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Pistons at Nets

NBA · Friday, Oct 30 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final DET 110 – BKN 94

Box score and game flow are added the next morning.

Final · our forecast was DET 74%, BKN 26% · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
DET by 10.3
Expected score
DET 115.5 – 105.2 BKN
Expected total
220.6
PistonsThe matchupNets
−287Our fair odds+287
115.5Expected points105.2
+0.86Power rating−1.26
109.8Points / game114.2
103.4Allowed / game124.0
46.0FG%43.0
37.83P%36.8
46.8Rebounds / game43.5
4−1Season record0−4
5−5Last 102−8
Isaiah Joe · Jalen Duren
Ugonna Onyenso
OutBen Saraf · Egor Demin
Grant Nelson · Joshua Jefferson
Tyler Bilodeau

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · BKN chance
Our model fair74.2%25.8%
Kalshi74.4%28.4%
Polymarket US74.4%29.4%
ProphetX73.9%28.5%
Novig73.0%27.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:28 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:27 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:28 PM CT
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−28774%−29074.4%−29074.4%−28373.9%−27073.0%
BKNBrooklyn Nets+28726%+25228.4%+24029.4%+25128.5%+26427.5%
SpreadDET by 10.3
DETDetroit Pistons−10.3our margin−7.5 −11653.7%−7.5 −11252.7%−7.5 −11653.8%−7.5 −11353.0%
BKNBrooklyn Nets+10.3our margin+7.5 −10350.7%+7.5 −10751.7%+7.5 +10548.7%+7.5 +11147.5%
Totalwe expect 220.6
Over220.6our totalo222.5 −10350.7%o222.5 −11252.7%o222.5 −10050.0%o222.5 +10648.5%
Under220.6our totalu222.5 −11653.7%u222.5 −10751.7%u222.5 −10952.2%u222.5 −10852.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 10.3 expected
Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 4%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%
← DET wins byBKN wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more69%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more53%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more36%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.6 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.570%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.530%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
FJohn Collinsstarted
FPaul Reedstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GNolan Traorestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·BKN
Oct 28 vs CHA
last game
Oct 27 at BOS
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 30, 4:15 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETIsaiah Joe · right hip contusionOut
DETJalen Duren · right hamstring strainOut
DETUgonna Onyenso · g league - two-wayOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNEgor Demin · right bone bruiseOut
BKNGrant Nelson · g league - two-wayOut
BKNJoshua Jefferson · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNTyler Bilodeau · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
DET·BKN
+0.86
rating (0 = average)
−1.26
109.8
points / game
114.2
103.4
points allowed / game
124.0
4−1
season record
0−4
2−0
home record
0−2
2−1
away record
0−2
W1
streak
L4
5−5
last 10
2−8
46.0
FG%
43.0
37.8
3P%
36.8
46.8
rebounds / game
43.5
27.0
assists / game
24.0
16.4
turnovers / game
18.0
42.4
points in paint / game
40.0

Rating Trend

DET · BKN · 10 days
Detroit PistonsBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 3−7
Mar 10at BKNDET 138 − 100
Mar 7at DETBKN 107 − 105
Feb 1at DETDET 130 − 77
Nov 7, 2025at BKNDET 125 − 107
Mar 1, 2025at DETDET 115 − 94
Jan 8, 2025at BKNDET 113 − 98
Nov 3, 2024at BKNDET 106 − 92
Apr 6, 2024at BKNBKN 113 − 103
Mar 7, 2024at DETDET 118 − 112
Dec 26, 2023at DETBKN 118 − 112

DET · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28vs CHA97 − 89W
Oct 27at NY97 − 111L
Oct 25at PHI106 − 93W
Oct 23at MIA128 − 111W
Oct 20vs BOS121 − 113W
May 17vs CLE94 − 125L
May 15at CLE115 − 94W
May 13vs CLE113 − 117L
May 11at CLE103 − 112L
May 9at CLE109 − 116L

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L7
Oct 27at BOS124 − 125L
Oct 25vs IND109 − 136L
Oct 24at CLE121 − 125L
Oct 21vs CHA103 − 110L
Apr 12at TOR101 − 136L
Apr 10at MIL108 − 125L
Apr 9vs IND94 − 123L
Apr 7vs MIL96 − 90W
Apr 5vs WSH121 − 115W
Apr 3vs ATL107 − 141L