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Chargers at Titans

NFL · Sunday, Nov 2 · 12:00 PM CT · Nissan Stadium · Final LAC 27 – TEN 20
← NFL / Nov 2, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC7130727
TEN1430320
Team box
LAC·TEN
343
total yards
206
212
passing yards
118
131
rushing yards
88
21
first downs
10
7-13
third downs
1-9
1
turnovers
0
34:20
time of possession
25:40
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Justin HerbertLAC19/2925021
Cam WardTEN12/2114500
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Justin HerbertLAC9571
Tony PollardTEN10560
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Oronde GadsdenLAC5680
Elic AyomanorTEN3460

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TEN +10
LAC +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TEN 7 · LAC 10lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 73%, TEN 27% · Updated Nov 2, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 9.6
Expected score
LAC 25.5 – 15.9 TEN
Expected total
41.4
ChargersThe matchupTitans
−267Our fair odds+267
25.5Expected points15.9
+0.21Power rating−1.21
23.5Points / game13.8
21.6Allowed / game28.8
378Total yards / game249
5.8Yards / play4.2
255Passing yards / game168
5−3Season record1−7
6−4Last 101−9

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · TEN chance
Our model fair72.8%27.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLos Angeles Chargers−26773%————
TENTennessee Titans+26727%————
SpreadLAC by 9.6
LACLos Angeles Chargers−9.6our margin————
TENTennessee Titans+9.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 41.4
Over41.4our total————
Under41.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Chargers by 9.6 expected
Los Angeles Chargers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Chargers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Chargers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Chargers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Chargers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 34 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Chargers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Chargers by 31 points: 2%Los Angeles Chargers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Chargers by 28 points: 4%Los Angeles Chargers by 27 points: <1%Los Angeles Chargers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 25 points: 2%Los Angeles Chargers by 24 points: 3%Los Angeles Chargers by 23 points: 3%Los Angeles Chargers by 22 points: 2%Los Angeles Chargers by 21 points: 3%Los Angeles Chargers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Chargers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Chargers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Chargers by 17 points: 4%Los Angeles Chargers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Chargers by 15 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 14 points: 5%Los Angeles Chargers by 13 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 12 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 11 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Chargers by 9 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 8 points: 2%Los Angeles Chargers by 7 points: 5%Los Angeles Chargers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Chargers by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Chargers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Chargers by 3 points: 7%Los Angeles Chargers by 2 points: 1%Los Angeles Chargers by 1 point: 2%Tie: <1%Tennessee Titans by 1 point: 1%Tennessee Titans by 2 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 3 points: 4%Tennessee Titans by 4 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 5 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 6 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 7 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 8 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 9 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 10 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 11 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 12 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 13 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 14 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 15 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 16 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 17 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 18 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 19 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 20 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 21 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 22 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 23 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 24 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 25 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 26 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 27 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 28 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 29 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 30 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 31 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 32 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 33 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 34 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 35 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 36 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 37 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 38 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 39 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 40 points: <1%
← LAC wins byTEN wins by →
Los Angeles Chargers wins by 3 or more71%
Los Angeles Chargers wins by 7 or more56%
Los Angeles Chargers wins by 10 or more49%
Within 3 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

41.4 expected
8 points: <1%9 points: <1%10 points: <1%11 points: <1%12 points: <1%13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: 1%17 points: 1%18 points: <1%19 points: 1%20 points: 1%21 points: 1%22 points: 1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 2%27 points: 2%28 points: 2%29 points: 2%30 points: 3%31 points: 2%32 points: 2%33 points: 3%34 points: 3%35 points: 3%36 points: 3%37 points: 3%38 points: 3%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 3%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 2%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 1%56 points: 1%57 points: 2%58 points: 1%59 points: 1%60 points: 1%61 points: 1%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: 1%67 points: <1%68 points: <1%69 points: <1%70 points: <1%71 points: <1%72 points: <1%73 points: <1%74 points: <1%75 points: <1%76 points: <1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%80 points: <1%81 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 34.568%
Total over 41.548%
Total over 48.528%
Total from 35 to 4840%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
LACJustin Herbert · last 3 games: 71% completions, 304 yds/game, 8 TD, 3 INTstarted
TENCam Ward · last 3 games: 66% completions, 245 yds/game, 3 TD, 3 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·TEN
Oct 23, 2025 vs MIN
last game
Oct 26, 2025 at IND
9 days
days of rest
6 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
LAC·TEN
+0.21
rating (0 = average)
−1.21
23.5
points / game
13.8
21.6
points allowed / game
28.8
5−3
season record
1−7
3−2
home record
0−3
2−1
away record
1−4
W1
streak
L3
6−4
last 10
1−9
378
total yards / game
249
5.8
yards / play
4.2
255
passing yards / game
168
123
rushing yards / game
80
21.9
first downs / game
15.9
1.4
turnovers / game
1.6

Rating Trend

LAC · TEN · 23 days
Los Angeles ChargersTennessee Titans
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 3 meetings · TEN 1−2
Nov 10, 2024at LACLAC 27 − 17
Sep 17, 2023at TENTEN 27 − 24
Dec 18, 2022at LACLAC 17 − 14

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 23, 2025vs MIN37 − 10W
Oct 19, 2025vs IND24 − 38L
Oct 12, 2025at MIA29 − 27W
Oct 5, 2025vs WSH10 − 27L
Sep 28, 2025at NYG18 − 21L
Sep 21, 2025vs DEN23 − 20W
Sep 15, 2025at LV20 − 9W
Sep 5, 2025vs KC27 − 21W
Jan 11, 2025at HOU12 − 32L
Jan 5, 2025at LV34 − 20W

TEN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L3
Oct 26, 2025at IND14 − 38L
Oct 19, 2025vs NE13 − 31L
Oct 12, 2025at LV10 − 20L
Oct 5, 2025at ARI22 − 21W
Sep 28, 2025at HOU0 − 26L
Sep 21, 2025vs IND20 − 41L
Sep 14, 2025vs LAR19 − 33L
Sep 7, 2025at DEN12 − 20L
Jan 5, 2025vs HOU14 − 23L
Dec 29, 2024at JAX13 − 20L