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Clippers at Warriors

NBA · Sunday, Nov 1 · 7:30 PM CT · Chase Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 1

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
GS by 6.6
Expected score
GS 116.8 – 110.3 LAC
Expected total
227.1
ClippersThe matchupWarriors
+209Our fair odds−209
110.3Expected points116.8
+0.09Power rating−0.13
106.5Points / game117.6
108.0Allowed / game119.4
45.5FG%45.0
38.53P%36.2
40.5Rebounds / game43.8
1−3Season record2−3
4−6Last 103−7
Bradley Beal G · Brandon Ingram F
Jordan Miller G · Max Strus G
Yanic Konan Niederhauser COutJimmy Butler III F · Kristaps Porzingis C
Moses Moody G

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · GS chance
Our model fair32.4%67.6%
Kalshi29.4%78.2%
Polymarket US29.4%77.3%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:18 AM CTPolymarket US4:19 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+20932%+24029.4%+24029.4%——
GSGolden State Warriors−20968%−36078.2%−34077.3%——
SpreadGS by 6.6
LACLA Clippers+6.6our margin————
GSGolden State Warriors−6.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.1
Over227.1our total————
Under227.1our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Golden State Warriors by 6.6 expected
LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: <1%LA Clippers by 21 points: <1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 1%LA Clippers by 11 points: 1%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 43 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 44 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 45 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 46 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 47 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 48 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 49 points: <1%
← LAC wins byGS wins by →
Golden State Warriors wins by 5 or more58%
Golden State Warriors wins by 10 or more42%
Golden State Warriors wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.1 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnlast game
GDarius Garlandlast game
GKobe Sanderslast game
FDerrick Jones Jr.last game
FIsaiah Jacksonlast game
Golden State Warriors
GStephen Currylast game
GBrandin Podziemskilast game
FDraymond Greenlast game
FGeorges Nianglast game
FYaxel Lendeborglast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·GS
Oct 30 at MIN
last game
Oct 30 vs LAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal G · knee inflammation, back about Nov 8Out
LACBrandon Ingram F · right achilles surgery, back about Nov 8Out
LACJordan Miller G · shoulder surgery, back about Mar 1, 2027Out
LACMax Strus G · right foot plantar fasciitis, back about Nov 8Out
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser C · right foot surgery, back about Nov 8Out
LACRui Hachimura F · left quadriceps sorenessDay-to-day
Golden State Warriors
GSJimmy Butler III F · right knee surgery, back about Jan 2, 2027Out
GSKristaps Porzingis C · illness, back about Dec 1Out
GSMoses Moody G · left knee surgery, back about Dec 1Out
GSGui Santos F · left knee tendinitisDay-to-day

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
LAC·GS
+0.09
rating (0 = average)
−0.13
106.5
points / game
117.6
108.0
points allowed / game
119.4
1−3
season record
2−3
1−1
home record
0−1
0−2
away record
2−2
L3
streak
W2
4−6
last 10
3−7
45.5
FG%
45.0
38.5
3P%
36.2
40.5
rebounds / game
43.8
25.0
assists / game
25.6
23.5
turnovers / game
17.4
42.0
points in paint / game
46.4

Rating Trend

LAC · GS · 10 days
LA ClippersGolden State Warriors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · GS 1−9
Apr 12at LACLAC 115 − 110
Mar 2at GSLAC 114 − 101
Jan 5at LACLAC 103 − 102
Oct 28, 2025at GSGS 98 − 79
Apr 13, 2025at GSLAC 124 − 119
Dec 27, 2024at LACLAC 102 − 92
Nov 18, 2024at LACLAC 102 − 99
Oct 27, 2024at GSLAC 112 − 104
Feb 14, 2024at GSLAC 130 − 125
Dec 14, 2023at LACLAC 121 − 113

LAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Oct 28vs LAL87 − 103L
Oct 25at OKC101 − 108L
Oct 23at LAL117 − 125L
Oct 21vs SAC121 − 96W
Apr 12vs GS115 − 110W
Apr 10at POR97 − 116L
Apr 8vs OKC110 − 128L
Apr 7vs DAL116 − 103W
Apr 5at SAC138 − 109W
Apr 2vs SA99 − 118L

GS · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Oct 28at MIN119 − 114W
Oct 26at DEN134 − 114W
Oct 24at PHX122 − 131L
Oct 23vs MEM108 − 111L
Oct 21at LAL105 − 127L
Apr 12at LAC110 − 115L
Apr 10at SAC118 − 124L
Apr 9vs LAL103 − 119L
Apr 7vs SAC110 − 105W
Apr 5vs HOU116 − 117L