Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.
Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30
Expected margin
PHI by 10.8
Expected score
PHI 123.5 – 112.8 CHI
BullsThe matchup 76ers
+334 Our fair odds −334
112.8 Expected points 123.5
−0.82 Power rating +0.16
114.0 Points / game 110.8
130.2 Allowed / game 107.4
41.8 FG% 43.0
27.2 3P% 31.6
44.8 Rebounds / game 42.2
1−4 Season record 4−1
3−7 Last 10 5−5
Nic Claxton C Out Ariel Hukporti C · Dominick Barlow F Jabari Walker F · Tacko Fall C
Prediction markets Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
Current
Price history
CHI chance · PHI chance
Our model fair 23.0% 77.0%
Kalshi 24.2% 82.1%
Polymarket US 24.2% 79.2%
ProphetX no two-sided price
Novig no two-sided price
Full price table
Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Philadelphia 76ers by 10.8 expected
Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 16 points: <1% Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1% Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1% Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1% Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1% Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1% Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1% Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1% Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 1% Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2% Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2% Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2% Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2% Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2% Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2% Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 3% Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 2% Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: 1% Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 49 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 50 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 51 points: <1% Philadelphia 76ers by 52 points: <1%
50 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50
← CHI wins by PHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more 68%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more 53%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more 38%
Within 5 points either way 20%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
236.3 expected
186 points: <1% 187 points: <1% 188 points: <1% 189 points: <1% 190 points: <1% 191 points: <1% 192 points: <1% 193 points: <1% 194 points: <1% 195 points: <1% 196 points: <1% 197 points: <1% 198 points: <1% 199 points: <1% 200 points: <1% 201 points: <1% 202 points: <1% 203 points: <1% 204 points: 1% 205 points: 1% 206 points: 1% 207 points: 1% 208 points: 1% 209 points: 1% 210 points: 1% 211 points: 1% 212 points: 1% 213 points: 1% 214 points: 1% 215 points: 1% 216 points: 1% 217 points: 1% 218 points: 1% 219 points: 1% 220 points: 2% 221 points: 2% 222 points: 2% 223 points: 2% 224 points: 2% 225 points: 2% 226 points: 2% 227 points: 2% 228 points: 2% 229 points: 2% 230 points: 2% 231 points: 2% 232 points: 2% 233 points: 2% 234 points: 2% 235 points: 2% 236 points: 2% 237 points: 2% 238 points: 2% 239 points: 2% 240 points: 2% 241 points: 2% 242 points: 2% 243 points: 2% 244 points: 2% 245 points: 2% 246 points: 2% 247 points: 2% 248 points: 2% 249 points: 2% 250 points: 1% 251 points: 1% 252 points: 1% 253 points: 1% 254 points: 1% 255 points: 1% 256 points: 1% 257 points: 1% 258 points: 1% 259 points: 1% 260 points: 1% 261 points: 1% 262 points: 1% 263 points: 1% 264 points: 1% 265 points: 1% 266 points: 1% 267 points: 1% 268 points: 1% 269 points: <1% 270 points: <1% 271 points: <1% 272 points: <1% 273 points: <1% 274 points: <1% 275 points: <1% 276 points: <1% 277 points: <1% 278 points: <1% 279 points: <1% 280 points: <1% 281 points: <1% 282 points: <1% 283 points: <1% 284 points: <1% 285 points: <1% 286 points: <1% 287 points: <1% 288 points: <1% 289 points: <1% 290 points: <1% 291 points: <1% 292 points: <1% 293 points: <1% 294 points: <1% 295 points: <1%
200 220 240 260 280
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.5 68%
Total over 236.5 48%
Total over 246.5 30%
Total from 227 to 246 38%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Probable Starting Lineups as listed before tip
For context, not in our forecast.
Rest and Schedule before this game
CHI · PHI
Oct 30 at BOS
last game
Oct 30 vs NY
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game
For context, not in our forecast.
Who's Out Current team injury lists
Chicago Bulls
CHI Nic Claxton C · hamstring, back about Nov 4 Out
CHI Jalen Smith F · left finger Day-to-day
CHI Tobe Awaka F · ankle Day-to-day
Philadelphia 76ers
PHI Ariel Hukporti C · right achilles ruptured, back about Oct 1, 2027 Out
PHI Dominick Barlow F · back, back about Nov 2 Out
PHI Jabari Walker F · left knee soreness Out
PHI Tacko Fall C · left quadriceps strain, back about Nov 4 Out
PHI Jaylen Brown G · knee Day-to-day
For context, not in our forecast.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
CHI · PHI
−0.82
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
114.0
points / game
110.8
130.2
points allowed / game
107.4
44.8
rebounds / game
42.2
18.0
turnovers / game
13.4
45.6
points in paint / game
43.6
Rating Trend
CHI · PHI · 10 days
Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)
−0.75 −0.50 −0.25 +0.00 +0.25
Oct 21 Oct 23 Oct 25 Oct 28 Oct 30
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · PHI 4−6
Apr 13, 2025 at PHI CHI 122 − 102
Feb 24, 2025 at PHI CHI 142 − 110
Jan 25, 2025 at CHI PHI 109 − 97
Dec 8, 2024 at CHI PHI 108 − 100
Jan 2, 2024 at PHI PHI 110 − 97
Dec 30, 2023 at CHI CHI 105 − 92
Dec 18, 2023 at PHI CHI 108 − 104
CHI · Last 10
3−7 · streak L3
PHI · Last 10
5−5 · streak W1