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Mavericks at Suns

NBA · Wednesday, Apr 8 · 9:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final DAL 107 – PHX 112
← NBA / Apr 8

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL29242727107
PHX33282724112
Team box
DAL·PHX
37-89
field goals
42-91
13-36
3-pointers
14-35
20-22
free throws
14-17
43
rebounds
46
27
assists
20
12
turnovers
10
38
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Devin BookerPHX373759
Dillon BrooksPHX332853
John PoulakidasDAL292311
Marvin Bagley IIIDAL262082
Max ChristieDAL331822
Royce O'NealePHX231441

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +18
DAL +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 18 · DAL 3lead changes: 16

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 30%, PHX 70% · Updated Apr 8

Expected margin
PHX by 7.3
Expected score
PHX 117.5 – 110.1 DAL
Expected total
227.6
MavericksThe matchupSuns
+233Our fair odds−233
110.1Expected points117.5
−0.54Power rating+0.10
113.7Points / game112.8
119.4Allowed / game111.4
46.7FG%45.6
33.73P%36.0
44.7Rebounds / game42.9
25−54Season record43−36
2−8Last 104−6
Dereck Lively II · Kyrie IrvingOut (2 each)Haywood Highsmith · Mark Williams

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · PHX chance
Our model fair30.0%70.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks+23330%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−23370%————
SpreadPHX by 7.3
DALDallas Mavericks+7.3our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−7.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.6
Over227.6our total————
Under227.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 7.3 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 50 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 49 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 48 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 47 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 46 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 45 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 47 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 48 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 49 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 50 points: <1%
← DAL wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more60%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more44%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.6 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GMax Christiestarted
GRyan Nembhardstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FMarvin Bagley IIIstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GJordan Goodwinstarted
GJalen Greenstarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CKhaman Maluachstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·PHX
Apr 7 at LAC
last game
Apr 7 vs HOU
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 8, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; surgeryOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALBrandon Williams · illness; illnessDoubtful
DALCaleb Martin · right plantar fascia; strainDoubtful
DALDaniel Gafford · right shoulder; impingementDoubtful
DALKlay Thompson · restDoubtful
DALNaji Marshall · left hip; contusionDoubtful
DALP.J. Washington · left elbow; sprainDoubtful
DALCooper Flagg · left wrist; sprainProbable
DALJohn Poulakidas · g league - two-wayProbable
and 2 more
Phoenix Suns
PHXHaywood Highsmith · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXMark Williams · left foot; injury managementOut
PHXGrayson Allen · right quadriceps; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 79+ games
DAL·PHX
−0.54
rating (0 = average)
+0.10
113.7
points / game
112.8
119.4
points allowed / game
111.4
25−54
season record
43−36
15−25
home record
24−16
10−29
away record
19−20
L1
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
4−6
46.7
FG%
45.6
33.7
3P%
36.0
44.7
rebounds / game
42.9
25.1
assists / game
24.8
14.6
turnovers / game
14.5
53.1
points in paint / game
43.0

Rating Trend

DAL · PHX · 155 days
Dallas MavericksPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 7−3
Feb 10at PHXPHX 120 − 111
Nov 12, 2025at DALPHX 123 − 114
Mar 9, 2025at DALPHX 125 − 116
Dec 27, 2024at PHXDAL 98 − 89
Nov 8, 2024at DALPHX 114 − 113
Oct 26, 2024at PHXPHX 114 − 102
Feb 22, 2024at DALDAL 123 − 113
Jan 24, 2024at DALPHX 132 − 109
Dec 25, 2023at PHXDAL 128 − 114
Mar 5, 2023at DALPHX 130 − 126

DAL · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Apr 7at LAC103 − 116L
Apr 5vs LAL134 − 128W
Apr 3vs ORL127 − 138L
Mar 31at MIL99 − 123L
Mar 30vs MIN94 − 124L
Mar 27at POR100 − 93W
Mar 25at DEN135 − 142L
Mar 23vs GS131 − 137L
Mar 21vs LAC131 − 138L
Mar 18vs ATL120 − 135L

PHX · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Apr 7vs HOU105 − 119L
Apr 5at CHI120 − 110W
Apr 2at CHA107 − 127L
Mar 31at ORL111 − 115L
Mar 30at MEM131 − 105W
Mar 28vs UTAH134 − 109W
Mar 24vs DEN123 − 125L
Mar 22vs TOR120 − 98W
Mar 21vs MIL105 − 108L
Mar 19at SA100 − 101L