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Saints at Rams

NFL · Sunday, Nov 2 · 3:05 PM CT · SoFi Stadium · Final NO 10 – LAR 34
← NFL / Nov 2, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NO0100010
LAR7137734
Team box
NO·LAR
224
total yards
438
167
passing yards
267
57
rushing yards
171
10
first downs
30
2-9
third downs
7-14
2
turnovers
0
16:07
time of possession
43:53
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Tyler ShoughNO15/2417611
Matthew StaffordLAR24/3228140
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Taysom HillNO4300
Kyren WilliamsLAR251141
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Rashid ShaheedNO5680
Puka NacuaLAR7951

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAR +24
NO +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAR 24 · NO 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NO 17%, LAR 83% · Updated Nov 2, 2025

Expected margin
LAR by 14.8
Expected score
LAR 27.2 – 12.4 NO
Expected total
39.6
SaintsThe matchupRams
+496Our fair odds−496
12.4Expected points27.2
−0.85Power rating+0.51
16.0Points / game25.0
26.1Allowed / game16.7
295Total yards / game360
4.7Yards / play5.8
201Passing yards / game257
1−7Season record5−2
1−9Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NO chance · LAR chance
Our model fair16.8%83.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NONew Orleans Saints+49617%————
LARLos Angeles Rams−49683%————
SpreadLAR by 14.8
NONew Orleans Saints+14.8our margin————
LARLos Angeles Rams−14.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 39.6
Over39.6our total————
Under39.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Rams by 14.8 expected
New Orleans Saints by 49 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 48 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 47 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 24 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 23 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 22 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 21 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 20 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 19 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 18 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 17 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 16 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 15 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 14 points: 1%New Orleans Saints by 13 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 12 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 11 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 10 points: 1%New Orleans Saints by 9 points: <1%New Orleans Saints by 8 points: 1%New Orleans Saints by 7 points: 1%New Orleans Saints by 6 points: 1%New Orleans Saints by 5 points: 1%New Orleans Saints by 4 points: 1%New Orleans Saints by 3 points: 4%New Orleans Saints by 2 points: 1%New Orleans Saints by 1 point: 2%Tie: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 1 point: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 3 points: 6%Los Angeles Rams by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 6 points: 4%Los Angeles Rams by 7 points: 4%Los Angeles Rams by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 9 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 11 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 17 points: 5%Los Angeles Rams by 18 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 21 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 22 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 23 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 24 points: 4%Los Angeles Rams by 25 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 26 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 28 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 31 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 34 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 37 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 38 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 40 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 41 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 42 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 49 points: <1%
← NO wins byLAR wins by →
Los Angeles Rams wins by 3 or more81%
Los Angeles Rams wins by 7 or more68%
Los Angeles Rams wins by 10 or more60%
Within 3 points either way16%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

39.6 expected
6 points: <1%7 points: <1%8 points: <1%9 points: <1%10 points: <1%11 points: <1%12 points: <1%13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: 1%17 points: 1%18 points: 1%19 points: 1%20 points: 1%21 points: 1%22 points: 1%23 points: 2%24 points: 1%25 points: 2%26 points: 2%27 points: 2%28 points: 2%29 points: 2%30 points: 3%31 points: 2%32 points: 3%33 points: 3%34 points: 3%35 points: 3%36 points: 3%37 points: 3%38 points: 3%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 3%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 2%47 points: 2%48 points: 2%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 2%52 points: 2%53 points: 1%54 points: 2%55 points: 1%56 points: 1%57 points: 1%58 points: 1%59 points: 1%60 points: 1%61 points: 1%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: <1%67 points: <1%68 points: <1%69 points: <1%70 points: <1%71 points: <1%72 points: <1%73 points: <1%74 points: <1%75 points: <1%76 points: <1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 32.570%
Total over 39.549%
Total over 46.529%
Total from 33 to 4641%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
NOTyler Shough · last 2 games: 53% completions, 64 yds/game, 0 TD, 1 INTstarted
LARMatthew Stafford · last 3 games: 64% completions, 251 yds/game, 9 TD, 0 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NO·LAR
Oct 26, 2025 vs TB
last game
Oct 19, 2025 at JAX
6 days
days of rest
13 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
NO·LAR
−0.85
rating (0 = average)
+0.51
16.0
points / game
25.0
26.1
points allowed / game
16.7
1−7
season record
5−2
1−4
home record
2−1
0−3
away record
3−1
L3
streak
W2
1−9
last 10
6−4
295
total yards / game
360
4.7
yards / play
5.8
201
passing yards / game
257
94
rushing yards / game
103
19.1
first downs / game
22.0
1.5
turnovers / game
1.0

Rating Trend

NO · LAR · 23 days
New Orleans SaintsLos Angeles Rams
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 3 meetings · LAR 2−1
Dec 1, 2024at NOLAR 21 − 14
Dec 21, 2023at LARLAR 30 − 22
Nov 20, 2022at NONO 27 − 20

NO · Last 10

1−9 · streak L3
Oct 26, 2025vs TB3 − 23L
Oct 19, 2025at CHI14 − 26L
Oct 12, 2025vs NE19 − 25L
Oct 5, 2025vs NYG26 − 14W
Sep 28, 2025at BUF19 − 31L
Sep 21, 2025at SEA13 − 44L
Sep 14, 2025vs SF21 − 26L
Sep 7, 2025vs ARI13 − 20L
Jan 5, 2025at TB19 − 27L
Dec 29, 2024vs LV10 − 25L

LAR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 19, 2025at JAX35 − 7W
Oct 12, 2025at BAL17 − 3W
Oct 2, 2025vs SF23 − 26L
Sep 28, 2025vs IND27 − 20W
Sep 21, 2025at PHI26 − 33L
Sep 14, 2025at TEN33 − 19W
Sep 7, 2025vs HOU14 − 9W
Jan 19, 2025at PHI22 − 28L
Jan 13, 2025vs MIN27 − 9W
Jan 5, 2025vs SEA25 − 30L