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Giants at Patriots

NFL · Monday, Dec 1 · 7:15 PM CT · Gillette Stadium · Final NYG 15 – NE 33
← NFL / Dec 1, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NYG070815
NE17130333
Team box
NYG·NE
239
total yards
395
128
passing yards
276
111
rushing yards
119
14
first downs
21
4-11
third downs
6-13
1
turnovers
0
26:34
time of possession
33:26
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Jaxson DartNYG17/2413910
Drake MayeNE24/3128220
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Devin SingletaryNYG12681
TreVeyon HendersonNE11670
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Darius SlaytonNYG2411
Hunter HenryNE4730

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NE +23
NYG +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NE 23 · NYG 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NYG 23%, NE 77% · Updated Dec 1, 2025

Expected margin
NE by 11.4
Expected score
NE 28.1 – 16.7 NYG
Expected total
44.8
GiantsThe matchupPatriots
+342Our fair odds−342
16.7Expected points28.1
−0.77Power rating+0.22
22.0Points / game26.5
27.8Allowed / game18.8
348Total yards / game360
5.3Yards / play5.9
224Passing yards / game248
2−10Season record10−2
2−8Last 109−1

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NYG chance · NE chance
Our model fair22.6%77.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYGNew York Giants+34223%————
NENew England Patriots−34277%————
SpreadNE by 11.4
NYGNew York Giants+11.4our margin————
NENew England Patriots−11.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 44.8
Over44.8our total————
Under44.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New England Patriots by 11.4 expected
New York Giants by 49 points: <1%New York Giants by 48 points: <1%New York Giants by 47 points: <1%New York Giants by 46 points: <1%New York Giants by 45 points: <1%New York Giants by 44 points: <1%New York Giants by 43 points: <1%New York Giants by 42 points: <1%New York Giants by 41 points: <1%New York Giants by 40 points: <1%New York Giants by 39 points: <1%New York Giants by 38 points: <1%New York Giants by 37 points: <1%New York Giants by 36 points: <1%New York Giants by 35 points: <1%New York Giants by 34 points: <1%New York Giants by 33 points: <1%New York Giants by 32 points: <1%New York Giants by 31 points: <1%New York Giants by 30 points: <1%New York Giants by 29 points: <1%New York Giants by 28 points: <1%New York Giants by 27 points: <1%New York Giants by 26 points: <1%New York Giants by 25 points: <1%New York Giants by 24 points: <1%New York Giants by 23 points: <1%New York Giants by 22 points: <1%New York Giants by 21 points: <1%New York Giants by 20 points: <1%New York Giants by 19 points: <1%New York Giants by 18 points: <1%New York Giants by 17 points: 1%New York Giants by 16 points: <1%New York Giants by 15 points: <1%New York Giants by 14 points: 1%New York Giants by 13 points: <1%New York Giants by 12 points: <1%New York Giants by 11 points: <1%New York Giants by 10 points: 1%New York Giants by 9 points: <1%New York Giants by 8 points: 1%New York Giants by 7 points: 2%New York Giants by 6 points: 2%New York Giants by 5 points: 1%New York Giants by 4 points: 2%New York Giants by 3 points: 5%New York Giants by 2 points: 1%New York Giants by 1 point: 2%Tie: <1%New England Patriots by 1 point: 2%New England Patriots by 2 points: 3%New England Patriots by 3 points: 6%New England Patriots by 4 points: 2%New England Patriots by 5 points: 2%New England Patriots by 6 points: 4%New England Patriots by 7 points: 4%New England Patriots by 8 points: 3%New England Patriots by 9 points: 1%New England Patriots by 10 points: 2%New England Patriots by 11 points: 1%New England Patriots by 12 points: 2%New England Patriots by 13 points: 2%New England Patriots by 14 points: 2%New England Patriots by 15 points: 2%New England Patriots by 16 points: 1%New England Patriots by 17 points: 4%New England Patriots by 18 points: 2%New England Patriots by 19 points: 1%New England Patriots by 20 points: 2%New England Patriots by 21 points: 2%New England Patriots by 22 points: 1%New England Patriots by 23 points: 2%New England Patriots by 24 points: 3%New England Patriots by 25 points: 2%New England Patriots by 26 points: 1%New England Patriots by 27 points: 1%New England Patriots by 28 points: 2%New England Patriots by 29 points: 1%New England Patriots by 30 points: 1%New England Patriots by 31 points: 3%New England Patriots by 32 points: 1%New England Patriots by 33 points: <1%New England Patriots by 34 points: 1%New England Patriots by 35 points: 1%New England Patriots by 36 points: 1%New England Patriots by 37 points: 1%New England Patriots by 38 points: 1%New England Patriots by 39 points: <1%New England Patriots by 40 points: 1%New England Patriots by 41 points: <1%New England Patriots by 42 points: 1%New England Patriots by 43 points: <1%New England Patriots by 44 points: <1%New England Patriots by 45 points: <1%New England Patriots by 46 points: <1%New England Patriots by 47 points: <1%New England Patriots by 48 points: <1%New England Patriots by 49 points: <1%
← NYG wins byNE wins by →
New England Patriots wins by 3 or more73%
New England Patriots wins by 7 or more59%
New England Patriots wins by 10 or more50%
Within 3 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

