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Brewers at Athletics

MLB · Monday, Jun 8 · 9:05 PM CT · Las Vegas Ballpark · Final MIL 15 – ATH 14
← MLB / Jun 8

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123456789101112THE
MIL10301021240115180
ATH11600110040014161
Team box
MIL·ATH
18
hits
16
4
home runs
7
6
walks
5
15
strikeouts
20
203
pitches thrown
238
0
errors
1
Top hitters
PlayerTeamH-ABRHRRBI
Tyler SoderstromATH3-4224
Andrew VaughnMIL4-6114
Nick KurtzATH3-6323
William ContrerasMIL3-6313
Shea LangeliersATH3-7212
Jake BauersMIL2-4113
Pitchers
PitcherTeamIPHERBBK
Kyle HarrisonMIL2.18824
Abner Uribe (W)MIL1.10012
Chad Patrick (S)MIL1.00012
Jeffrey SpringsATH5.08523
Jose Suarez (L)ATH2.00004

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ATH +4
MIL +4
123456789101112
largest lead: ATH 4 · MIL 4lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIL 60%, ATH 40% · Updated Jun 8

Expected margin
MIL by 1.8
Expected score
MIL 5.6 – 3.8 ATH
Expected total
9.4
BrewersThe matchupAthletics
−147Our fair odds+147
5.6Expected runs3.8
+0.35Power rating−0.09
5.2Runs / game4.2
3.6Allowed / game4.9
8.5Hits / game8.3
0.79Home runs / game1.11
4.4Walks drawn / game3.8
40−23Season record31−34
7−3Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIL chance · ATH chance
Our model fair59.5%40.5%
Kalshi60.7%43.7%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 9:05 PM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MILMilwaukee Brewers−14760%−15460.7%———
ATHAthletics+14740%+12943.7%———
SpreadMIL by 1.8
MILMilwaukee Brewers−1.8our margin————
ATHAthletics+1.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 9.4
Over9.4our total————
Under9.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Milwaukee Brewers by 1.8 expected
Milwaukee Brewers by 16 runs: <1%Milwaukee Brewers by 15 runs: <1%Milwaukee Brewers by 14 runs: <1%Milwaukee Brewers by 13 runs: 1%Milwaukee Brewers by 12 runs: 1%Milwaukee Brewers by 11 runs: 1%Milwaukee Brewers by 10 runs: 2%Milwaukee Brewers by 9 runs: 2%Milwaukee Brewers by 8 runs: 3%Milwaukee Brewers by 7 runs: 4%Milwaukee Brewers by 6 runs: 5%Milwaukee Brewers by 5 runs: 6%Milwaukee Brewers by 4 runs: 7%Milwaukee Brewers by 3 runs: 9%Milwaukee Brewers by 2 runs: 11%Milwaukee Brewers by 1 run: 10%Athletics by 1 run: 15%Athletics by 2 runs: 7%Athletics by 3 runs: 5%Athletics by 4 runs: 4%Athletics by 5 runs: 2%Athletics by 6 runs: 2%Athletics by 7 runs: 1%Athletics by 8 runs: 1%Athletics by 9 runs: <1%Athletics by 10 runs: <1%Athletics by 11 runs: <1%Athletics by 12 runs: <1%Athletics by 13 runs: <1%Athletics by 14 runs: <1%Athletics by 15 runs: <1%Athletics by 16 runs: <1%
← MIL wins byATH wins by →
Milwaukee Brewers wins by 2 or more52%
Milwaukee Brewers wins by 3 or more41%
Athletics wins by 2 or more23%
Decided by one run25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected runs, with ties after nine settled as one-run games, matched to 14,698 past MLB games.

Total range

9.4 expected
1 runs: 1%2 runs: 1%3 runs: 5%4 runs: 4%5 runs: 9%6 runs: 7%7 runs: 11%8 runs: 8%9 runs: 10%10 runs: 7%11 runs: 8%12 runs: 5%13 runs: 6%14 runs: 4%15 runs: 4%16 runs: 2%17 runs: 2%18 runs: 1%19 runs: 1%20 runs: 1%21 runs: 1%22 runs: <1%23 runs: <1%24 runs: <1%25 runs: <1%
Total runs, both teams
Total over 7.561%
Total over 9.543%
Total over 11.528%
Total from 8 to 1133%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected runs, with ties after nine settled as one-run games, matched to 14,698 past MLB games.

Starting Pitchers

from the box score
MILKyle Harrison SP · last 3 starts: 18.2 IP, 0.48 ERA, 25 Kstarted
ATHJeffrey Springs SP · last 3 starts: 15.0 IP, 6.00 ERA, 13 Kstarted

Starting pitchers are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIL·ATH
Jun 7 at COL
last game
Jun 7 at HOU
0 days
days of rest
0 days
7
games in last 7 days
6
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 63+ games
MIL·ATH
+0.35
rating (0 = average)
−0.09
5.2
runs / game
4.2
3.6
runs allowed / game
4.9
40−23
season record
31−34
21−13
home record
11−17
19−10
away record
20−17
W3
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
4−6
8.5
hits / game
8.3
0.79
home runs / game
1.11
4.4
walks drawn / game
3.8
8.0
batter strikeouts / game
8.5
9.6
pitcher strikeouts / game
8.0
0.43
errors / game
0.40

Rating Trend

MIL · ATH · 75 days
Milwaukee BrewersAthletics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · ATH 5−4
Apr 20, 2025at MILMIL 14 − 1
Apr 19, 2025at MILATH 3 − 1
Apr 18, 2025at MILMIL 5 − 3
Aug 25, 2024at ATHATH 4 − 3
Aug 24, 2024at ATHMIL 9 − 5
Aug 23, 2024at ATHMIL 11 − 3
Jun 11, 2023at MILATH 8 − 6
Jun 10, 2023at MILATH 2 − 1
Jun 9, 2023at MILATH 5 − 2

MIL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Jun 7at COL12 − 4W
Jun 6at COL7 − 1W
Jun 5at COL9 − 7W
Jun 4vs SF9 − 12L
Jun 3vs SF0 − 1L
Jun 2vs SF8 − 3W
Jun 1vs SF16 − 2W
May 31at HOU2 − 0W
May 30at HOU2 − 9L
May 29at HOU5 − 4W

ATH · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Jun 7at HOU5 − 0W
Jun 6at HOU2 − 13L
Jun 5at HOU1 − 5L
Jun 4at CHC6 − 7L
Jun 3at CHC5 − 4W
Jun 2at CHC2 − 1W
May 31vs NYY8 − 13L
May 30vs NYY6 − 4W
May 29vs NYY2 − 8L
May 27vs SEA1 − 9L