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Giants at Lions

NFL · Sunday, Nov 23 · 12:00 PM CT · Ford Field · Final NYG 27 – DET 34
← NFL / Nov 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
NYG101007027
DET017010734
Team box
NYG·DET
517
total yards
494
395
passing yards
257
122
rushing yards
237
25
first downs
23
8-16
third downs
5-12
1
turnovers
1
37:11
time of possession
28:30
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Jameis WinstonNYG18/3636621
Jared GoffDET28/4227921
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG20620
Jahmyr GibbsDET152192
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Wan'Dale RobinsonNYG91561
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET91491

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +10
NYG +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: DET 7 · NYG 10lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NYG 13%, DET 87% · Updated Nov 23, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 16.4
Expected score
DET 35.0 – 18.6 NYG
Expected total
53.6
GiantsThe matchupLions
+657Our fair odds−657
18.6Expected points35.0
−0.78Power rating+0.94
21.5Points / game29.2
27.3Allowed / game21.6
333Total yards / game367
5.2Yards / play6.0
208Passing yards / game237
2−9Season record6−4
2−8Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NYG chance · DET chance
Our model fair13.2%86.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYGNew York Giants+65713%————
DETDetroit Lions−65787%————
SpreadDET by 16.4
NYGNew York Giants+16.4our margin————
DETDetroit Lions−16.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 53.6
Over53.6our total————
Under53.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Lions by 16.4 expected
New York Giants by 50 points: <1%New York Giants by 49 points: <1%New York Giants by 48 points: <1%New York Giants by 47 points: <1%New York Giants by 46 points: <1%New York Giants by 45 points: <1%New York Giants by 44 points: <1%New York Giants by 43 points: <1%New York Giants by 42 points: <1%New York Giants by 41 points: <1%New York Giants by 40 points: <1%New York Giants by 39 points: <1%New York Giants by 38 points: <1%New York Giants by 37 points: <1%New York Giants by 36 points: <1%New York Giants by 35 points: <1%New York Giants by 34 points: <1%New York Giants by 33 points: <1%New York Giants by 32 points: <1%New York Giants by 31 points: <1%New York Giants by 30 points: <1%New York Giants by 29 points: <1%New York Giants by 28 points: <1%New York Giants by 27 points: <1%New York Giants by 26 points: <1%New York Giants by 25 points: <1%New York Giants by 24 points: <1%New York Giants by 23 points: <1%New York Giants by 22 points: <1%New York Giants by 21 points: <1%New York Giants by 20 points: <1%New York Giants by 19 points: <1%New York Giants by 18 points: <1%New York Giants by 17 points: <1%New York Giants by 16 points: <1%New York Giants by 15 points: <1%New York Giants by 14 points: <1%New York Giants by 13 points: <1%New York Giants by 12 points: <1%New York Giants by 11 points: <1%New York Giants by 10 points: <1%New York Giants by 9 points: <1%New York Giants by 8 points: <1%New York Giants by 7 points: 1%New York Giants by 6 points: 1%New York Giants by 5 points: 1%New York Giants by 4 points: 1%New York Giants by 3 points: 3%New York Giants by 2 points: 1%New York Giants by 1 point: 1%Tie: <1%Detroit Lions by 1 point: 1%Detroit Lions by 2 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 3 points: 5%Detroit Lions by 4 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 5 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 6 points: 4%Detroit Lions by 7 points: 4%Detroit Lions by 8 points: 3%Detroit Lions by 9 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 10 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 11 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 12 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 13 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 14 points: 3%Detroit Lions by 15 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 16 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 17 points: 5%Detroit Lions by 18 points: 3%Detroit Lions by 19 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 20 points: 3%Detroit Lions by 21 points: 3%Detroit Lions by 22 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 23 points: 3%Detroit Lions by 24 points: 4%Detroit Lions by 25 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 26 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 27 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 28 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 29 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 30 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 31 points: 4%Detroit Lions by 32 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 33 points: <1%Detroit Lions by 34 points: 2%Detroit Lions by 35 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 36 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 37 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 38 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 39 points: <1%Detroit Lions by 40 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 41 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 42 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 43 points: 1%Detroit Lions by 44 points: <1%Detroit Lions by 45 points: <1%Detroit Lions by 46 points: <1%Detroit Lions by 47 points: <1%Detroit Lions by 48 points: <1%Detroit Lions by 49 points: <1%Detroit Lions by 50 points: <1%
← NYG wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Lions wins by 3 or more85%
Detroit Lions wins by 7 or more73%
Detroit Lions wins by 10 or more65%
Within 3 points either way14%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

53.6 expected
18 points: <1%19 points: <1%20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: <1%23 points: <1%24 points: <1%25 points: <1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 1%30 points: 1%31 points: 1%32 points: 1%33 points: 1%34 points: 1%35 points: 1%36 points: 1%37 points: 2%38 points: 2%39 points: 2%40 points: 2%41 points: 2%42 points: 2%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 2%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 3%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 2%63 points: 2%64 points: 2%65 points: 2%66 points: 2%67 points: 1%68 points: 2%69 points: 1%70 points: 1%71 points: 1%72 points: 1%73 points: 1%74 points: 1%75 points: 1%76 points: 1%77 points: 1%78 points: 1%79 points: 1%80 points: 1%81 points: 1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: <1%90 points: <1%91 points: <1%92 points: <1%93 points: <1%94 points: <1%95 points: <1%96 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 46.566%
Total over 53.548%
Total over 60.532%
Total from 47 to 6034%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
NYGJameis Winston · last 3 games: 62% completions, 186 yds/game, 2 TD, 6 INTstarted
DETJared Goff · last 3 games: 60% completions, 286 yds/game, 6 TD, 1 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NYG·DET
Nov 16, 2025 vs GB
last game
Nov 16, 2025 at PHI
6 days
days of rest
6 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 10+ games
NYG·DET
−0.78
rating (0 = average)
+0.94
21.5
points / game
29.2
27.3
points allowed / game
21.6
2−9
season record
6−4
2−3
home record
3−1
0−6
away record
3−3
L5
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
6−4
333
total yards / game
367
5.2
yards / play
6.0
208
passing yards / game
237
125
rushing yards / game
130
20.6
first downs / game
19.7
1.1
turnovers / game
0.7

Rating Trend

NYG · DET · 32 days
New York GiantsDetroit Lions
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 1 meeting · DET 1−0
Nov 20, 2022at NYGDET 31 − 18

NYG · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Nov 16, 2025vs GB20 − 27L
Nov 9, 2025at CHI20 − 24L
Nov 2, 2025vs SF24 − 34L
Oct 26, 2025at PHI20 − 38L
Oct 19, 2025at DEN32 − 33L
Oct 9, 2025vs PHI34 − 17W
Oct 5, 2025at NO14 − 26L
Sep 28, 2025vs LAC21 − 18W
Sep 21, 2025vs KC9 − 22L
Sep 14, 2025at DAL37 − 40L

DET · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Nov 16, 2025at PHI9 − 16L
Nov 9, 2025at WSH44 − 22W
Nov 2, 2025vs MIN24 − 27L
Oct 20, 2025vs TB24 − 9W
Oct 12, 2025at KC17 − 30L
Oct 5, 2025at CIN37 − 24W
Sep 28, 2025vs CLE34 − 10W
Sep 22, 2025at BAL38 − 30W
Sep 14, 2025vs CHI52 − 21W
Sep 7, 2025at GB13 − 27L