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76ers at Cavaliers

NBA · Friday, Nov 6 · 6:30 PM CT · Rocket Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 6

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
CLE by 3.7
Expected score
CLE 116.1 – 112.4 PHI
Expected total
228.5
76ersThe matchupCavaliers
+142Our fair odds−142
112.4Expected points116.1
+0.16Power rating+0.35
110.8Points / game118.0
107.4Allowed / game117.0
43.0FG%46.4
31.63P%34.8
42.2Rebounds / game46.6
4−1Season record3−2
5−5Last 104−6
Ariel Hukporti C · Dominick Barlow F
Jabari Walker F · Tacko Fall COut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · CLE chance
Our model fair41.3%58.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+14241%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−14259%————
SpreadCLE by 3.7
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+3.7our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−3.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.5
Over228.5our total————
Under228.5our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 3.7 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%
← PHI wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more50%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more35%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.5 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.569%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Philadelphia 76ers
GJaylen Brownlast game
GTyrese Maxeylast game
GVJ Edgecombelast game
FLeBron Jameslast game
CJoel Embiidlast game
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenlast game
GDonovan Mitchelllast game
GPeyton Watsonlast game
CJarrett Allenlast game
CEvan Mobleylast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·CLE
Oct 30 vs NY
last game
Oct 29 at ATL
6 days
days of rest
7 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
0
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIAriel Hukporti C · right achilles ruptured, back about Oct 1, 2027Out
PHIDominick Barlow F · backOut
PHIJabari Walker F · left knee sorenessOut
PHITacko Fall C · left quadriceps strainOut
PHIJaylen Brown G · kneeDay-to-day
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEMeleek Thomas G · footDay-to-day

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
PHI·CLE
+0.16
rating (0 = average)
+0.35
110.8
points / game
118.0
107.4
points allowed / game
117.0
4−1
season record
3−2
2−1
home record
3−0
2−0
away record
0−2
W1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
4−6
43.0
FG%
46.4
31.6
3P%
34.8
42.2
rebounds / game
46.6
24.6
assists / game
26.2
13.4
turnovers / game
15.6
43.6
points in paint / game
48.4

Rating Trend

PHI · CLE · 10 days
Philadelphia 76ersCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 7−3
Oct 22at PHIPHI 114 − 106
Mar 9at CLECLE 115 − 101
Jan 16at PHICLE 117 − 115
Jan 14at PHICLE 133 − 107
Nov 5, 2025at CLECLE 132 − 121
Jan 24, 2025at PHIPHI 132 − 129
Dec 21, 2024at CLECLE 126 − 99
Nov 13, 2024at PHICLE 114 − 106
Mar 29, 2024at CLECLE 117 − 114
Feb 23, 2024at PHIPHI 104 − 97

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28at IND114 − 109W
Oct 25vs DET93 − 106L
Oct 24vs MIL127 − 116W
Oct 22vs CLE114 − 106W
Oct 20at NY106 − 100W
May 10vs NY114 − 144L
May 8vs NY94 − 108L
May 6at NY102 − 108L
May 4at NY98 − 137L
May 2at BOS109 − 100W

CLE · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 29at ATL111 − 114L
Oct 28vs WSH121 − 111W
Oct 26vs MIN127 − 125W
Oct 24vs BKN125 − 121W
Oct 22at PHI106 − 114L
May 25vs NY93 − 130L
May 23vs NY108 − 121L
May 21at NY93 − 109L
May 19at NY104 − 115L
May 17at DET125 − 94W