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Panthers at Packers

NFL · Sunday, Nov 2 · 12:00 PM CT · Lambeau Field · Final CAR 16 – GB 13
← NFL / Nov 2, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CAR076316
GB060713
Team box
CAR·GB
265
total yards
369
102
passing yards
265
163
rushing yards
104
19
first downs
20
4-10
third downs
7-13
1
turnovers
2
29:50
time of possession
30:10
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Bryce YoungCAR11/2010201
Jordan LoveGB26/3727301
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Rico DowdleCAR251302
Josh JacobsGB17871
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Tetairoa McMillanCAR4460
Romeo DoubsGB7910

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
GB +7
CAR +7
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: GB 3 · CAR 7lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CAR 17%, GB 83% · Updated Nov 2, 2025

Expected margin
GB by 15.5
Expected score
GB 31.7 – 16.2 CAR
Expected total
47.9
PanthersThe matchupPackers
+484Our fair odds−484
16.2Expected points31.7
−0.63Power rating+0.70
19.2Points / game27.6
24.0Allowed / game21.4
316Total yards / game359
4.9Yards / play5.9
180Passing yards / game245
4−4Season record5−1−1
5−5Last 105−4−1

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CAR chance · GB chance
Our model fair17.1%82.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CARCarolina Panthers+48417%————
GBGreen Bay Packers−48483%————
SpreadGB by 15.5
CARCarolina Panthers+15.5our margin————
GBGreen Bay Packers−15.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 47.9
Over47.9our total————
Under47.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Green Bay Packers by 15.5 expected
Carolina Panthers by 49 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 48 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 47 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 46 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 45 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 44 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 43 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 42 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 41 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 40 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 39 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 38 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 37 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 36 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 35 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 34 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 33 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 32 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 31 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 30 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 29 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 28 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 27 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 26 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 25 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 24 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 23 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 22 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 21 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 20 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 19 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 18 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 17 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 16 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 15 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 14 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 13 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 12 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 11 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 10 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 9 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 8 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 7 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 6 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 5 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 4 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 3 points: 3%Carolina Panthers by 2 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 1 point: 1%Tie: <1%Green Bay Packers by 1 point: 1%Green Bay Packers by 2 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 3 points: 5%Green Bay Packers by 4 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 5 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 6 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 7 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 8 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 9 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 10 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 11 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 12 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 13 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 14 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 15 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 16 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 17 points: 5%Green Bay Packers by 18 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 19 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 20 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 21 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 22 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 23 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 24 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 25 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 26 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 27 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 28 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 29 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 30 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 31 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 32 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 33 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 34 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 35 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 36 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 37 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 38 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 39 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 40 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 41 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 42 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 43 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 44 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 45 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 46 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 47 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 48 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 49 points: <1%
← CAR wins byGB wins by →
Green Bay Packers wins by 3 or more83%
Green Bay Packers wins by 7 or more70%
Green Bay Packers wins by 10 or more62%
Within 3 points either way15%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

47.9 expected
13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: <1%17 points: <1%18 points: <1%19 points: <1%20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: <1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 1%30 points: 2%31 points: 1%32 points: 2%33 points: 2%34 points: 2%35 points: 2%36 points: 2%37 points: 3%38 points: 2%39 points: 2%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 2%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 3%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 2%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: 1%67 points: 1%68 points: 1%69 points: 1%70 points: 1%71 points: 1%72 points: 1%73 points: 1%74 points: 1%75 points: 1%76 points: 1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%80 points: <1%81 points: <1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: <1%90 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 40.568%
Total over 47.548%
Total over 54.531%
Total from 41 to 5437%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
CARBryce Young · last 3 games: 64% completions, 178 yds/game, 6 TD, 2 INTstarted
GBJordan Love · last 3 games: 73% completions, 266 yds/game, 5 TD, 1 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CAR·GB
Oct 26, 2025 vs BUF
last game
Oct 26, 2025 at PIT
6 days
days of rest
6 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
CAR·GB
−0.63
rating (0 = average)
+0.70
19.2
points / game
27.6
24.0
points allowed / game
21.4
4−4
season record
5−1−1
3−1
home record
3−0
1−3
away record
2−1−1
L1
streak
W3
5−5
last 10
5−4−1
316
total yards / game
359
4.9
yards / play
5.9
180
passing yards / game
245
137
rushing yards / game
114
20.8
first downs / game
21.0
1.5
turnovers / game
0.4

Rating Trend

CAR · GB · 23 days
Carolina PanthersGreen Bay Packers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 1 meeting · GB 1−0
Dec 24, 2023at CARGB 33 − 30

CAR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 26, 2025vs BUF9 − 40L
Oct 19, 2025at NYJ13 − 6W
Oct 12, 2025vs DAL30 − 27W
Oct 5, 2025vs MIA27 − 24W
Sep 28, 2025at NE13 − 42L
Sep 21, 2025vs ATL30 − 0W
Sep 14, 2025at ARI22 − 27L
Sep 7, 2025at JAX10 − 26L
Jan 5, 2025at ATL44 − 38W
Dec 29, 2024at TB14 − 48L

GB · Last 10

5−4−1 · streak W3
Oct 26, 2025at PIT35 − 25W
Oct 19, 2025at ARI27 − 23W
Oct 12, 2025vs CIN27 − 18W
Sep 28, 2025at DAL40 − 40T
Sep 21, 2025at CLE10 − 13L
Sep 11, 2025vs WSH27 − 18W
Sep 7, 2025vs DET27 − 13W
Jan 12, 2025at PHI10 − 22L
Jan 5, 2025vs CHI22 − 24L
Dec 29, 2024at MIN25 − 27L