Final · our forecast was DET 74%, BKN 26% · Updated Oct 30
Expected margin
DET by 10.3
Expected score
DET 115.5 – 105.2 BKN
Expected total
220.6
PistonsThe matchupNets
−287Our fair odds+287
115.5Expected points105.2
+0.86Power rating−1.26
109.8Points / game114.2
103.4Allowed / game124.0
46.0FG%43.0
37.83P%36.8
46.8Rebounds / game43.5
4−1Season record0−4
5−5Last 102−8
Isaiah Joe · Jalen Duren Ugonna OnyensoOutBen Saraf · Egor Demin Grant Nelson · Joshua Jefferson Tyler Bilodeau
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · BKN chance
Our model fair74.2%25.8%
Kalshi74.4%28.4%
Polymarket US74.4%29.4%
ProphetX73.9%28.5%
Novig73.0%27.5%
Full price table
Team
Our modelfair
Kalshipre-game · 6:28 PM CT
Polymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CT
ProphetXpre-game · 6:27 PM CT
Novigpre-game · 6:28 PM CT
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons
−28774%
−29074.4%
−29074.4%
−28373.9%
−27073.0%
BKNBrooklyn Nets
+28726%
+25228.4%
+24029.4%
+25128.5%
+26427.5%
SpreadDET by 10.3
DETDetroit Pistons
−10.3our margin
−7.5−11653.7%
−7.5−11252.7%
−7.5−11653.8%
−7.5−11353.0%
BKNBrooklyn Nets
+10.3our margin
+7.5−10350.7%
+7.5−10751.7%
+7.5+10548.7%
+7.5+11147.5%
Totalwe expect 220.6
Over
220.6our total
o222.5−10350.7%
o222.5−11252.7%
o222.5−10050.0%
o222.5+10648.5%
Under
220.6our total
u222.5−11653.7%
u222.5−10751.7%
u222.5−10952.2%
u222.5−10852.0%
These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Detroit Pistons by 10.3 expected
40302010010203040
← DET wins byBKN wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more69%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more53%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more36%
Within 5 points either way19%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
220.6 expected
180200220240260
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.570%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.530%
Total from 211 to 23039%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.