44.8 expected
11 points: <1%12 points: <1%13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: <1%17 points: <1%18 points: <1%19 points: 1%20 points: 1%21 points: 1%22 points: 1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 2%30 points: 2%31 points: 2%32 points: 2%33 points: 2%34 points: 2%35 points: 2%36 points: 3%37 points: 3%38 points: 3%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 3%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 2%58 points: 2%59 points: 1%60 points: 1%61 points: 1%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: 1%67 points: 1%68 points: 1%69 points: 1%70 points: <1%71 points: 1%72 points: <1%73 points: <1%74 points: <1%75 points: <1%76 points: <1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%80 points: <1%81 points: <1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 37.568%
Total over 44.548%
Total over 51.530%
Total from 38 to 5139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
NYGJaxson Dart · last 3 games: 66% completions, 209 yds/game, 3 TD, 0 INTstarted
NEDrake Maye · last 3 games: 63% completions, 282 yds/game, 4 TD, 2 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NYG·NE
Nov 23, 2025 at DET
last game
Nov 23, 2025 at CIN
7 days
days of rest
7 days
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 12+ games
NYG·NE
−0.77
rating (0 = average)
+0.22
22.0
points / game
26.5
27.8
points allowed / game
18.8
2−10
season record
10−2
2−3
home record
4−2
0−7
away record
6−0
L6
streak
W9
2−8
last 10
9−1
348
total yards / game
360
5.3
yards / play
5.9
224
passing yards / game
248
124
rushing yards / game
112
21.0
first downs / game
20.5
1.1
turnovers / game
1.1

Rating Trend

NYG · NE · 37 days
New York GiantsNew England Patriots
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 1 meeting · NE 0−1
Nov 26, 2023at NYGNYG 10 − 7

NYG · Last 10

2−8 · streak L6
Nov 23, 2025at DET27 − 34L
Nov 16, 2025vs GB20 − 27L
Nov 9, 2025at CHI20 − 24L
Nov 2, 2025vs SF24 − 34L
Oct 26, 2025at PHI20 − 38L
Oct 19, 2025at DEN32 − 33L
Oct 9, 2025vs PHI34 − 17W
Oct 5, 2025at NO14 − 26L
Sep 28, 2025vs LAC21 − 18W
Sep 21, 2025vs KC9 − 22L

NE · Last 10

9−1 · streak W9
Nov 23, 2025at CIN26 − 20W
Nov 13, 2025vs NYJ27 − 14W
Nov 9, 2025at TB28 − 23W
Nov 2, 2025vs ATL24 − 23W
Oct 26, 2025vs CLE32 − 13W
Oct 19, 2025at TEN31 − 13W
Oct 12, 2025at NO25 − 19W
Oct 5, 2025at BUF23 − 20W
Sep 28, 2025vs CAR42 − 13W
Sep 21, 2025vs PIT14 − 21L