Final · our forecast was CHA 57%, WSH 43% · Updated Oct 30
Expected margin
CHA by 4.1
Expected score
CHA 113.0 – 108.9 WSH
Expected total
221.9
HornetsThe matchupWizards
−134Our fair odds+134
113.0Expected points108.9
+0.27Power rating−1.16
101.0Points / game113.6
108.2Allowed / game115.8
41.8FG%47.8
31.03P%28.0
47.2Rebounds / game40.0
3−2Season record2−3
6−4Last 102−8
Coby White · Grant Williams Kon Knueppel · Kylan Boswell Michael AjayiOut (5 each)Felix Okpara · Jamir Watkins Justin Champagnie · Reece Beekman Tristan Vukcevic
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · WSH chance
Our model fair57.4%42.6%
Kalshi54.7%49.7%
Polymarket US54.7%49.7%
ProphetX53.6%48.9%
Novig52.5%48.0%
Full price table
Team
Our modelfair
Kalshipre-game · 5:58 PM CT
Polymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CT
ProphetXpre-game · 5:58 PM CT
Novigpre-game · 5:58 PM CT
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets
−13457%
−12154.7%
−12154.7%
−11553.6%
−11152.5%
WSHWashington Wizards
+13443%
+10149.7%
+10149.7%
+10548.9%
+10848.0%
SpreadCHA by 4.1
CHACharlotte Hornets
−4.1our margin
−1.5−11252.7%
−1.5−11252.7%
−1.5−10852.0%
−1.5−10451.0%
WSHWashington Wizards
+4.1our margin
+1.5−10751.8%
+1.5−10751.7%
+1.5−10451.0%
+1.5+10050.0%
Totalwe expect 221.9
Over
221.9our total
o219.5−10350.7%
o219.5−10350.7%
o219.5+10349.3%
o219.5+10648.5%
Under
221.9our total
u219.5−11653.7%
u219.5−11653.7%
u219.5−11553.6%
u219.5−11152.5%
These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Charlotte Hornets by 4.1 expected
40302010010203040
← CHA wins byWSH wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more51%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more36%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
221.9 expected
180200220240260
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.531%
Total from 212 to 23139%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.