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Hornets at Wizards

NBA · Friday, Oct 30 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final CHA 79 – WSH 95

Box score and game flow are added the next morning.

Final · our forecast was CHA 57%, WSH 43% · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
CHA by 4.1
Expected score
CHA 113.0 – 108.9 WSH
Expected total
221.9
HornetsThe matchupWizards
−134Our fair odds+134
113.0Expected points108.9
+0.27Power rating−1.16
101.0Points / game113.6
108.2Allowed / game115.8
41.8FG%47.8
31.03P%28.0
47.2Rebounds / game40.0
3−2Season record2−3
6−4Last 102−8
Coby White · Grant Williams
Kon Knueppel · Kylan Boswell
Michael Ajayi
Out (5 each)Felix Okpara · Jamir Watkins
Justin Champagnie · Reece Beekman
Tristan Vukcevic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · WSH chance
Our model fair57.4%42.6%
Kalshi54.7%49.7%
Polymarket US54.7%49.7%
ProphetX53.6%48.9%
Novig52.5%48.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 5:58 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 5:58 PM CTNovigpre-game · 5:58 PM CT
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets−13457%−12154.7%−12154.7%−11553.6%−11152.5%
WSHWashington Wizards+13443%+10149.7%+10149.7%+10548.9%+10848.0%
SpreadCHA by 4.1
CHACharlotte Hornets−4.1our margin−1.5 −11252.7%−1.5 −11252.7%−1.5 −10852.0%−1.5 −10451.0%
WSHWashington Wizards+4.1our margin+1.5 −10751.8%+1.5 −10751.7%+1.5 −10451.0%+1.5 +10050.0%
Totalwe expect 221.9
Over221.9our totalo219.5 −10350.7%o219.5 −10350.7%o219.5 +10349.3%o219.5 +10648.5%
Under221.9our totalu219.5 −11653.7%u219.5 −11653.7%u219.5 −11553.6%u219.5 −11152.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Charlotte Hornets by 4.1 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%
← CHA wins byWSH wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more51%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more36%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.9 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.531%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GSion Jamesstarted
CNaz Reidstarted
Washington Wizards
GTrae Youngstarted
FAJ Dybantsastarted
CAlex Sarrstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·WSH
Oct 28 at DET
last game
Oct 28 at CLE
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 30, 5:45 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHACoby White · left calf strainOut
CHAGrant Williams · right hamstring strainOut
CHAKon Knueppel · left hamstring strainOut
CHAKylan Boswell · g league - two-wayOut
CHAMichael Ajayi · g league - two-wayOut
Washington Wizards
WSHFelix Okpara · g league - two-wayOut
WSHJamir Watkins · left acl repair / surgeryOut
WSHJustin Champagnie · right foot surgeryOut
WSHReece Beekman · g league - two-wayOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · left hip impingementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
CHA·WSH
+0.27
rating (0 = average)
−1.16
101.0
points / game
113.6
108.2
points allowed / game
115.8
3−2
season record
2−3
2−1
home record
1−1
1−1
away record
1−2
L1
streak
L2
6−4
last 10
2−8
41.8
FG%
47.8
31.0
3P%
28.0
47.2
rebounds / game
40.0
20.6
assists / game
25.8
20.0
turnovers / game
14.8
40.0
points in paint / game
57.2

Rating Trend

CHA · WSH · 10 days
Charlotte HornetsWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 5−5
Oct 26at CHACHA 110 − 103
Feb 22at WSHCHA 129 − 112
Jan 24at CHACHA 119 − 115
Dec 23, 2025at CHACHA 126 − 109
Oct 26, 2025at WSHCHA 139 − 113
Mar 1, 2025at CHAWSH 113 − 100
Feb 3, 2025at CHAWSH 124 − 114
Dec 26, 2024at WSHWSH 113 − 110
Dec 19, 2024at WSHWSH 123 − 114
Mar 8, 2024at WSHWSH 112 − 100

CHA · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Oct 28at DET89 − 97L
Oct 26vs WSH110 − 103W
Oct 24vs MIA115 − 110W
Oct 23vs ATL81 − 128L
Oct 21at BKN110 − 103W
Apr 12at NY110 − 96W
Apr 10vs DET100 − 118L
Apr 7at BOS102 − 113L
Apr 5at MIN122 − 108W
Apr 3vs IND129 − 108W

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Oct 28at CLE111 − 121L
Oct 26at CHA103 − 110L
Oct 24at CHI124 − 120W
Oct 23vs TOR102 − 112L
Oct 21vs MIL128 − 116W
Apr 12at CLE117 − 130L
Apr 10vs MIA117 − 140L
Apr 9vs CHI108 − 119L
Apr 7vs CHI98 − 129L
Apr 5at BKN115 − 121L