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Cardinals at Cowboys

NFL · Monday, Nov 3 · 7:15 PM CT · AT&T Stadium · Final ARI 27 – DAL 17
← NFL / Nov 3, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ARI31410027
DAL073717
Team box
ARI·DAL
340
total yards
333
221
passing yards
210
119
rushing yards
123
23
first downs
22
7-13
third downs
5-12
0
turnovers
3
33:20
time of possession
26:40
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Jacoby BrissettARI21/3126120
Dak PrescottDAL24/3925011
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Emari DemercadoARI14790
Javonte WilliamsDAL15830
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI7961
CeeDee LambDAL7850

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DAL +17
ARI +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DAL 0 · ARI 17lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ARI 40%, DAL 60% · Updated Nov 3, 2025

Expected margin
DAL by 2.2
Expected score
DAL 29.5 – 27.3 ARI
Expected total
56.8
CardinalsThe matchupCowboys
+149Our fair odds−149
27.3Expected points29.5
−0.24Power rating−0.18
21.9Points / game30.8
22.0Allowed / game31.2
310Total yards / game384
5.0Yards / play6.0
200Passing yards / game264
2−5Season record3−4−1
3−7Last 103−6−1

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ARI chance · DAL chance
Our model fair40.2%59.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ARIArizona Cardinals+14940%————
DALDallas Cowboys−14960%————
SpreadDAL by 2.2
ARIArizona Cardinals+2.2our margin————
DALDallas Cowboys−2.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 56.8
Over56.8our total————
Under56.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Dallas Cowboys by 2.2 expected
Arizona Cardinals by 42 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 41 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 40 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 39 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 38 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 37 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 36 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 35 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 34 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 33 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 32 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 31 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 30 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 29 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 28 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 27 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 26 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 25 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 24 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 23 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 22 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 21 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 20 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 19 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 18 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 17 points: 2%Arizona Cardinals by 16 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 15 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 14 points: 3%Arizona Cardinals by 13 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 12 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 11 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 10 points: 2%Arizona Cardinals by 9 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 8 points: 2%Arizona Cardinals by 7 points: 4%Arizona Cardinals by 6 points: 3%Arizona Cardinals by 5 points: 3%Arizona Cardinals by 4 points: 3%Arizona Cardinals by 3 points: 8%Arizona Cardinals by 2 points: 2%Arizona Cardinals by 1 point: 3%Tie: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 1 point: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 2 points: 3%Dallas Cowboys by 3 points: 7%Dallas Cowboys by 4 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 5 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 6 points: 4%Dallas Cowboys by 7 points: 4%Dallas Cowboys by 8 points: 3%Dallas Cowboys by 9 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 10 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 11 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 12 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 13 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 14 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 15 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 16 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 17 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 18 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 19 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 20 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 21 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 22 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 23 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 24 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 25 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 26 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 27 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 28 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 29 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 30 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 31 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 32 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 33 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 34 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 35 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 36 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 37 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 38 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 39 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 40 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 41 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 42 points: <1%
← ARI wins byDAL wins by →
Dallas Cowboys wins by 3 or more49%
Dallas Cowboys wins by 7 or more33%
Dallas Cowboys wins by 10 or more25%
Within 3 points either way26%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

56.8 expected
20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: <1%23 points: <1%24 points: <1%25 points: <1%26 points: <1%27 points: <1%28 points: <1%29 points: 1%30 points: 1%31 points: 1%32 points: 1%33 points: 1%34 points: 1%35 points: 1%36 points: 1%37 points: 2%38 points: 1%39 points: 1%40 points: 2%41 points: 2%42 points: 2%43 points: 2%44 points: 2%45 points: 2%46 points: 2%47 points: 2%48 points: 2%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 3%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 2%63 points: 2%64 points: 2%65 points: 2%66 points: 2%67 points: 2%68 points: 2%69 points: 2%70 points: 1%71 points: 2%72 points: 1%73 points: 2%74 points: 2%75 points: 1%76 points: 1%77 points: 1%78 points: 1%79 points: 1%80 points: 1%81 points: 1%82 points: 1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: <1%90 points: 1%91 points: <1%92 points: <1%93 points: <1%94 points: <1%95 points: <1%96 points: <1%97 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 49.566%
Total over 56.550%
Total over 63.534%
Total from 50 to 6332%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
ARIJacoby Brissett · last 3 games: 64% completions, 200 yds/game, 4 TD, 1 INTstarted
DALDak Prescott · last 3 games: 68% completions, 238 yds/game, 6 TD, 2 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ARI·DAL
Oct 19, 2025 vs GB
last game
Oct 26, 2025 at DEN
14 days
days of rest
7 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
ARI·DAL
−0.24
rating (0 = average)
−0.18
21.9
points / game
30.8
22.0
points allowed / game
31.2
2−5
season record
3−4−1
1−3
home record
2−0−1
1−2
away record
1−4
L5
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
3−6−1
310
total yards / game
384
5.0
yards / play
6.0
200
passing yards / game
264
110
rushing yards / game
120
19.0
first downs / game
23.1
1.1
turnovers / game
1.0

Rating Trend

ARI · DAL · 24 days
Arizona CardinalsDallas Cowboys
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 2 meetings · DAL 0−2
Sep 24, 2023at ARIARI 28 − 16
Jan 2, 2022at DALARI 25 − 22

ARI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L5
Oct 19, 2025vs GB23 − 27L
Oct 12, 2025at IND27 − 31L
Oct 5, 2025vs TEN21 − 22L
Sep 25, 2025vs SEA20 − 23L
Sep 21, 2025at SF15 − 16L
Sep 14, 2025vs CAR27 − 22W
Sep 7, 2025at NO20 − 13W
Jan 5, 2025vs SF47 − 24W
Dec 28, 2024at LAR9 − 13L
Dec 22, 2024at CAR30 − 36L

DAL · Last 10

3−6−1 · streak L1
Oct 26, 2025at DEN24 − 44L
Oct 19, 2025vs WSH44 − 22W
Oct 12, 2025at CAR27 − 30L
Oct 5, 2025at NYJ37 − 22W
Sep 28, 2025vs GB40 − 40T
Sep 21, 2025at CHI14 − 31L
Sep 14, 2025vs NYG40 − 37W
Sep 4, 2025at PHI20 − 24L
Jan 5, 2025vs WSH19 − 23L
Dec 29, 2024at PHI7 − 41L