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Eagles at Packers

NFL · Monday, Nov 10 · 7:15 PM CT · Lambeau Field · Final PHI 10 – GB 7
← NFL / Nov 10, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI003710
GB00077
Team box
PHI·GB
294
total yards
261
183
passing yards
157
111
rushing yards
104
13
first downs
18
7-16
third downs
5-13
1
turnovers
2
32:05
time of possession
27:55
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Jalen HurtsPHI15/2618310
Jordan LoveGB20/3617600
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Saquon BarkleyPHI22600
Josh JacobsGB21741
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
DeVonta SmithPHI4691
Christian WatsonGB2450

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
GB +10
PHI +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: GB 0 · PHI 10lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 50%, GB 50% · Updated Nov 10, 2025

Expected margin
GB by 0.0
Expected score
GB 24.0 – 24.0 PHI
Expected total
48.0
EaglesThe matchupPackers
+101Our fair odds−101
24.0Expected points24.0
+0.80Power rating+0.51
26.0Points / game25.8
23.1Allowed / game20.8
304Total yards / game360
5.4Yards / play5.9
193Passing yards / game248
6−2Season record5−2−1
8−2Last 105−4−1

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · GB chance
Our model fair49.8%50.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles+10150%————
GBGreen Bay Packers−10150%————
SpreadGB by 0.0
PHIPhiladelphia EaglesPKour margin————
GBGreen Bay PackersPKour margin————
Totalwe expect 48.0
Over48.0our total————
Under48.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Philadelphia Eagles by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 14 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 11 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 9 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 7 points: 5%Philadelphia Eagles by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 3 points: 9%Philadelphia Eagles by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 1 point: 3%Tie: <1%Green Bay Packers by 1 point: 2%Green Bay Packers by 2 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 3 points: 7%Green Bay Packers by 4 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 5 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 6 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 7 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 8 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 9 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 10 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 11 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 12 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 13 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 14 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 15 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 16 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 17 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 18 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 19 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 20 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 21 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 22 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 23 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 24 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 25 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 26 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 27 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 28 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 29 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 30 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 31 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 32 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 33 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 34 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 35 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 36 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 37 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 38 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 39 points: <1%
← PHI wins byGB wins by →
Green Bay Packers wins by 3 or more43%
Green Bay Packers wins by 7 or more27%
Green Bay Packers wins by 10 or more20%
Within 3 points either way27%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

48.0 expected
14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: <1%17 points: <1%18 points: <1%19 points: <1%20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: <1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 1%30 points: 2%31 points: 1%32 points: 2%33 points: 2%34 points: 2%35 points: 2%36 points: 2%37 points: 3%38 points: 2%39 points: 2%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 2%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 3%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 2%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 1%63 points: 2%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: 1%67 points: 1%68 points: 1%69 points: 1%70 points: 1%71 points: 1%72 points: 1%73 points: 1%74 points: 1%75 points: 1%76 points: 1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%80 points: <1%81 points: <1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: <1%90 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 41.565%
Total over 48.546%
Total over 55.529%
Total from 42 to 5536%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
PHIJalen Hurts · last 3 games: 76% completions, 263 yds/game, 8 TD, 1 INTstarted
GBJordan Love · last 3 games: 72% completions, 271 yds/game, 4 TD, 1 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·GB
Oct 26, 2025 vs NYG
last game
Nov 2, 2025 vs CAR
14 days
days of rest
7 days
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
PHI·GB
+0.80
rating (0 = average)
+0.51
26.0
points / game
25.8
23.1
points allowed / game
20.8
6−2
season record
5−2−1
3−1
home record
3−1
3−1
away record
2−1−1
W2
streak
L1
8−2
last 10
5−4−1
304
total yards / game
360
5.4
yards / play
5.9
193
passing yards / game
248
112
rushing yards / game
113
17.9
first downs / game
20.9
0.4
turnovers / game
0.6

Rating Trend

PHI · GB · 27 days
Philadelphia EaglesGreen Bay Packers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 3 meetings · GB 0−3
Jan 12, 2025at PHIPHI 22 − 10post
Sep 6, 2024at PHIPHI 34 − 29
Nov 27, 2022at PHIPHI 40 − 33

PHI · Last 10

8−2 · streak W2
Oct 26, 2025vs NYG38 − 20W
Oct 19, 2025at MIN28 − 22W
Oct 9, 2025at NYG17 − 34L
Oct 5, 2025vs DEN17 − 21L
Sep 28, 2025at TB31 − 25W
Sep 21, 2025vs LAR33 − 26W
Sep 14, 2025at KC20 − 17W
Sep 4, 2025vs DAL24 − 20W
Feb 9, 2025vs KC40 − 22W
Jan 26, 2025vs WSH55 − 23W

GB · Last 10

5−4−1 · streak L1
Nov 2, 2025vs CAR13 − 16L
Oct 26, 2025at PIT35 − 25W
Oct 19, 2025at ARI27 − 23W
Oct 12, 2025vs CIN27 − 18W
Sep 28, 2025at DAL40 − 40T
Sep 21, 2025at CLE10 − 13L
Sep 11, 2025vs WSH27 − 18W
Sep 7, 2025vs DET27 − 13W
Jan 12, 2025at PHI10 − 22L
Jan 5, 2025vs CHI22 − 24L