY102 − 108L
May 4at NY98 − 137L
May 2at BOS109 − 100W

DET · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28vs CHA97 − 89W
Oct 27at NY97 − 111L
Oct 25at PHI106 − 93W
Oct 23at MIA128 − 111W
Oct 20vs BOS121 − 113W
May 17vs CLE94 − 125L
May 15at CLE115 − 94W
May 13vs CLE113 − 117L
May 11at CLE103 − 112L
May 9at CLE109 − 116L