Final · our forecast was NY 72%, CHI 28% · Updated Oct 28
Expected margin
NY by 9.2
Expected score
NY 120.9 – 111.7 CHI
Expected total
232.6
KnicksThe matchupBulls
−261Our fair odds+261
120.9Expected points111.7
+0.92Power rating−0.83
104.0Points / game110.8
105.2Allowed / game129.5
41.5FG%40.2
32.53P%23.2
47.8Rebounds / game46.2
1−3Season record1−3
6−4Last 103−7
Jose AlvaradoOutNic Claxton · Patrick Williams Tobe Awaka
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · CHI chance
Our model fair72.3%27.7%
Kalshi73.4%30.4%
Polymarket US73.4%30.4%
ProphetX72.4%30.0%
Novig72.0%28.5%
Full price table
Team
Our modelfair
Kalshipre-game · 7:00 PM CT
Polymarket USpre-game · 6:59 PM CT
ProphetXpre-game · 6:59 PM CT
Novigpre-game · 6:59 PM CT
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks
−26172%
−27673.4%
−27673.4%
−26272.4%
−25772.0%
CHIChicago Bulls
+26128%
+22930.4%
+22930.4%
+23330.0%
+25128.5%
SpreadNY by 9.2
NYNew York Knicks
−9.2our margin
−7.5−10751.8%
−7.5−10751.7%
−7.5−10250.5%
−7.5+10050.0%
CHIChicago Bulls
+9.2our margin
+7.5−11653.7%
+7.5−11252.7%
+7.5−10952.2%
+7.5−10451.0%
Totalwe expect 232.6
Over
232.6our total
o232.5−11653.7%
o232.5−11653.7%
o232.5−11353.1%
o232.5−10852.0%
Under
232.6our total
u232.5−10350.7%
u232.5−10350.7%
u232.5+10449.1%
u232.5+10648.5%
These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
New York Knicks by 9.2 expected
40302010010203040
← NY wins byCHI wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more66%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more50%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more33%
Within 5 points either way20%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
232.6 expected
200220240260280
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.