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Pistons at Knicks

NBA · Tuesday, Oct 27 · 7:00 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final DET 97 – NY 111
← NBA / Oct 27

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET3812133497
NY25263723111
Team box
DET·NY
37-87
field goals
38-88
9-37
3-pointers
12-36
14-24
free throws
23-28
45
rebounds
49
23
assists
28
14
turnovers
18
48
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3327203
Jalen BrunsonNY362317
Paul ReedDET262293
Cade CunninghamDET361998
OG AnunobyNY361372
Landry ShametNY281323

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +27
DET +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 27 · DET 13lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 40%, NY 60% · Updated Oct 27

Expected margin
NY by 3.2
Expected score
NY 110.9 – 107.7 DET
Expected total
218.5
PistonsThe matchupKnicks
+150Our fair odds−150
107.7Expected points110.9
+0.91Power rating+0.85
118.3Points / game101.7
105.7Allowed / game108.0
47.3FG%41.0
42.03P%32.3
52.0Rebounds / game47.3
3−0Season record0−3
6−4Last 106−4
Isaiah Joe · Jalen Duren
Ugonna OnyensoOutJose Alvarado

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · NY chance
Our model fair40.0%60.0%
Kalshi41.7%63.6%
Polymarket US41.7%62.7%
ProphetX40.3%62.0%
Novig39.0%61.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 7:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:58 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:59 PM CT
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons+15040%+14041.7%+14041.7%+14840.3%+15639.0%
NYNew York Knicks−15060%−17563.6%−16862.7%−16362.0%−16061.5%
SpreadNY by 3.2
DETDetroit Pistons+3.2our margin+4.5 −11653.7%+4.5 −12154.7%+4.5 −11252.9%+4.5 −10852.0%
NYNew York Knicks−3.2our margin−4.5 −10350.7%−4.5 +10149.7%−4.5 +10349.3%−4.5 +10648.5%
Totalwe expect 218.5
Over218.5our totalo220.5 −10751.8%o220.5 −10751.7%o220.5 −10050.0%o220.5 +10249.5%
Under218.5our totalu220.5 −11252.7%u220.5 −11252.7%u220.5 −11152.7%u220.5 −10651.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 3.2 expected
Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%
← DET wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more49%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more34%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

218.5 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 208.569%
Total over 218.549%
Total over 228.530%
Total from 209 to 22839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FPaul Reedstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·NY
Oct 25 at PHI
last game
Oct 25 vs ORL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 27, 7:15 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETIsaiah Joe · right hip contusionOut
DETJalen Duren · right hamstring strainOut
DETUgonna Onyenso · g league - two-wayOut
New York Knicks
NYJose Alvarado · left ankle sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
DET·NY
+0.91
rating (0 = average)
+0.85
118.3
points / game
101.7
105.7
points allowed / game
108.0
3−0
season record
0−3
1−0
home record
0−2
2−0
away record
0−1
W3
streak
L3
6−4
last 10
6−4
47.3
FG%
41.0
42.0
3P%
32.3
52.0
rebounds / game
47.3
28.7
assists / game
24.7
18.0
turnovers / game
16.3
42.7
points in paint / game
42.0

Rating Trend

DET · NY · 7 days
Detroit PistonsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 4−6
Feb 19at NYDET 126 − 111
Feb 6at DETDET 118 − 80
Jan 5at DETDET 121 − 90
May 1, 2025at DETNY 116 − 113post
Apr 29, 2025at NYDET 106 − 103post
Apr 27, 2025at DETNY 94 − 93post
Apr 24, 2025at DETNY 118 − 116post
Apr 21, 2025at NYDET 100 − 94post
Apr 19, 2025at NYNY 123 − 112post
Apr 10, 2025at DETDET 115 − 106

DET · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Oct 25at PHI106 − 93W
Oct 23at MIA128 − 111W
Oct 20vs BOS121 − 113W
May 17vs CLE94 − 125L
May 15at CLE115 − 94W
May 13vs CLE113 − 117L
May 11at CLE103 − 112L
May 9at CLE109 − 116L
May 7vs CLE107 − 97W
May 5vs CLE111 − 101W

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak L3
Oct 25vs ORL102 − 111L
Oct 23at BOS103 − 107L
Oct 20vs PHI100 − 106L
Jun 13at SA94 − 90W
Jun 10vs SA107 − 106W
Jun 8vs SA111 − 115L
Jun 5at SA105 − 104W
Jun 3at SA105 − 95W
May 25at CLE130 − 93W
May 23at CLE121 − 108W