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Kings at Pelicans

NBA · Thursday, Oct 29 · 7:00 PM CT · Smoothie King Center · Final SAC 120 – NO 132
← NBA / Oct 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC30312732120
NO24393930132
Team box
SAC·NO
46-88
field goals
50-84
12-37
3-pointers
10-29
16-20
free throws
22-32
39
rebounds
38
31
assists
32
25
turnovers
20
62
points in paint
80
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Darius Acuff Jr.SAC4134614
Precious AchiuwaSAC412492
De'Andre HunterSAC372451
Jeremiah FearsNO2922813
Zion WilliamsonNO312262
Zach LaVineSAC392135

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NO +19
SAC +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NO 19 · SAC 8lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 34%, NO 66% · Updated Oct 29

Expected margin
NO by 6.6
Expected score
NO 121.3 – 114.7 SAC
Expected total
235.9
KingsThe matchupPelicans
+197Our fair odds−197
114.7Expected points121.3
−1.21Power rating−0.66
107.8Points / game116.2
125.5Allowed / game122.0
44.5FG%46.5
30.03P%29.0
41.5Rebounds / game44.2
0−4Season record0−4
3−7Last 101−9
Ben Simmons · Dylan Cardwell
Keegan Murray · Maxime Raynaud
Sean PedullaOut (5 each)Dejounte Murray · Jaron Pierre Jr.
Jordan Poole · Malik Dia
Yves Missi

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · NO chance
Our model fair33.7%66.3%
Kalshi33.5%70.5%
Polymarket US33.5%70.5%
ProphetX33.6%68.9%
Novig32.5%68.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 7:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:57 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:58 PM CT
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+19734%+19833.5%+19833.5%+19733.6%+20832.5%
NONew Orleans Pelicans−19766%−23970.5%−23970.5%−22168.9%−21368.0%
SpreadNO by 6.6
SACSacramento Kings+6.6our margin+6.5 −11653.7%+6.5 −11252.7%+6.5 −11152.7%+6.5 −10451.0%
NONew Orleans Pelicans−6.6our margin−6.5 −10751.8%−6.5 −10751.7%−6.5 +10249.6%−6.5 +10249.5%
Totalwe expect 235.9
Over235.9our totalo233.5 −12154.7%o234.5 −11252.7%o233.5 −12555.5%o234.5 −10250.5%
Under235.9our totalu233.5 +10149.7%u234.5 −10751.7%u233.5 +10548.7%u234.5 −10250.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New Orleans Pelicans by 6.6 expected
Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 47 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 48 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 49 points: <1%
← SAC wins byNO wins by →
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 5 or more58%
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 10 or more42%
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

235.9 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.569%
Total over 235.550%
Total over 245.531%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GZach LaVinestarted
GDarius Acuff Jr.started
FDomantas Sabonisstarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
New Orleans Pelicans
GJeremiah Fearsstarted
FHerbert Jonesstarted
FZion Williamsonstarted
FTrey Murphy IIIstarted
FKarlo Matkovicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·NO
Oct 27 at SA
last game
Oct 28 vs DEN
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 29, 7:30 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACBen Simmons · right achilles tendon repair / surgeryOut
SACDylan Cardwell · left calf strainOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle capsulitisOut
SACMaxime Raynaud · right patella subluxationOut
SACSean Pedulla · g league - two-wayOut
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · personal reasonsOut
NOJaron Pierre Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
NOJordan Poole · left ankle sprainOut
NOMalik Dia · g league - two-wayOut
NOYves Missi · left knee contusion / bone bruiseOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
SAC·NO
−1.21
rating (0 = average)
−0.66
107.8
points / game
116.2
125.5
points allowed / game
122.0
0−4
season record
0−4
0−2
home record
0−2
0−2
away record
0−2
L4
streak
L4
3−7
last 10
1−9
44.5
FG%
46.5
30.0
3P%
29.0
41.5
rebounds / game
44.2
22.8
assists / game
23.5
15.0
turnovers / game
16.8
51.0
points in paint / game
57.5

Rating Trend

SAC · NO · 9 days
Sacramento KingsNew Orleans Pelicans
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NO 6−4
Apr 3at SACSAC 117 − 113
Mar 5at SACNO 133 − 123
Feb 9at NONO 120 − 94
Feb 13, 2025at NONO 140 − 133
Feb 12, 2025at NOSAC 119 − 111
Feb 8, 2025at SACSAC 123 − 118
Dec 12, 2024at NOSAC 111 − 109
Apr 11, 2024at SACNO 135 − 123
Jan 7, 2024at SACNO 133 − 100
Dec 4, 2023at SACNO 127 − 117

SAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak L5
Oct 27at SA103 − 130L
Oct 25vs MEM112 − 123L
Oct 23vs POR120 − 128L
Oct 21at LAC96 − 121L
Apr 12at POR110 − 122L
Apr 10vs GS124 − 118W
Apr 7at GS105 − 110L
Apr 5vs LAC109 − 138L
Apr 3vs NO117 − 113W
Apr 1at TOR123 − 115W

NO · Last 10

1−9 · streak L6
Oct 28vs DEN91 − 104L
Oct 24at DEN135 − 141L
Oct 23at UTAH119 − 120L
Oct 21vs IND120 − 123L
Apr 12at MIN126 − 132L
Apr 10at BOS118 − 144L
Apr 7vs UTAH156 − 137W
Apr 5vs ORL108 − 112L
Apr 3at SAC113 − 117L
Apr 2at POR106 − 118L