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Nets at Pacers

NBA · Sunday, Nov 1 · 4:00 PM CT · Gainbridge Fieldhouse · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 1

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
IND by 4.0
Expected score
IND 115.9 – 111.9 BKN
Expected total
227.8
NetsThe matchupPacers
+148Our fair odds−148
111.9Expected points115.9
−1.26Power rating−0.82
114.2Points / game115.0
124.0Allowed / game114.8
43.0FG%47.2
36.83P%30.6
43.5Rebounds / game44.0
0−4Season record2−3
2−8Last 103−7
Egor Demin G · Tyler Bilodeau FOutBen Sheppard G · Ivica Zubac C
Johnny Furphy G · T.J. McConnell G
Tyrese Haliburton G

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · IND chance
Our model fair40.3%59.7%
Kalshi43.7%60.7%
Polymarket US44.7%60.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:18 AM CTPolymarket US4:17 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+14840%+12943.7%+12444.7%——
INDIndiana Pacers−14860%−15460.7%−15460.7%——
SpreadIND by 4.0
BKNBrooklyn Nets+4our margin————
INDIndiana Pacers−4our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.8
Over227.8our total————
Under227.8our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Indiana Pacers by 4.0 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 45 points: <1%
← BKN wins byIND wins by →
Indiana Pacers wins by 5 or more51%
Indiana Pacers wins by 10 or more36%
Indiana Pacers wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.8 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.570%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Brooklyn Nets
GNolan Traorelast game
FJulius Randlelast game
FMichael Porter Jr.last game
CDay'Ron Sharpelast game
Indiana Pacers
GKelly Oubre Jr.last game
GAndrew Nembhardlast game
GAaron Nesmithlast game
FPascal Siakamlast game
CJay Hufflast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·IND
Oct 30 vs DET
last game
Oct 30 at MIA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Brooklyn Nets
BKNEgor Demin G · right leg bruise, back about Nov 7Out
BKNTyler Bilodeau F · right shoulder sprainOut
BKNNoah Clowney F · illnessDay-to-day
Indiana Pacers
INDBen Sheppard G · left knee, back about Jan 2, 2027Out
INDIvica Zubac C · left ankle sprain, back about Nov 1Out
INDJohnny Furphy G · right knee surgery, back about Jan 2, 2027Out
INDT.J. McConnell G · right hamstring strain, back about Nov 2Out
INDTyrese Haliburton G · left hamstring strain, back about Nov 13Out
INDAaron Nesmith G · hamstringDay-to-day
INDAndrew Nembhard G · neck sorenessDay-to-day
INDObi Toppin F · backDay-to-day

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
BKN·IND
−1.26
rating (0 = average)
−0.82
114.2
points / game
115.0
124.0
points allowed / game
114.8
0−4
season record
2−3
0−2
home record
0−2
0−2
away record
2−1
L4
streak
L2
2−8
last 10
3−7
43.0
FG%
47.2
36.8
3P%
30.6
43.5
rebounds / game
44.0
24.0
assists / game
29.4
18.0
turnovers / game
15.4
40.0
points in paint / game
55.2

Rating Trend

BKN · IND · 10 days
Brooklyn NetsIndiana Pacers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · IND 7−3
Oct 25at BKNIND 136 − 109
Apr 9at BKNIND 123 − 94
Feb 11at BKNIND 115 − 110
Nov 5, 2025at INDBKN 112 − 103
Mar 22, 2025at INDIND 108 − 103
Mar 20, 2025at INDIND 105 − 99
Jan 6, 2025at BKNIND 113 − 99
Dec 4, 2024at BKNBKN 99 − 90
Apr 3, 2024at BKNBKN 115 − 111
Apr 1, 2024at INDIND 133 − 111

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L7
Oct 27at BOS124 − 125L
Oct 25vs IND109 − 136L
Oct 24at CLE121 − 125L
Oct 21vs CHA103 − 110L
Apr 12at TOR101 − 136L
Apr 10at MIL108 − 125L
Apr 9vs IND94 − 123L
Apr 7vs MIL96 − 90W
Apr 5vs WSH121 − 115W
Apr 3vs ATL107 − 141L

IND · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Oct 28vs PHI109 − 114L
Oct 26at MIL102 − 110L
Oct 25at BKN136 − 109W
Oct 23vs DAL105 − 121L
Oct 21at NO123 − 120W
Apr 12vs DET121 − 133L
Apr 10vs PHI94 − 105L
Apr 9at BKN123 − 94W
Apr 7vs MIN104 − 124L
Apr 5at CLE108 − 117L