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Pistons at Hornets

NBA · Monday, Nov 2 · 6:30 PM CT · Spectrum Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 2

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
DET by 3.8
Expected score
DET 108.8 – 104.9 CHA
Expected total
213.7
PistonsThe matchupHornets
−152Our fair odds+152
108.8Expected points104.9
+0.86Power rating+0.27
109.8Points / game101.0
103.4Allowed / game108.2
46.0FG%41.8
37.83P%31.0
46.8Rebounds / game47.2
4−1Season record3−2
5−5Last 106−4
Isaiah Joe G · Jalen Duren COutCoby White G · Grant Williams F
Kon Knueppel G · Kylan Boswell G

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · CHA chance
Our model fair60.2%39.8%
Kalshi66.6%40.7%
Polymarket US63.6%42.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:28 AM CTPolymarket US4:29 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−15260%−19966.6%−17563.6%——
CHACharlotte Hornets+15240%+14640.7%+13442.7%——
SpreadDET by 3.8
DETDetroit Pistons−3.8our margin————
CHACharlotte Hornets+3.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 213.7
Over213.7our total————
Under213.7our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 3.8 expected
Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%
← DET wins byCHA wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more51%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more35%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

213.7 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 203.570%
Total over 213.550%
Total over 223.530%
Total from 204 to 22340%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamlast game
GAusar Thompsonlast game
FDuncan Robinsonlast game
FJohn Collinslast game
FPaul Reedlast game
Charlotte Hornets
GDennis Schroderlast game
GSion Jameslast game
FMoussa Diabatelast game
FBrandon Millerlast game
CNaz Reidlast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·CHA
Oct 30 at BKN
last game
Oct 30 at WSH
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Detroit Pistons
DETIsaiah Joe G · right hip bruise, back about Nov 2Out
DETJalen Duren C · right hamstring strain, back about Nov 9Out
Charlotte Hornets
CHACoby White G · left calf strainOut
CHAGrant Williams F · right hamstringOut
CHAKon Knueppel G · left hamstring, back about Nov 2Out
CHAKylan Boswell G · right knee, back about Nov 2Out
CHADennis Schroder G · footDay-to-day

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
DET·CHA
+0.86
rating (0 = average)
+0.27
109.8
points / game
101.0
103.4
points allowed / game
108.2
4−1
season record
3−2
2−0
home record
2−1
2−1
away record
1−1
W1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
6−4
46.0
FG%
41.8
37.8
3P%
31.0
46.8
rebounds / game
47.2
27.0
assists / game
20.6
16.4
turnovers / game
20.0
42.4
points in paint / game
40.0

Rating Trend

DET · CHA · 10 days
Detroit PistonsCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 2−8
Oct 28at DETDET 97 − 89
Apr 10at CHADET 118 − 100
Feb 9at CHADET 110 − 104
Dec 20, 2025at DETDET 112 − 86
Feb 9, 2025at DETDET 112 − 102
Jan 3, 2025at DETDET 98 − 94
Nov 21, 2024at CHACHA 123 − 121
Nov 6, 2024at CHACHA 108 − 107
Mar 11, 2024at DETDET 114 − 97
Jan 24, 2024at DETDET 113 − 106

DET · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28vs CHA97 − 89W
Oct 27at NY97 − 111L
Oct 25at PHI106 − 93W
Oct 23at MIA128 − 111W
Oct 20vs BOS121 − 113W
May 17vs CLE94 − 125L
May 15at CLE115 − 94W
May 13vs CLE113 − 117L
May 11at CLE103 − 112L
May 9at CLE109 − 116L

CHA · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Oct 28at DET89 − 97L
Oct 26vs WSH110 − 103W
Oct 24vs MIA115 − 110W
Oct 23vs ATL81 − 128L
Oct 21at BKN110 − 103W
Apr 12at NY110 − 96W
Apr 10vs DET100 − 118L
Apr 7at BOS102 − 113L
Apr 5at MIN122 − 108W
Apr 3vs IND129 − 108W