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Knicks at 76ers

NBA · Friday, Oct 30 · 6:30 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final NY 93 – PHI 98
← NBA / Oct 30

Box score and game flow are added the next morning.

Final · our forecast was NY 59%, PHI 41% · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
NY by 4.4
Expected score
NY 113.6 – 109.2 PHI
Expected total
222.8
KnicksThe matchup76ers
−147Our fair odds+147
113.6Expected points109.2
+0.90Power rating+0.16
109.8Points / game110.8
109.6Allowed / game107.4
42.2FG%43.0
35.23P%31.6
48.2Rebounds / game42.2
2−3Season record4−1
6−4Last 105−5
Jose AlvaradoOutAriel Hukporti · Dominick Barlow
Jabari Walker · Jaylen Brown
Tacko Fall

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · PHI chance
Our model fair59.5%40.5%
Kalshi60.7%43.7%
Polymarket US60.7%43.7%
ProphetX59.5%43.2%
Novig58.5%42.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:28 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:27 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:28 PM CT
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−14759%−15460.7%−15460.7%−14759.5%−14158.5%
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+14741%+12943.7%+12943.7%+13243.2%+13842.0%
SpreadNY by 4.4
NYNew York Knicks−4.4our margin−2.5 −12154.7%−2.5 −12154.7%−2.5 −11653.8%−2.5 −11353.0%
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+4.4our margin+2.5 +10149.7%+2.5 +10149.7%+2.5 +10548.7%+2.5 +11147.5%
Totalwe expect 222.8
Over222.8our totalo224.5 −10350.7%o223.5 −11252.7%o224.5 −10250.5%o224.5 +10449.0%
Under222.8our totalu224.5 −11653.7%u223.5 −10751.7%u224.5 −10852.0%u224.5 −10651.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 4.4 expected
New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%
← NY wins byPHI wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more52%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more37%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.8 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.570%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·PHI
Oct 28 at CHI
last game
Oct 28 at IND
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 30, 5:45 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYJose Alvarado · left ankle sprainOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIAriel Hukporti · right achilles tendon rupture / tearOut
PHIDominick Barlow · low back stress reactionOut
PHIJabari Walker · left patellar tendinopathyOut
PHIJaylen Brown · left patellarOut
PHITacko Fall · tendinopathy left quadriceps strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
NY·PHI
+0.90
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
109.8
points / game
110.8
109.6
points allowed / game
107.4
2−3
season record
4−1
1−2
home record
2−1
1−1
away record
2−0
W2
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
5−5
42.2
FG%
43.0
35.2
3P%
31.6
48.2
rebounds / game
42.2
26.8
assists / game
24.6
16.0
turnovers / game
13.4
42.8
points in paint / game
43.6

Rating Trend

NY · PHI · 10 days
New York KnicksPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 3−7
Oct 20at NYPHI 106 − 100
May 10at PHINY 144 − 114post
May 8at PHINY 108 − 94post
May 6at NYNY 108 − 102post
May 4at NYNY 137 − 98post
Feb 11at PHINY 138 − 89
Jan 24at PHINY 112 − 109
Jan 3at NYPHI 130 − 119
Dec 19, 2025at NYPHI 116 − 107
Apr 1, 2025at NYNY 105 − 91

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 28at CHI133 − 127W
Oct 27vs DET111 − 97W
Oct 25vs ORL102 − 111L
Oct 23at BOS103 − 107L
Oct 20vs PHI100 − 106L
Jun 13at SA94 − 90W
Jun 10vs SA107 − 106W
Jun 8vs SA111 − 115L
Jun 5at SA105 − 104W
Jun 3at SA105 − 95W

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28at IND114 − 109W
Oct 25vs DET93 − 106L
Oct 24vs MIL127 − 116W
Oct 22vs CLE114 − 106W
Oct 20at NY106 − 100W
May 10vs NY114 − 144L
May 8vs NY94 − 108L
May 6at NY102 − 108L
May 4at NY98 − 137L
May 2at BOS109 − 100W