Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.
Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 31
Expected score
SA 116.1 – 111.0 POR
The matchup Trail Blazers
−164 Our fair odds +164
116.1 Expected points 111.0
+1.05 Power rating +0.14
116.6 Points / game 122.8
110.0 Allowed / game 114.0
46.2 FG% 49.0
34.6 3P% 35.8
45.0 Rebounds / game 46.0
3−2 Season record 3−1
4−6 Last 10 5−5
Jayden Quaintance F · Tobias Harris F Out (2 each) Ja Morant G · Shaedon Sharpe G
Prediction markets Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SA chance · POR chance
Our model fair 62.2% 37.8%
Kalshi no two-sided price
Polymarket US no two-sided price
ProphetX no two-sided price
Novig no two-sided price
Full price table
Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
San Antonio Spurs by 5.1 expected
San Antonio Spurs by 46 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 45 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 44 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 43 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 42 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: <1% San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 1% San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 2% San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 2% San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 2% San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 2% San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 2% San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 2% San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 3% San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2% San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2% Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1% Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1% Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%
40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40
← SA wins by POR wins by →
San Antonio Spurs wins by 5 or more 54%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 10 or more 39%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 15 or more 25%
Within 5 points either way 24%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,532 past NBA games.
Total range
227.1 expected
178 points: <1% 179 points: <1% 180 points: <1% 181 points: <1% 182 points: <1% 183 points: <1% 184 points: <1% 185 points: <1% 186 points: <1% 187 points: <1% 188 points: <1% 189 points: <1% 190 points: <1% 191 points: <1% 192 points: <1% 193 points: <1% 194 points: <1% 195 points: 1% 196 points: 1% 197 points: 1% 198 points: 1% 199 points: 1% 200 points: 1% 201 points: 1% 202 points: 1% 203 points: 1% 204 points: 1% 205 points: 1% 206 points: 1% 207 points: 1% 208 points: 1% 209 points: 1% 210 points: 1% 211 points: 2% 212 points: 2% 213 points: 2% 214 points: 2% 215 points: 2% 216 points: 2% 217 points: 2% 218 points: 2% 219 points: 2% 220 points: 2% 221 points: 2% 222 points: 2% 223 points: 2% 224 points: 2% 225 points: 2% 226 points: 2% 227 points: 2% 228 points: 2% 229 points: 2% 230 points: 2% 231 points: 2% 232 points: 2% 233 points: 2% 234 points: 2% 235 points: 2% 236 points: 2% 237 points: 2% 238 points: 2% 239 points: 2% 240 points: 2% 241 points: 1% 242 points: 1% 243 points: 1% 244 points: 1% 245 points: 1% 246 points: 1% 247 points: 1% 248 points: 1% 249 points: 1% 250 points: 1% 251 points: 1% 252 points: 1% 253 points: 1% 254 points: 1% 255 points: 1% 256 points: 1% 257 points: 1% 258 points: 1% 259 points: 1% 260 points: 1% 261 points: <1% 262 points: <1% 263 points: <1% 264 points: <1% 265 points: <1% 266 points: <1% 267 points: <1% 268 points: <1% 269 points: <1% 270 points: <1% 271 points: <1% 272 points: <1% 273 points: <1% 274 points: <1% 275 points: <1% 276 points: <1% 277 points: <1% 278 points: <1% 279 points: <1% 280 points: <1%
180 200 220 240 260 280
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.5 68%
Total over 227.5 49%
Total over 237.5 29%
Total from 218 to 237 39%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,532 past NBA games.
Probable Starting Lineups as listed before tip
For context, not in our forecast.
Rest and Schedule before this game
SA · POR
Oct 28 at UTAH
last game
Oct 31 at UTAH
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game
For context, not in our forecast.
Who's Out Current team injury lists
San Antonio Spurs
SA Jayden Quaintance F · right knee surgery, back about Dec 1 Out
SA Tobias Harris F · left calf strain Out
SA Stephon Castle G · head mild Day-to-day
Portland Trail Blazers
POR Ja Morant G · left hamstring, back about Dec 1 Out
POR Shaedon Sharpe G · right knee surgery, back about Mar 2, 2027 Out
For context, not in our forecast.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
SA · POR
+1.05
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
116.6
points / game
122.8
110.0
points allowed / game
114.0
45.0
rebounds / game
46.0
13.2
turnovers / game
14.2
54.8
points in paint / game
53.0
Rating Trend
SA · POR · 11 days
Rating (0 = average team)
+0.00 +0.25 +0.50 +0.75 +1.00
Oct 21 Oct 23 Oct 26 Oct 29 Oct 31
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · POR 3−7
Apr 6, 2025 at POR POR 120 − 109
Dec 21, 2024 at SA SA 114 − 94
SA · Last 10
4−6 · streak W3
POR · Last 10
5−5 · streak L1