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Jazz at Lakers

NBA · Sunday, Apr 12 · 7:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final UTAH 107 – LAL 131
← NBA / Apr 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH22232933107
LAL32303336131
Team box
UTAH·LAL
41-94
field goals
51-93
7-34
3-pointers
15-34
18-27
free throws
14-17
42
rebounds
49
25
assists
37
16
turnovers
17
50
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Oscar TshiebweUTAH3229173
Deandre AytonLAL2622101
Rui HachimuraLAL2922100
LeBron JamesLAL171846
Dalton KnechtLAL121724
Ace BaileyUTAH291531

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +30
UTAH +30
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 30 · UTAH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 17%, LAL 83% · Updated Apr 12

Expected margin
LAL by 12.3
Expected score
LAL 126.6 – 114.3 UTAH
Expected total
240.9
JazzThe matchupLakers
+495Our fair odds−495
114.3Expected points126.6
−1.08Power rating+0.32
117.7Points / game116.2
126.0Allowed / game114.7
46.8FG%50.2
34.73P%36.0
43.8Rebounds / game40.9
22−59Season record52−29
1−9Last 106−4
Elijah Harkless · Isaiah Collier
Jaren Jackson Jr. · Jusuf Nurkic
Keyonte GeorgeOutAustin Reaves · Jaxson Hayes
Luka Doncic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · LAL chance
Our model fair16.8%83.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+49517%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−49583%————
SpreadLAL by 12.3
UTAHUtah Jazz+12.3our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−12.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 240.9
Over240.9our total————
Under240.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 12.3 expected
Utah Jazz by 53 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 50 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 51 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 52 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 53 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more72%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more58%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more42%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

240.9 expected
190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 230.568%
Total over 240.549%
Total over 250.531%
Total from 231 to 25037%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GAce Baileystarted
GBez Mbengstarted
FBlake Hinsonstarted
FCody Williamsstarted
COscar Tshiebwestarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuke Kennardstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·LAL
Apr 10 vs MEM
last game
Apr 10 vs PHX
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 12, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · left hamstring; strainOut
UTAHIsaiah Collier · left hamstring; strainOut
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · left knee; injury recoveryOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · nose; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKeyonte George · management right hamstring; strainOut
UTAHKyle Filipowski · low back; injuryOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right hip; impingementOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAustin Reaves · left oblique; muscle strainOut
LALJaxson Hayes · left foot; injury managementOut
LALLuka Doncic · left hamstring; strainOut
LALLeBron James · left foot; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 81+ games
UTAH·LAL
−1.08
rating (0 = average)
+0.32
117.7
points / game
116.2
126.0
points allowed / game
114.7
22−59
season record
52−29
14−27
home record
27−13
8−32
away record
25−16
W1
streak
W2
1−9
last 10
6−4
46.8
FG%
50.2
34.7
3P%
36.0
43.8
rebounds / game
40.9
29.7
assists / game
25.7
15.5
turnovers / game
14.5
52.7
points in paint / game
51.9

Rating Trend

UTAH · LAL · 158 days
Utah JazzLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 8−2
Dec 18, 2025at UTAHLAL 143 − 135
Nov 23, 2025at UTAHLAL 108 − 106
Nov 18, 2025at LALLAL 140 − 126
Feb 12, 2025at UTAHUTAH 131 − 119
Feb 10, 2025at LALLAL 132 − 113
Dec 1, 2024at UTAHLAL 105 − 104
Nov 19, 2024at LALLAL 124 − 118
Feb 14, 2024at UTAHLAL 138 − 122
Jan 13, 2024at UTAHUTAH 132 − 125
Nov 21, 2023at LALLAL 131 − 99

UTAH · Last 10

1−9 · streak W1
Apr 10vs MEM147 − 101W
Apr 7at NO137 − 156L
Apr 5at OKC111 − 146L
Apr 3at HOU106 − 140L
Apr 1vs DEN117 − 130L
Mar 30vs CLE113 − 122L
Mar 28at PHX109 − 134L
Mar 27at DEN129 − 135L
Mar 25vs WSH110 − 133L
Mar 23vs TOR127 − 143L

LAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Apr 10vs PHX101 − 73W
Apr 9at GS119 − 103W
Apr 7vs OKC87 − 123L
Apr 5at DAL128 − 134L
Apr 2at OKC96 − 139L
Mar 31vs CLE127 − 113W
Mar 30vs WSH120 − 101W
Mar 27vs BKN116 − 99W
Mar 25at IND137 − 130W
Mar 23at DET110 − 113L