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Bulls at Celtics

NBA · Friday, Oct 30 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final CHI 111 – BOS 125
← NBA / Oct 30

Box score and game flow are added the next morning.

Final · our forecast was CHI 15%, BOS 85% · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
BOS by 14.6
Expected score
BOS 124.7 – 110.1 CHI
Expected total
234.8
BullsThe matchupCeltics
+552Our fair odds−552
110.1Expected points124.7
−0.82Power rating+0.77
114.0Points / game119.8
130.2Allowed / game111.8
41.8FG%46.2
27.23P%38.2
44.8Rebounds / game44.2
1−4Season record3−1
3−7Last 105−5
Dailyn Swain · Nic ClaxtonOutDevin Carter

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · BOS chance
Our model fair15.3%84.7%
Kalshi14.8%87.8%
Polymarket US14.8%87.8%
ProphetX16.2%86.0%
Novig14.5%86.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:28 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:28 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:28 PM CT
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+55215%+57414.8%+57414.8%+51716.2%+59014.5%
BOSBoston Celtics−55285%−71987.8%−71987.8%−61486.0%−61486.0%
SpreadBOS by 14.6
CHIChicago Bulls+14.6our margin+13.5 −10350.7%+13.5 −10350.7%+13.5 +10149.8%+13.5 +10449.0%
BOSBoston Celtics−14.6our margin−13.5 −11653.7%−13.5 −11653.7%−13.5 −11252.9%−13.5 −10852.0%
Totalwe expect 234.8
Over234.8our totalo236.5 −10751.8%o236.5 −10350.7%o236.5 −10751.7%o236.5 −10250.5%
Under234.8our totalu236.5 −11252.7%u236.5 −11653.7%u236.5 −10852.0%u236.5 +10050.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 14.6 expected
Chicago Bulls by 53 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← CHI wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more77%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more64%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more49%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.8 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.569%
Total over 234.550%
Total over 244.531%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GNorman Powellstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FJalen Smithstarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
FCaleb Wilsonstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJordan Walshstarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FJayson Tatumstarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·BOS
Oct 28 vs NY
last game
Oct 27 vs BKN
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 30, 5:45 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIDailyn Swain · right low backOut
CHINic Claxton · left hamstring strainOut
Boston Celtics
BOSDevin Carter · illnessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
CHI·BOS
−0.82
rating (0 = average)
+0.77
114.0
points / game
119.8
130.2
points allowed / game
111.8
1−4
season record
3−1
0−2
home record
3−0
1−2
away record
0−1
L3
streak
W3
3−7
last 10
5−5
41.8
FG%
46.2
27.2
3P%
38.2
44.8
rebounds / game
44.2
24.4
assists / game
27.8
18.0
turnovers / game
16.0
45.6
points in paint / game
42.5

Rating Trend

CHI · BOS · 10 days
Chicago BullsBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 8−2
Oct 26at BOSBOS 134 − 99
Feb 11at BOSBOS 124 − 105
Jan 24at CHICHI 114 − 111
Jan 5at BOSBOS 115 − 101
Jan 29, 2025at BOSBOS 122 − 100
Dec 21, 2024at CHIBOS 123 − 98
Dec 19, 2024at BOSCHI 117 − 108
Nov 29, 2024at CHIBOS 138 − 129
Mar 23, 2024at CHIBOS 124 − 113
Feb 22, 2024at CHIBOS 129 − 112

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Oct 28vs NY127 − 133L
Oct 26at BOS99 − 134L
Oct 24vs WSH120 − 124L
Oct 23at MIL132 − 125W
Oct 21at TOR92 − 135L
Apr 12at DAL128 − 149L
Apr 10vs ORL103 − 127L
Apr 9at WSH119 − 108W
Apr 7at WSH129 − 98W
Apr 5vs PHX110 − 120L

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Oct 27vs BKN125 − 124W
Oct 26vs CHI134 − 99W
Oct 23vs NY107 − 103W
Oct 20at DET113 − 121L
May 2vs PHI100 − 109L
Apr 30at PHI93 − 106L
Apr 28vs PHI97 − 113L
Apr 26at PHI128 − 96W
Apr 24at PHI108 − 100W
Apr 21vs PHI97 − 111L