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Jazz at Spurs

NBA · Monday, Nov 2 · 7:30 PM CT · Frost Bank Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 2

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
SA by 16.8
Expected score
SA 127.2 – 110.5 UTAH
Expected total
237.7
JazzThe matchupSpurs
+650Our fair odds−650
110.5Expected points127.2
−1.00Power rating+1.05
112.4Points / game116.6
120.2Allowed / game110.0
45.2FG%46.2
33.43P%34.6
46.8Rebounds / game45.0
1−4Season record3−2
2−8Last 104−6
Blake Hinson F · Jaren Jackson Jr. F
Jusuf Nurkic C · Trey Alexander GOutJayden Quaintance F · Tobias Harris F

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · SA chance
Our model fair13.3%86.7%
Kalshi14.8%87.8%
Polymarket US14.8%87.8%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:28 AM CTPolymarket US4:28 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+65013%+57414.8%+57414.8%——
SASan Antonio Spurs−65087%−71987.8%−71987.8%——
SpreadSA by 16.8
UTAHUtah Jazz+16.8our margin————
SASan Antonio Spurs−16.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.7
Over237.7our total————
Under237.7our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

San Antonio Spurs by 16.8 expected
Utah Jazz by 53 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 42 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 43 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 44 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 45 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 46 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 47 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 48 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 49 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 50 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 51 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 52 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 53 points: <1%
← UTAH wins bySA wins by →
San Antonio Spurs wins by 5 or more82%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 10 or more70%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 15 or more56%
Within 5 points either way14%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.7 expected
188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.568%
Total over 237.549%
Total over 247.531%
Total from 228 to 24738%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Utah Jazz
GJosh Greenlast game
GKeyonte Georgelast game
GAce Baileylast game
GDarryn Petersonlast game
CJaxson Hayeslast game
San Antonio Spurs
GDe'Aaron Foxlast game
GDevin Vasselllast game
GStephon Castlelast game
GDylan Harperlast game
FVictor Wembanyamalast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·SA
Oct 28 vs SA
last game
Oct 28 at UTAH
4 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Utah Jazz
UTAHBlake Hinson F · left hamstring strainOut
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. F · right knee, back about Dec 14Out
UTAHJusuf Nurkic C · right foot, back about Nov 4Out
UTAHTrey Alexander G · left knee bruiseOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen F · right wristDay-to-day
San Antonio Spurs
SAJayden Quaintance F · right knee surgery, back about Dec 1Out
SATobias Harris F · left calf strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
UTAH·SA
−1.00
rating (0 = average)
+1.05
112.4
points / game
116.6
120.2
points allowed / game
110.0
1−4
season record
3−2
1−3
home record
1−2
0−1
away record
2−0
L3
streak
W3
2−8
last 10
4−6
45.2
FG%
46.2
33.4
3P%
34.6
46.8
rebounds / game
45.0
26.8
assists / game
28.2
17.2
turnovers / game
13.2
47.6
points in paint / game
54.8

Rating Trend

UTAH · SA · 10 days
Utah JazzSan Antonio Spurs
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SA 7−3
Oct 28at UTAHSA 117 − 111
Jan 22at UTAHSA 126 − 109
Jan 19at SASA 123 − 110
Dec 27, 2025at SAUTAH 127 − 114
Nov 26, 2024at UTAHSA 128 − 115
Nov 21, 2024at SASA 126 − 118
Nov 9, 2024at SAUTAH 111 − 110
Oct 31, 2024at UTAHSA 106 − 88
Mar 27, 2024at UTAHSA 118 − 111
Feb 25, 2024at UTAHUTAH 128 − 109

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Oct 28vs SA111 − 117L
Oct 26vs MEM105 − 110L
Oct 25vs LAL123 − 132L
Oct 23vs NO120 − 119W
Oct 21at MEM103 − 123L
Apr 12at LAL107 − 131L
Apr 10vs MEM147 − 101W
Apr 7at NO137 − 156L
Apr 5at OKC111 − 146L
Apr 3at HOU106 − 140L

SA · Last 10

4−6 · streak W3
Oct 28at UTAH117 − 111W
Oct 27vs SAC130 − 103W
Oct 24at DAL122 − 106W
Oct 23vs HOU110 − 114L
Oct 20vs OKC104 − 116L
Jun 13vs NY90 − 94L
Jun 10at NY106 − 107L
Jun 8at NY115 − 111W
Jun 5vs NY104 − 105L
Jun 3vs NY95 − 105L