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Suns at Lakers

NBA · Friday, Apr 10 · 9:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final PHX 73 – LAL 101
← NBA / Apr 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX242416973
LAL33242420101
Team box
PHX·LAL
26-77
field goals
35-69
7-40
3-pointers
8-20
14-21
free throws
23-30
47
rebounds
35
17
assists
27
23
turnovers
11
32
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
LeBron JamesLAL3228612
Luke KennardLAL281913
Rui HachimuraLAL311323
Dillon BrooksPHX211221
Royce O'NealePHX221173
Deandre AytonLAL301050

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +29
PHX +29
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 29 · PHX 1lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 39%, LAL 61% · Updated Apr 10

Expected margin
LAL by 2.9
Expected score
LAL 114.0 – 111.1 PHX
Expected total
225.2
SunsThe matchupLakers
+155Our fair odds−155
111.1Expected points114.0
+0.10Power rating+0.32
112.8Points / game116.3
111.3Allowed / game115.2
45.6FG%50.2
36.03P%35.9
42.9Rebounds / game41.0
44−36Season record51−29
5−5Last 106−4
Devin Booker · Haywood Highsmith
Jordan GoodwinOut (3 each)Austin Reaves · Jaxson Hayes
Luka Doncic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · LAL chance
Our model fair39.2%60.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns+15539%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−15561%————
SpreadLAL by 2.9
PHXPhoenix Suns+2.9our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−2.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.2
Over225.2our total————
Under225.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 2.9 expected
Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%
← PHX wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more48%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more33%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.2 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.549%
Total over 235.529%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
FRyan Dunnstarted
CMark Williamsstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GLuke Kennardstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·LAL
Apr 8 vs DAL
last game
Apr 9 at GS
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 10, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXDevin Booker · right ankle; injury managementOut
PHXHaywood Highsmith · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXJordan Goodwin · left ankle; sprainOut
PHXJalen Green · right knee; sorenessQuestionable
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAustin Reaves · left oblique; muscle strainOut
LALJaxson Hayes · left foot; injury managementOut
LALLuka Doncic · left hamstring; strainOut
LALLuke Kennard · left finger; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 80+ games
PHX·LAL
+0.10
rating (0 = average)
+0.32
112.8
points / game
116.3
111.3
points allowed / game
115.2
44−36
season record
51−29
25−16
home record
26−13
19−20
away record
25−16
W1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
6−4
45.6
FG%
50.2
36.0
3P%
35.9
42.9
rebounds / game
41.0
24.7
assists / game
25.7
14.4
turnovers / game
14.5
43.0
points in paint / game
52.0

Rating Trend

PHX · LAL · 157 days
Phoenix SunsLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 3−7
Feb 26at PHXPHX 113 − 110
Dec 23, 2025at PHXPHX 132 − 108
Dec 14, 2025at PHXLAL 116 − 114
Dec 1, 2025at LALPHX 125 − 108
Mar 16, 2025at LALLAL 107 − 96
Nov 26, 2024at PHXPHX 127 − 100
Oct 28, 2024at PHXPHX 109 − 105
Oct 25, 2024at LALLAL 123 − 116
Feb 25, 2024at PHXPHX 123 − 113
Jan 11, 2024at LALPHX 127 − 109

PHX · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Apr 8vs DAL112 − 107W
Apr 7vs HOU105 − 119L
Apr 5at CHI120 − 110W
Apr 2at CHA107 − 127L
Mar 31at ORL111 − 115L
Mar 30at MEM131 − 105W
Mar 28vs UTAH134 − 109W
Mar 24vs DEN123 − 125L
Mar 22vs TOR120 − 98W
Mar 21vs MIL105 − 108L

LAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Apr 9at GS119 − 103W
Apr 7vs OKC87 − 123L
Apr 5at DAL128 − 134L
Apr 2at OKC96 − 139L
Mar 31vs CLE127 − 113W
Mar 30vs WSH120 − 101W
Mar 27vs BKN116 − 99W
Mar 25at IND137 − 130W
Mar 23at DET110 − 113L
Mar 21at ORL105 − 104W