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Grizzlies at Raptors

NBA · Monday, Nov 9 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final MEM 118 – TOR 102
← NBA / Nov 9

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM25343029118
TOR26272821102
Team box
MEM·TOR
42-79
field goals
39-90
16-34
3-pointers
13-38
18-19
free throws
11-17
44
rebounds
34
27
assists
27
18
turnovers
14
42
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Ty JeromeMEM322762
Cameron BoozerMEM332278
Jamal SheadTOR3620211
RJ BarrettTOR361932
Jakob PoeltlTOR311882
Jamison BattleTOR291812

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +16
MEM +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 6 · MEM 16lead changes: 13

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 51%, TOR 49% · Updated Nov 9

Expected margin
MEM by 0.4
Expected score
MEM 114.1 – 113.6 TOR
Expected total
227.7
GrizzliesThe matchupRaptors
−106Our fair odds+106
114.1Expected points113.6
−0.50Power rating+0.28
117.9Points / game118.2
111.8Allowed / game112.8
45.9FG%46.6
38.23P%31.7
48.6Rebounds / game42.1
6−3Season record5−4
6−4Last 105−5
Isaiah Stewart · Jahmai Mashack
Karim Lopez · Richie Saunders
Scotty Pippen Jr.Out (5 each)Collin Murray-Boyles · Immanuel Quickley
Kawhi Leonard · Nate Bittle
Scottie Barnes

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · TOR chance
Our model fair51.5%48.5%
Kalshi54.7%48.7%
Polymarket US56.4%49.4%
ProphetX54.2%45.0%
Novig53.5%47.0%
Full price table
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:30 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:28 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:29 PM CT
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−10651%−12154.7%−12956.4%−11854.2%−11553.5%
TORToronto Raptors+10649%+10548.7%+10349.4%+12245.0%+11347.0%
SpreadMEM by 0.4
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−0.4our margin−1.5 −10751.8%−1.5 −11453.4%−1.5 −10350.8%−1.5 −10250.5%
TORToronto Raptors+0.4our margin+1.5 −11252.7%+1.5 −11052.4%+1.5 −10852.0%+1.5 +10050.0%
Totalwe expect 227.7
Over227.7our totalo226.5 +10149.7%o226.5 −10150.4%o226.5 −10350.8%o226.5 +10648.5%
Under227.7our totalu226.5 −12154.7%u226.5 −12455.4%u226.5 −10852.0%u226.5 −11152.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 0.4 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%
← MEM wins byTOR wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more41%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more28%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,609 past NBA games.

Total range

227.7 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,609 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GTy Jeromestarted
FCedric Cowardstarted
FCameron Boozerstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CZach Edeystarted
Toronto Raptors
GJamal Sheadstarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FKyle Andersonstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·TOR
Nov 6 vs OKC
last game
Nov 6 at MIL
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 9, 6:45 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMIsaiah Stewart · right knee bone bruiseOut
MEMJahmai Mashack · g league - two-wayOut
MEMKarim Lopez · g league - on assignmentOut
MEMRichie Saunders · right knee surgeryOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · lumbar disc herniationOut
Toronto Raptors
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · illnessOut
TORImmanuel Quickley · right hamstring tightness / sorenessOut
TORKawhi Leonard · left knee injury managementOut
TORNate Bittle · right avulsion fractureOut
TORScottie Barnes · left groin strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 9+ games
MEM·TOR
−0.50
rating (0 = average)
+0.28
117.9
points / game
118.2
111.8
points allowed / game
112.8
6−3
season record
5−4
2−3
home record
2−1
4−0
away record
3−3
L3
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
5−5
45.9
FG%
46.6
38.2
3P%
31.7
48.6
rebounds / game
42.1
26.4
assists / game
28.7
16.7
turnovers / game
14.6
47.1
points in paint / game
52.2

Rating Trend

MEM · TOR · 20 days
Memphis GrizzliesToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 5−5
Apr 3at MEMTOR 128 − 96
Nov 2, 2025at TORTOR 117 − 104
Feb 5, 2025at TORMEM 138 − 107
Dec 26, 2024at MEMMEM 155 − 126
Jan 22, 2024at TORMEM 108 − 100
Jan 3, 2024at MEMTOR 116 − 111
Feb 5, 2023at MEMTOR 106 − 103
Dec 29, 2022at TORMEM 119 − 106
Nov 30, 2021at TORMEM 98 − 91
Nov 24, 2021at MEMTOR 126 − 113

MEM · Last 10

6−4 · streak L3
Nov 6vs OKC97 − 128L
Nov 4vs IND103 − 107L
Nov 2vs NO134 − 135L
Oct 31vs SAC136 − 105W
Oct 29at POR124 − 103W
Oct 26at UTAH110 − 105W
Oct 25at SAC123 − 112W
Oct 23at GS111 − 108W
Oct 21vs UTAH123 − 103W
Apr 12at HOU101 − 132L

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 6at MIL121 − 107W
Nov 4at DEN109 − 128L
Nov 2at LAC125 − 118W
Nov 1at LAL125 − 131L
Oct 30vs ORL114 − 121L
Oct 28vs ORL129 − 99W
Oct 25at MIN94 − 117L
Oct 23at WSH112 − 102W
Oct 21vs CHI135 − 92W
May 3at CLE102 − 114L