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Hornets at Pistons

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 28 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final CHA 89 – DET 97
← NBA / Oct 28

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA2229191989
DET2123322197
Team box
CHA·DET
31-71
field goals
34-76
12-35
3-pointers
13-33
15-19
free throws
16-20
45
rebounds
33
17
assists
26
25
turnovers
14
32
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon MillerCHA3831123
Cade CunninghamDET393057
Paul ReedDET381640
Dennis SchroderCHA341445
Daniss JenkinsDET241423
Duncan RobinsonDET321322

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +12
CHA +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 10 · CHA 12lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 30%, DET 70% · Updated Oct 28

Expected margin
DET by 6.6
Expected score
DET 110.2 – 103.6 CHA
Expected total
213.8
HornetsThe matchupPistons
+230Our fair odds−230
103.6Expected points110.2
+0.31Power rating+0.85
104.0Points / game113.0
111.0Allowed / game107.0
41.2FG%46.2
30.23P%37.5
47.8Rebounds / game50.2
3−1Season record3−1
7−3Last 105−5
Coby White · Grant Williams
Kon Knueppel · Kylan Boswell
Michael AjayiOutIsaiah Joe · Jalen Duren
Ugonna Onyenso

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · DET chance
Our model fair30.3%69.7%
Kalshi30.4%73.4%
Polymarket US30.4%73.4%
ProphetX30.4%72.0%
Novig29.0%71.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 5:59 PM CTNovigpre-game · 5:59 PM CT
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+23030%+22930.4%+22930.4%+22930.4%+24529.0%
DETDetroit Pistons−23070%−27673.4%−27673.4%−25772.0%−25171.5%
SpreadDET by 6.6
CHACharlotte Hornets+6.6our margin+7.5 −11252.7%+7.5 −11252.7%+7.5 −10952.2%+7.5 −10451.0%
DETDetroit Pistons−6.6our margin−7.5 −10751.8%−7.5 −10751.7%−7.5 −10250.5%−7.5 +10249.5%
Totalwe expect 213.8
Over213.8our totalo212.5 −11653.7%o212.5 −11252.7%o212.5 −10952.2%o212.5 −10651.5%
Under213.8our totalu212.5 −10350.7%u212.5 −10751.7%u212.5 −10250.5%u212.5 +10449.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 6.6 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%
← CHA wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more58%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more42%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

213.8 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 203.570%
Total over 213.550%
Total over 223.530%
Total from 204 to 22340%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GDennis Schroderstarted
GSion Jamesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CNaz Reidstarted
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FPaul Reedstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·DET
Oct 26 vs WSH
last game
Oct 27 at NY
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 28, 12:45 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHACoby White · left calf strainOut
CHAGrant Williams · right hamstring strainOut
CHAKon Knueppel · left hamstring strainOut
CHAKylan Boswell · g league - two-wayOut
CHAMichael Ajayi · g league - two-wayOut
Detroit Pistons
DETIsaiah Joe · right hip contusionOut
DETJalen Duren · right hamstring strainOut
DETUgonna Onyenso · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
CHA·DET
+0.31
rating (0 = average)
+0.85
104.0
points / game
113.0
111.0
points allowed / game
107.0
3−1
season record
3−1
2−1
home record
1−0
1−0
away record
2−1
W2
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
5−5
41.2
FG%
46.2
30.2
3P%
37.5
47.8
rebounds / game
50.2
21.5
assists / game
27.2
18.8
turnovers / game
17.0
42.0
points in paint / game
44.0

Rating Trend

CHA · DET · 8 days
Charlotte HornetsDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 8−2
Apr 10at CHADET 118 − 100
Feb 9at CHADET 110 − 104
Dec 20, 2025at DETDET 112 − 86
Feb 9, 2025at DETDET 112 − 102
Jan 3, 2025at DETDET 98 − 94
Nov 21, 2024at CHACHA 123 − 121
Nov 6, 2024at CHACHA 108 − 107
Mar 11, 2024at DETDET 114 − 97
Jan 24, 2024at DETDET 113 − 106
Oct 27, 2023at CHADET 111 − 99

CHA · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Oct 26vs WSH110 − 103W
Oct 24vs MIA115 − 110W
Oct 23vs ATL81 − 128L
Oct 21at BKN110 − 103W
Apr 12at NY110 − 96W
Apr 10vs DET100 − 118L
Apr 7at BOS102 − 113L
Apr 5at MIN122 − 108W
Apr 3vs IND129 − 108W
Apr 2vs PHX127 − 107W

DET · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 27at NY97 − 111L
Oct 25at PHI106 − 93W
Oct 23at MIA128 − 111W
Oct 20vs BOS121 − 113W
May 17vs CLE94 − 125L
May 15at CLE115 − 94W
May 13vs CLE113 − 117L
May 11at CLE103 − 112L
May 9at CLE109 − 116L
May 7vs CLE107 − 97W