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Trail Blazers at Suns

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 4 · 8:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 4

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
PHX by 0.7
Expected score
PHX 113.0 – 112.3 POR
Expected total
225.3
Trail BlazersThe matchupSuns
+108Our fair odds−108
112.3Expected points113.0
+0.14Power rating+0.01
122.8Points / game109.3
114.0Allowed / game123.7
49.0FG%45.7
35.83P%31.0
46.0Rebounds / game39.7
3−1Season record1−2
5−5Last 103−7
Chris Youngblood G · Ja Morant G
Shaedon Sharpe GOutMark Williams C

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · PHX chance
Our model fair48.1%51.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+10848%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−10852%————
SpreadPHX by 0.7
PORPortland Trail Blazers+0.7our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.3
Over225.3our total————
Under225.3our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 0.7 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%
← POR wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more42%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more29%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.3 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.549%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Portland Trail Blazers
GDamian Lillardlast game
FToumani Camaralast game
FDeni Avdijalast game
CDonovan Clinganlast game
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerlast game
GJalen Greenlast game
FDillon Brookslast game
FMiles Bridgeslast game
CKhaman Maluachlast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·PHX
Oct 29 vs MEM
last game
Oct 30 vs DEN
5 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Portland Trail Blazers
PORChris Youngblood G · left ankle sorenessOut
PORJa Morant G · left hamstring, back about Dec 1Out
PORShaedon Sharpe G · right knee surgery, back about Mar 2, 2027Out
PORRobert Williams III C · left kneeDay-to-day
Phoenix Suns
PHXMark Williams C · left shoulder surgery, back about Feb 3, 2027Out
PHXOso Ighodaro F · oblique strainDay-to-day

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
POR·PHX
+0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
122.8
points / game
109.3
114.0
points allowed / game
123.7
3−1
season record
1−2
1−1
home record
1−0
2−0
away record
0−2
L1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
3−7
49.0
FG%
45.7
35.8
3P%
31.0
46.0
rebounds / game
39.7
28.8
assists / game
25.3
14.2
turnovers / game
15.3
53.0
points in paint / game
46.0

Rating Trend

POR · PHX · 10 days
Portland Trail BlazersPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 6−4
Oct 21at PORPOR 124 − 83
Feb 22at PHXPOR 92 − 77
Feb 3at PORPHX 130 − 125
Nov 18, 2025at PORPHX 127 − 110
Feb 3, 2025at PORPOR 121 − 119
Feb 1, 2025at PORPOR 127 − 108
Dec 15, 2024at PHXPHX 116 − 109
Nov 2, 2024at PHXPHX 103 − 97
Jan 14, 2024at PORPHX 127 − 116
Jan 1, 2024at PHXPHX 109 − 88

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 29vs MEM103 − 124L
Oct 27at LAL136 − 129W
Oct 23at SAC128 − 120W
Oct 21vs PHX124 − 83W
Apr 28at SA95 − 114L
Apr 26vs SA93 − 114L
Apr 24vs SA108 − 120L
Apr 21at SA106 − 103W
Apr 19at SA98 − 111L
Apr 12vs SAC122 − 110W

PHX · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 26at OKC114 − 125L
Oct 24vs GS131 − 122W
Oct 21at POR83 − 124L
Apr 27vs OKC122 − 131L
Apr 25vs OKC109 − 121L
Apr 22at OKC107 − 120L
Apr 19at OKC84 − 119L
Apr 12at OKC135 − 103W
Apr 10at LAL73 − 101L
Apr 8vs DAL112 − 107W