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Trail Blazers at Jazz

NBA · Saturday, Oct 31 · 2:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final POR 112 – UTAH 90
← NBA / Oct 31

Box score and game flow are added the next morning.

Final · our forecast was POR 68%, UTAH 32% · Updated Oct 31

Expected margin
POR by 6.3
Expected score
POR 120.9 – 114.6 UTAH
Expected total
235.5
Trail BlazersThe matchupJazz
−213Our fair odds+213
120.9Expected points114.6
+0.14Power rating−1.01
122.8Points / game112.4
114.0Allowed / game120.2
49.0FG%45.2
35.83P%33.4
46.0Rebounds / game46.8
3−1Season record1−4
5−5Last 102−8
Ja Morant · Jayson Kent
John Tonje · Shaedon SharpeOutHarrison Ingram · Jaren Jackson Jr.
Jusuf Nurkic · Kobe Bufkin
Trey Alexander

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair68.1%31.9%
Kalshi71.5%31.5%
Polymarket US71.5%32.5%
ProphetX70.7%31.7%
Novig70.5%30.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 1:59 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 1:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 1:57 PM CTNovigpre-game · 1:59 PM CT
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers−21368%−25171.5%−25071.5%−24270.7%−23970.5%
UTAHUtah Jazz+21332%+21831.5%+20832.5%+21631.7%+23330.0%
SpreadPOR by 6.3
PORPortland Trail Blazers−6.3our margin−6.5 −12154.7%−6.5 −12154.7%−6.5 −11052.4%−6.5 −10852.0%
UTAHUtah Jazz+6.3our margin+6.5 +10149.7%+6.5 +10149.7%+6.5 +10149.8%+6.5 +10648.5%
Totalwe expect 235.5
Over235.5our totalo233.5 −10350.7%o233.5 −10350.7%o233.5 +10249.6%o233.5 +10648.5%
Under235.5our totalu233.5 −12154.7%u233.5 −11653.7%u233.5 −11353.1%u233.5 −10852.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 6.3 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%
← POR wins byUTAH wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more58%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more42%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

235.5 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.568%
Total over 235.549%
Total over 245.530%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GDamian Lillardstarted
GScoot Hendersonstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Utah Jazz
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
GDarryn Petersonstarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJaxson Hayesstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·UTAH
Oct 29 vs MEM
last game
Oct 28 vs SA
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 30, 7:15 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORJa Morant · left hamstring strainOut
PORJayson Kent · g league - two-wayOut
PORJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · right meniscus surgeryOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHHarrison Ingram · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · right knee mcl tearOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · right foot 2nd plantar plate tearOut
UTAHKobe Bufkin · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHTrey Alexander · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
POR·UTAH
+0.14
rating (0 = average)
−1.01
122.8
points / game
112.4
114.0
points allowed / game
120.2
3−1
season record
1−4
1−1
home record
1−3
2−0
away record
0−1
L1
streak
L3
5−5
last 10
2−8
49.0
FG%
45.2
35.8
3P%
33.4
46.0
rebounds / game
46.8
28.8
assists / game
26.8
14.2
turnovers / game
17.2
53.0
points in paint / game
47.6

Rating Trend

POR · UTAH · 11 days
Portland Trail BlazersUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 4−6
Mar 13at PORPOR 124 − 114
Feb 12at UTAHPOR 135 − 119
Jan 5at PORPOR 137 − 117
Oct 29, 2025at UTAHPOR 136 − 134
Apr 9, 2025at UTAHUTAH 133 − 126
Feb 24, 2025at UTAHPOR 114 − 112
Dec 26, 2024at PORPOR 122 − 120
Dec 6, 2024at PORUTAH 141 − 99
Dec 14, 2023at PORUTAH 122 − 114
Dec 2, 2023at UTAHUTAH 118 − 113

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 29vs MEM103 − 124L
Oct 27at LAL136 − 129W
Oct 23at SAC128 − 120W
Oct 21vs PHX124 − 83W
Apr 28at SA95 − 114L
Apr 26vs SA93 − 114L
Apr 24vs SA108 − 120L
Apr 21at SA106 − 103W
Apr 19at SA98 − 111L
Apr 12vs SAC122 − 110W

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Oct 28vs SA111 − 117L
Oct 26vs MEM105 − 110L
Oct 25vs LAL123 − 132L
Oct 23vs NO120 − 119W
Oct 21at MEM103 − 123L
Apr 12at LAL107 − 131L
Apr 10vs MEM147 − 101W
Apr 7at NO137 − 156L
Apr 5at OKC111 − 146L
Apr 3at HOU106 − 140L