Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.
Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 31
Expected margin
ATL by 13.6
Expected score
ATL 120.6 – 107.0 BKN
The matchup Hawks
+431 Our fair odds −431
107.0 Expected points 120.6
−1.29 Power rating +0.30
110.2 Points / game 119.2
121.2 Allowed / game 114.5
42.4 FG% 46.7
35.4 3P% 36.0
44.8 Rebounds / game 43.3
0−5 Season record 3−3
2−8 Last 10 4−6
Egor Demin G · Tyler Bilodeau F Out (2 each) Henri Veesaar C · Mouhamed Gueye F
Prediction markets Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · ATL chance
Our model fair 18.8% 81.2%
Kalshi no two-sided price
Polymarket US no two-sided price
ProphetX no two-sided price
Novig no two-sided price
Full price table
Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Atlanta Hawks by 13.6 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 53 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: <1% Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1% Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 3% Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: 2% Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: 1% Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: 1% Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: 1% Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: 1% Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: 1% Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: 1% Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: 1% Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: 1% Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: 1% Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 44 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 45 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 46 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 47 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 48 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 49 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 50 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 51 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 52 points: <1% Atlanta Hawks by 53 points: <1%
50 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50
← BKN wins by ATL wins by →
Atlanta Hawks wins by 5 or more 75%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 10 or more 61%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 15 or more 46%
Within 5 points either way 18%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
227.6 expected
178 points: <1% 179 points: <1% 180 points: <1% 181 points: <1% 182 points: <1% 183 points: <1% 184 points: <1% 185 points: <1% 186 points: <1% 187 points: <1% 188 points: <1% 189 points: <1% 190 points: <1% 191 points: <1% 192 points: <1% 193 points: <1% 194 points: <1% 195 points: 1% 196 points: 1% 197 points: 1% 198 points: 1% 199 points: 1% 200 points: 1% 201 points: 1% 202 points: 1% 203 points: 1% 204 points: 1% 205 points: 1% 206 points: 1% 207 points: 1% 208 points: 1% 209 points: 1% 210 points: 1% 211 points: 1% 212 points: 2% 213 points: 2% 214 points: 2% 215 points: 2% 216 points: 2% 217 points: 2% 218 points: 2% 219 points: 2% 220 points: 2% 221 points: 2% 222 points: 2% 223 points: 2% 224 points: 2% 225 points: 2% 226 points: 2% 227 points: 2% 228 points: 2% 229 points: 2% 230 points: 2% 231 points: 2% 232 points: 2% 233 points: 2% 234 points: 2% 235 points: 2% 236 points: 2% 237 points: 2% 238 points: 2% 239 points: 2% 240 points: 2% 241 points: 2% 242 points: 1% 243 points: 1% 244 points: 1% 245 points: 1% 246 points: 1% 247 points: 1% 248 points: 1% 249 points: 1% 250 points: 1% 251 points: 1% 252 points: 1% 253 points: 1% 254 points: 1% 255 points: 1% 256 points: 1% 257 points: 1% 258 points: 1% 259 points: 1% 260 points: 1% 261 points: <1% 262 points: <1% 263 points: <1% 264 points: <1% 265 points: <1% 266 points: <1% 267 points: <1% 268 points: <1% 269 points: <1% 270 points: <1% 271 points: <1% 272 points: <1% 273 points: <1% 274 points: <1% 275 points: <1% 276 points: <1% 277 points: <1% 278 points: <1% 279 points: <1% 280 points: <1% 281 points: <1%
180 200 220 240 260 280
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.5 69%
Total over 227.5 50%
Total over 237.5 30%
Total from 218 to 237 39%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Probable Starting Lineups as listed before tip
For context, not in our forecast.
Rest and Schedule before this game
BKN · ATL
Oct 30 vs DET
last game
Oct 29 vs CLE
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game
For context, not in our forecast.
Who's Out Current team injury lists
Brooklyn Nets
BKN Egor Demin G · right leg bruise, back about Nov 7 Out
BKN Tyler Bilodeau F · right shoulder sprain Out
Atlanta Hawks
ATL Henri Veesaar COut
ATL Mouhamed Gueye F · left foot fracture, back about Nov 20 Out
For context, not in our forecast.
Team Comparison
2026–27 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
BKN · ATL
−1.29
rating (0 = average)
+0.30
110.2
points / game
119.2
121.2
points allowed / game
114.5
44.8
rebounds / game
43.3
19.2
turnovers / game
13.8
39.2
points in paint / game
55.0
Rating Trend
BKN · ATL · 11 days
Rating (0 = average team)
−1.50 −1.00 −0.50 +0.00 +0.50
Oct 21 Oct 23 Oct 26 Oct 29 Oct 31
Head to Head
last 10 meetings · ATL 6−4
Apr 10, 2025 at BKN ATL 133 − 109
Mar 16, 2025 at BKN BKN 122 − 114
Oct 23, 2024 at ATL ATL 120 − 116
Mar 2, 2024 at BKN BKN 114 − 102
Feb 29, 2024 at BKN BKN 124 − 97
Dec 6, 2023 at ATL BKN 114 − 113
BKN · Last 10
2−8 · streak L8
ATL · Last 10
4−6 · streak W1