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Bulls at Knicks

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 4 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 4

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
NY by 10.5
Expected score
NY 120.8 – 110.2 CHI
Expected total
231.0
BullsThe matchupKnicks
+316Our fair odds−316
110.2Expected points120.8
−0.82Power rating+0.90
114.0Points / game109.8
130.2Allowed / game109.6
41.8FG%42.2
27.23P%35.2
44.8Rebounds / game48.2
1−4Season record2−3
3−7Last 106−4
Nic Claxton COut (1 each)Jose Alvarado G

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · NY chance
Our model fair24.1%75.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket US47.7%90.6%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US5:13 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+31624%—+11047.7%——
NYNew York Knicks−31676%—−96790.6%——
SpreadNY by 10.5
CHIChicago Bulls+10.5our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−10.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.0
Over231.0our total————
Under231.0our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 10.5 expected
Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 2%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%
← CHI wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more68%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more53%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more38%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.0 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.568%
Total over 231.548%
Total over 241.529%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Chicago Bulls
GNorman Powelllast game
GJosh Giddeylast game
FJalen Smithlast game
FMatas Buzelislast game
FCaleb Wilsonlast game
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartlast game
GMikal Bridgeslast game
GJalen Brunsonlast game
FOG Anunobylast game
CKarl-Anthony Townslast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·NY
Oct 30 at BOS
last game
Oct 30 at PHI
4 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Chicago Bulls
CHINic Claxton C · hamstring, back about Nov 4Out
CHIJalen Smith F · left fingerDay-to-day
CHITobe Awaka F · ankleDay-to-day
New York Knicks
NYJose Alvarado G · left ankle sprain, back about Nov 4Out
NYKarl-Anthony Towns C · left wrist sprainDay-to-day

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
CHI·NY
−0.82
rating (0 = average)
+0.90
114.0
points / game
109.8
130.2
points allowed / game
109.6
1−4
season record
2−3
0−2
home record
1−2
1−2
away record
1−1
L3
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
6−4
41.8
FG%
42.2
27.2
3P%
35.2
44.8
rebounds / game
48.2
24.4
assists / game
26.8
18.0
turnovers / game
16.0
45.6
points in paint / game
42.8

Rating Trend

CHI · NY · 10 days
Chicago BullsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 7−3
Oct 28at CHINY 133 − 127
Apr 3at NYNY 136 − 96
Feb 22at CHINY 105 − 99
Nov 2, 2025at NYNY 128 − 116
Oct 31, 2025at CHICHI 135 − 125
Feb 20, 2025at NYNY 113 − 111
Jan 4, 2025at CHICHI 139 − 126
Nov 13, 2024at NYCHI 124 − 123
Apr 14, 2024at NYNY 120 − 119
Apr 9, 2024at CHINY 128 − 117

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Oct 28vs NY127 − 133L
Oct 26at BOS99 − 134L
Oct 24vs WSH120 − 124L
Oct 23at MIL132 − 125W
Oct 21at TOR92 − 135L
Apr 12at DAL128 − 149L
Apr 10vs ORL103 − 127L
Apr 9at WSH119 − 108W
Apr 7at WSH129 − 98W
Apr 5vs PHX110 − 120L

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 28at CHI133 − 127W
Oct 27vs DET111 − 97W
Oct 25vs ORL102 − 111L
Oct 23at BOS103 − 107L
Oct 20vs PHI100 − 106L
Jun 13at SA94 − 90W
Jun 10vs SA107 − 106W
Jun 8vs SA111 − 115L
Jun 5at SA105 − 104W
Jun 3at SA105 − 95W