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Brewers at Athletics

MLB · Tuesday, Jun 9 · 9:05 PM CT · Las Vegas Ballpark · Final MIL 5 – ATH 7
← MLB / Jun 9

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123456789THE
MIL200102000581
ATH120031007101
Team box
MIL·ATH
8
hits
10
1
home runs
5
3
walks
4
13
strikeouts
8
135
pitches thrown
148
1
errors
1
Top hitters
PlayerTeamH-ABRHRRBI
Jonah HeimATH3-4211
Tyler SoderstromATH1-3112
Henry BolteATH1-4112
Jackson ChourioMIL1-5112
Zack GelofATH1-4111
Nick KurtzATH1-3111
Pitchers
PitcherTeamIPHERBBK
Robert Gasser (L)MIL5.08627
J.T. Ginn (W)ATH5.28535
Mason Barnett (S)ATH2.00004

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ATH +3
MIL +3
123456789
largest lead: ATH 3 · MIL 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIL 60%, ATH 40% · Updated Jun 9

Expected margin
MIL by 1.9
Expected score
MIL 5.9 – 4.0 ATH
Expected total
9.9
BrewersThe matchupAthletics
−149Our fair odds+149
5.9Expected runs4.0
+0.36Power rating−0.10
5.4Runs / game4.3
3.7Allowed / game5.0
8.6Hits / game8.4
0.84Home runs / game1.20
4.4Walks drawn / game3.8
41−23Season record31−35
7−3Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIL chance · ATH chance
Our model fair59.9%40.1%
Kalshi53.7%50.7%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 9:05 PM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MILMilwaukee Brewers−14960%−11653.7%———
ATHAthletics+14940%−10350.7%———
SpreadMIL by 1.9
MILMilwaukee Brewers−1.9our margin————
ATHAthletics+1.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 9.9
Over9.9our total————
Under9.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Milwaukee Brewers by 1.9 expected
Milwaukee Brewers by 17 runs: <1%Milwaukee Brewers by 16 runs: <1%Milwaukee Brewers by 15 runs: <1%Milwaukee Brewers by 14 runs: 1%Milwaukee Brewers by 13 runs: 1%Milwaukee Brewers by 12 runs: 1%Milwaukee Brewers by 11 runs: 1%Milwaukee Brewers by 10 runs: 2%Milwaukee Brewers by 9 runs: 2%Milwaukee Brewers by 8 runs: 3%Milwaukee Brewers by 7 runs: 4%Milwaukee Brewers by 6 runs: 5%Milwaukee Brewers by 5 runs: 6%Milwaukee Brewers by 4 runs: 7%Milwaukee Brewers by 3 runs: 8%Milwaukee Brewers by 2 runs: 10%Milwaukee Brewers by 1 run: 10%Athletics by 1 run: 14%Athletics by 2 runs: 7%Athletics by 3 runs: 5%Athletics by 4 runs: 4%Athletics by 5 runs: 3%Athletics by 6 runs: 2%Athletics by 7 runs: 1%Athletics by 8 runs: 1%Athletics by 9 runs: <1%Athletics by 10 runs: <1%Athletics by 11 runs: <1%Athletics by 12 runs: <1%Athletics by 13 runs: <1%Athletics by 14 runs: <1%Athletics by 15 runs: <1%Athletics by 16 runs: <1%Athletics by 17 runs: <1%
← MIL wins byATH wins by →
Milwaukee Brewers wins by 2 or more53%
Milwaukee Brewers wins by 3 or more42%
Athletics wins by 2 or more23%
Decided by one run24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected runs, with ties after nine settled as one-run games, matched to 14,698 past MLB games.

Total range

9.9 expected
1 runs: 1%2 runs: 1%3 runs: 5%4 runs: 4%5 runs: 8%6 runs: 6%7 runs: 10%8 runs: 7%9 runs: 10%10 runs: 7%11 runs: 8%12 runs: 6%13 runs: 6%14 runs: 4%15 runs: 4%16 runs: 3%17 runs: 3%18 runs: 2%19 runs: 2%20 runs: 1%21 runs: 1%22 runs: 1%23 runs: <1%24 runs: <1%25 runs: <1%26 runs: <1%
Total runs, both teams
Total over 7.565%
Total over 9.547%
Total over 11.532%
Total from 8 to 1132%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected runs, with ties after nine settled as one-run games, matched to 14,698 past MLB games.

Starting Pitchers

from the box score
MILRobert Gasser SP · last 3 starts: 13.1 IP, 4.72 ERA, 12 Kstarted
ATHJ.T. Ginn SP · last 3 starts: 14.1 IP, 1.88 ERA, 16 Kstarted

Starting pitchers are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIL·ATH
Jun 8 at ATH
last game
Jun 8 vs MIL
0 days
days of rest
0 days
7
games in last 7 days
7
5th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 64+ games
MIL·ATH
+0.36
rating (0 = average)
−0.10
5.4
runs / game
4.3
3.7
runs allowed / game
5.0
41−23
season record
31−35
21−13
home record
11−18
20−10
away record
20−17
W4
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
4−6
8.6
hits / game
8.4
0.84
home runs / game
1.20
4.4
walks drawn / game
3.8
8.1
batter strikeouts / game
8.7
9.8
pitcher strikeouts / game
8.2
0.42
errors / game
0.41

Rating Trend

MIL · ATH · 76 days
Milwaukee BrewersAthletics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ATH 5−5
Jun 8at ATHMIL 15 − 14
Apr 20, 2025at MILMIL 14 − 1
Apr 19, 2025at MILATH 3 − 1
Apr 18, 2025at MILMIL 5 − 3
Aug 25, 2024at ATHATH 4 − 3
Aug 24, 2024at ATHMIL 9 − 5
Aug 23, 2024at ATHMIL 11 − 3
Jun 11, 2023at MILATH 8 − 6
Jun 10, 2023at MILATH 2 − 1
Jun 9, 2023at MILATH 5 − 2

MIL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W4
Jun 8at ATH15 − 14W
Jun 7at COL12 − 4W
Jun 6at COL7 − 1W
Jun 5at COL9 − 7W
Jun 4vs SF9 − 12L
Jun 3vs SF0 − 1L
Jun 2vs SF8 − 3W
Jun 1vs SF16 − 2W
May 31at HOU2 − 0W
May 30at HOU2 − 9L

ATH · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Jun 8vs MIL14 − 15L
Jun 7at HOU5 − 0W
Jun 6at HOU2 − 13L
Jun 5at HOU1 − 5L
Jun 4at CHC6 − 7L
Jun 3at CHC5 − 4W
Jun 2at CHC2 − 1W
May 31vs NYY8 − 13L
May 30vs NYY6 − 4W
May 29vs NYY2 − 8L