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76ers at Hornets

NBA · Saturday, Oct 31 · 5:00 PM CT · Spectrum Center
← NBA / Oct 31

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 31

Expected margin
CHA by 0.9
Expected score
CHA 107.0 – 106.1 PHI
Expected total
213.1
76ersThe matchupHornets
+111Our fair odds−111
106.1Expected points107.0
+0.22Power rating+0.16
108.7Points / game97.3
105.0Allowed / game106.0
44.0FG%39.8
32.23P%29.3
41.7Rebounds / game48.5
5−1Season record3−3
5−5Last 105−5
Ariel Hukporti · Dominick Barlow
Joel Embiid · LeBron JamesOutCoby White · Grant Williams
Kon Knueppel · Kylan Boswell
Michael Ajayi

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · CHA chance
Our model fair47.4%52.6%
Kalshi52.7%51.7%
Polymarket US52.7%51.7%
ProphetX52.0%50.5%
Novig51.0%49.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi1:43 PM CTPolymarket US1:42 PM CTProphetX1:41 PM CTNovig1:42 PM CT
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+11147%−11252.7%−11252.7%−10852.0%−10451.0%
CHACharlotte Hornets−11153%−10751.8%−10751.7%−10250.5%+10249.5%
SpreadCHA by 0.9
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+0.9our margin−1.5 −10350.7%−1.5 −10350.7%−1.5 +10449.1%−1.5 +10449.0%
CHACharlotte Hornets−0.9our margin+1.5 −11653.7%+1.5 −11653.7%+1.5 −11553.6%+1.5 −11353.0%
Totalwe expect 213.1
Over213.1our totalo211.5 −12154.7%o211.5 −12154.7%o211.5 −11754.0%o211.5 −11353.0%
Under213.1our totalu211.5 +10149.7%u211.5 +10149.7%u211.5 +10149.8%u211.5 +10449.0%

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Charlotte Hornets by 0.9 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%
← PHI wins byCHA wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more43%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more29%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

213.1 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: 1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 203.569%
Total over 213.548%
Total over 223.529%
Total from 204 to 22340%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Philadelphia 76ers
PGTyrese Maxeyexpected
SGVJ Edgecombeexpected
SFJaylen Brownexpected
PFDean Wadeexpected
CAdem Bonaexpected
Charlotte Hornets
PGDennis Schroderexpected
SGSion Jamesexpected
SFBrandon Millerexpected
PFNaz Reidexpected
CMoussa Diabateexpected

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·CHA
Oct 30 vs NY
last game
Oct 30 at WSH
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 31, 1:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIAriel Hukporti · right achilles tendon rupture / tearOut
PHIDominick Barlow · low back stress reactionOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right foot plantar fascia injury managementOut
PHILeBron James · low back/sciatica managementOut
PHIJabari Walker · left patellar tendinopathyQuestionable
PHIJaylen Brown · left patellar tendinopathyQuestionable
PHITacko Fall · left quadriceps strainQuestionable
Charlotte Hornets
CHACoby White · left calf strainOut
CHAGrant Williams · right hamstring strainOut
CHAKon Knueppel · left hamstring strainOut
CHAKylan Boswell · g league - two-wayOut
CHAMichael Ajayi · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
PHI·CHA
+0.22
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
108.7
points / game
97.3
105.0
points allowed / game
106.0
5−1
season record
3−3
3−1
home record
2−1
2−0
away record
1−2
W2
streak
L2
5−5
last 10
5−5
44.0
FG%
39.8
32.2
3P%
29.3
41.7
rebounds / game
48.5
24.8
assists / game
20.8
13.5
turnovers / game
18.7
42.3
points in paint / game
38.0

Rating Trend

PHI · CHA · 11 days
Philadelphia 76ersCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 1−9
Mar 28at CHAPHI 118 − 114
Jan 26at CHACHA 130 − 93
Oct 25, 2025at PHIPHI 125 − 121
Dec 20, 2024at PHIPHI 108 − 98
Dec 16, 2024at CHAPHI 121 − 108
Dec 3, 2024at CHAPHI 110 − 104
Nov 10, 2024at PHIPHI 107 − 105
Mar 16, 2024at PHIPHI 109 − 98
Mar 1, 2024at PHIPHI 121 − 114
Jan 20, 2024at CHAPHI 97 − 89

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Oct 30vs NY98 − 93W
Oct 28at IND114 − 109W
Oct 25vs DET93 − 106L
Oct 24vs MIL127 − 116W
Oct 22vs CLE114 − 106W
Oct 20at NY106 − 100W
May 10vs NY114 − 144L
May 8vs NY94 − 108L
May 6at NY102 − 108L
May 4at NY98 − 137L

CHA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Oct 30at WSH79 − 95L
Oct 28at DET89 − 97L
Oct 26vs WSH110 − 103W
Oct 24vs MIA115 − 110W
Oct 23vs ATL81 − 128L
Oct 21at BKN110 − 103W
Apr 12at NY110 − 96W
Apr 10vs DET100 − 118L
Apr 7at BOS102 − 113L
Apr 5at MIN122 − 108W