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Clippers at Timberwolves

NBA · Friday, Oct 30 · 7:00 PM CT · Target Center · Final LAC 101 – MIN 127
← NBA / Oct 30

Box score and game flow are added the next morning.

Final · our forecast was LAC 34%, MIN 66% · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
MIN by 5.2
Expected score
MIN 114.3 – 109.1 LAC
Expected total
223.5
ClippersThe matchupTimberwolves
+193Our fair odds−193
109.1Expected points114.3
+0.09Power rating+0.46
106.5Points / game120.4
108.0Allowed / game107.8
45.5FG%47.6
38.53P%38.6
40.5Rebounds / game51.6
1−3Season record3−2
4−6Last 104−6
Bradley Beal · Brandon Ingram
Jordan Miller · Max Strus
Yanic Konan NiederhauserOutAnthony Edwards · Donte DiVincenzo

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · MIN chance
Our model fair34.1%65.9%
Kalshi32.5%71.5%
Polymarket US32.5%71.5%
ProphetX32.2%70.3%
Novig31.0%69.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:58 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:58 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:59 PM CT
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+19334%+20832.5%+20832.5%+21132.2%+22331.0%
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−19366%−25171.5%−25071.5%−23770.3%−22869.5%
SpreadMIN by 5.2
LACLA Clippers+5.2our margin+6.5 −10751.8%+6.5 −10751.7%+6.5 −10250.5%+6.5 +10249.5%
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−5.2our margin−6.5 −11252.7%−6.5 −11252.7%−6.5 −10952.2%−6.5 −10451.0%
Totalwe expect 223.5
Over223.5our totalo222.5 −11252.7%o222.5 −11653.7%o222.5 −10852.0%o222.5 −10451.0%
Under223.5our totalu222.5 −10751.8%u222.5 −10350.7%u222.5 −10350.8%u222.5 +10050.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 5.2 expected
LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: <1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 1%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%
← LAC wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more54%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more39%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.5 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
FRui Hachimurastarted
FIsaiah Jacksonstarted
Minnesota Timberwolves
GAyo Dosunmustarted
GLaMelo Ballstarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
FJonathan Kumingastarted
CRudy Gobertstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·MIN
Oct 28 vs LAL
last game
Oct 28 vs GS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 30, 4:15 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · right knee injury managementOut
LACBrandon Ingram · right heel surgeryOut
LACJordan Miller · left rotator cuff surgeryOut
LACMax Strus · right plantar fascia tearOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc surgeryOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINAnthony Edwards · right knee arthroscopyOut
MINDonte DiVincenzo · right achilles tendon repair / surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
LAC·MIN
+0.09
rating (0 = average)
+0.46
106.5
points / game
120.4
108.0
points allowed / game
107.8
1−3
season record
3−2
1−1
home record
1−1
0−2
away record
2−1
L3
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
4−6
45.5
FG%
47.6
38.5
3P%
38.6
40.5
rebounds / game
51.6
25.0
assists / game
27.0
23.5
turnovers / game
17.0
42.0
points in paint / game
48.8

Rating Trend

LAC · MIN · 10 days
LA ClippersMinnesota Timberwolves
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 7−3
Mar 11at LACLAC 153 − 128
Feb 26at LACMIN 94 − 88
Feb 8at MINLAC 115 − 96
Dec 6, 2025at MINMIN 109 − 106
Jan 6, 2025at MINMIN 108 − 106
Dec 4, 2024at LACMIN 108 − 80
Nov 29, 2024at MINMIN 93 − 92
Mar 12, 2024at LACMIN 118 − 100
Mar 3, 2024at MINLAC 89 − 88
Feb 12, 2024at LACMIN 121 − 100

LAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Oct 28vs LAL87 − 103L
Oct 25at OKC101 − 108L
Oct 23at LAL117 − 125L
Oct 21vs SAC121 − 96W
Apr 12vs GS115 − 110W
Apr 10at POR97 − 116L
Apr 8vs OKC110 − 128L
Apr 7vs DAL116 − 103W
Apr 5at SAC138 − 109W
Apr 2vs SA99 − 118L

MIN · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Oct 28vs GS114 − 119L
Oct 26at CLE125 − 127L
Oct 25vs TOR117 − 94W
Oct 23at ORL115 − 93W
Oct 21at MIA131 − 106W
May 15vs SA109 − 139L
May 12at SA97 − 126L
May 10vs SA114 − 109W
May 8vs SA108 − 115L
May 6at SA95 − 133L