bayesRatings

Bulls at 76ers

NBA · Monday, Nov 2 · 6:30 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
PHI by 10.8
Expected score
PHI 123.5 – 112.8 CHI
Expected total
236.3
BullsThe matchup76ers
+334Our fair odds−334
112.8Expected points123.5
−0.82Power rating+0.16
114.0Points / game110.8
130.2Allowed / game107.4
41.8FG%43.0
27.23P%31.6
44.8Rebounds / game42.2
1−4Season record4−1
3−7Last 105−5
Nic Claxton COutAriel Hukporti C · Dominick Barlow F
Jabari Walker F · Tacko Fall C

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · PHI chance
Our model fair23.0%77.0%
Kalshi24.2%82.1%
Polymarket US24.2%79.2%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:28 AM CTPolymarket US4:28 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+33423%+31324.2%+31324.2%——
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−33477%−45882.1%−38179.2%——
SpreadPHI by 10.8
CHIChicago Bulls+10.8our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−10.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.3
Over236.3our total————
Under236.3our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 10.8 expected
Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 49 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 50 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 51 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 52 points: <1%
← CHI wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more68%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more53%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more38%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.3 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.568%
Total over 236.548%
Total over 246.530%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Chicago Bulls
GNorman Powelllast game
GJosh Giddeylast game
FJalen Smithlast game
FMatas Buzelislast game
FCaleb Wilsonlast game
Philadelphia 76ers
GJaylen Brownlast game
GTyrese Maxeylast game
GVJ Edgecombelast game
FLeBron Jameslast game
CJoel Embiidlast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·PHI
Oct 30 at BOS
last game
Oct 30 vs NY
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Chicago Bulls
CHINic Claxton C · hamstring, back about Nov 4Out
CHIJalen Smith F · left fingerDay-to-day
CHITobe Awaka F · ankleDay-to-day
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIAriel Hukporti C · right achilles ruptured, back about Oct 1, 2027Out
PHIDominick Barlow F · back, back about Nov 2Out
PHIJabari Walker F · left knee sorenessOut
PHITacko Fall C · left quadriceps strain, back about Nov 4Out
PHIJaylen Brown G · kneeDay-to-day

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
CHI·PHI
−0.82
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
114.0
points / game
110.8
130.2
points allowed / game
107.4
1−4
season record
4−1
0−2
home record
2−1
1−2
away record
2−0
L3
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
5−5
41.8
FG%
43.0
27.2
3P%
31.6
44.8
rebounds / game
42.2
24.4
assists / game
24.6
18.0
turnovers / game
13.4
45.6
points in paint / game
43.6

Rating Trend

CHI · PHI · 10 days
Chicago BullsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 4−6
Mar 25at PHIPHI 157 − 137
Dec 26, 2025at CHICHI 109 − 102
Nov 4, 2025at CHICHI 113 − 111
Apr 13, 2025at PHICHI 122 − 102
Feb 24, 2025at PHICHI 142 − 110
Jan 25, 2025at CHIPHI 109 − 97
Dec 8, 2024at CHIPHI 108 − 100
Jan 2, 2024at PHIPHI 110 − 97
Dec 30, 2023at CHICHI 105 − 92
Dec 18, 2023at PHICHI 108 − 104

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Oct 28vs NY127 − 133L
Oct 26at BOS99 − 134L
Oct 24vs WSH120 − 124L
Oct 23at MIL132 − 125W
Oct 21at TOR92 − 135L
Apr 12at DAL128 − 149L
Apr 10vs ORL103 − 127L
Apr 9at WSH119 − 108W
Apr 7at WSH129 − 98W
Apr 5vs PHX110 − 120L

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28at IND114 − 109W
Oct 25vs DET93 − 106L
Oct 24vs MIL127 − 116W
Oct 22vs CLE114 − 106W
Oct 20at NY106 − 100W
May 10vs NY114 − 144L
May 8vs NY94 − 108L
May 6at NY102 − 108L
May 4at NY98 − 137L
May 2at BOS109 − 100W