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Ravens at Bengals

NFL · Sunday, Dec 14 · 12:00 PM CT · Paycor Stadium · Final BAL 24 – CIN 0
← NFL / Dec 14, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BAL0143724
CIN00000
Team box
BAL·CIN
317
total yards
298
128
passing yards
198
189
rushing yards
100
15
first downs
18
2-7
third downs
3-15
1
turnovers
2
20:41
time of possession
39:19
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Lamar JacksonBAL8/1215021
Joe BurrowCIN25/3922502
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Derrick HenryBAL111000
Chase BrownCIN13530
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Zay FlowersBAL3681
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN101320

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CIN +24
BAL +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CIN 0 · BAL 24lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BAL 58%, CIN 42% · Updated Dec 14, 2025

Expected margin
BAL by 4.2
Expected score
BAL 31.8 – 27.5 CIN
Expected total
59.3
RavensThe matchupBengals
−138Our fair odds+138
31.8Expected points27.5
+0.21Power rating−0.38
23.9Points / game24.2
24.6Allowed / game31.8
325Total yards / game315
5.7Yards / play5.1
182Passing yards / game229
6−7Season record4−9
5−5Last 102−8

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BAL chance · CIN chance
Our model fair57.9%42.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BALBaltimore Ravens−13858%————
CINCincinnati Bengals+13842%————
SpreadBAL by 4.2
BALBaltimore Ravens−4.2our margin————
CINCincinnati Bengals+4.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 59.3
Over59.3our total————
Under59.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Baltimore Ravens by 4.2 expected
Baltimore Ravens by 40 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 39 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 38 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 37 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 36 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 35 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 34 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 33 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 32 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 31 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 30 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 29 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 28 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 27 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 26 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 25 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 24 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 23 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 22 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 21 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 20 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 19 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 18 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 17 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 16 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 15 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 14 points: 4%Baltimore Ravens by 13 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 12 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 11 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 10 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 9 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 8 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 7 points: 5%Baltimore Ravens by 6 points: 4%Baltimore Ravens by 5 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 4 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 3 points: 9%Baltimore Ravens by 2 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 1 point: 3%Tie: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 1 point: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 2 points: 3%Cincinnati Bengals by 3 points: 6%Cincinnati Bengals by 4 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 5 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 6 points: 3%Cincinnati Bengals by 7 points: 3%Cincinnati Bengals by 8 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 9 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 10 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 11 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 12 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 13 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 14 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 15 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 16 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 17 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 18 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 19 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 20 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 21 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 22 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 23 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 24 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 25 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 26 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 27 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 28 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 29 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 30 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 31 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 32 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 33 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 34 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 35 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 36 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 37 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 38 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 39 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 40 points: <1%
← BAL wins byCIN wins by →
Baltimore Ravens wins by 3 or more58%
Baltimore Ravens wins by 7 or more39%
Baltimore Ravens wins by 10 or more31%
Within 3 points either way26%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

59.3 expected
22 points: <1%23 points: <1%24 points: <1%25 points: <1%26 points: <1%27 points: <1%28 points: <1%29 points: <1%30 points: <1%31 points: <1%32 points: 1%33 points: 1%34 points: 1%35 points: 1%36 points: 1%37 points: 1%38 points: 1%39 points: 1%40 points: 1%41 points: 1%42 points: 1%43 points: 2%44 points: 2%45 points: 2%46 points: 2%47 points: 2%48 points: 2%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 3%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 2%63 points: 2%64 points: 2%65 points: 2%66 points: 3%67 points: 2%68 points: 2%69 points: 2%70 points: 2%71 points: 2%72 points: 2%73 points: 2%74 points: 2%75 points: 2%76 points: 2%77 points: 1%78 points: 1%79 points: 1%80 points: 1%81 points: 1%82 points: 1%83 points: 1%84 points: 1%85 points: <1%86 points: 1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: 1%90 points: 1%91 points: <1%92 points: <1%93 points: <1%94 points: <1%95 points: <1%96 points: <1%97 points: <1%98 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 52.565%
Total over 59.549%
Total over 66.533%
Total from 53 to 6632%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
BALLamar Jackson · last 3 games: 54% completions, 206 yds/game, 1 TD, 2 INTstarted
CINJoe Burrow · last 3 games: 59% completions, 207 yds/game, 7 TD, 2 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BAL·CIN
Dec 7, 2025 vs PIT
last game
Dec 7, 2025 at BUF
6 days
days of rest
6 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
BAL·CIN
+0.21
rating (0 = average)
−0.38
23.9
points / game
24.2
24.6
points allowed / game
31.8
6−7
season record
4−9
3−5
home record
2−4
3−2
away record
2−5
L2
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
2−8
325
total yards / game
315
5.7
yards / play
5.1
182
passing yards / game
229
143
rushing yards / game
86
18.4
first downs / game
19.8
1.5
turnovers / game
1.5

Rating Trend

BAL · CIN · 42 days
Baltimore RavensCincinnati Bengals
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CIN 5−5
Nov 27, 2025at BALCIN 32 − 14
Nov 7, 2024at BALBAL 35 − 34
Oct 6, 2024at CINBAL 41 − 38
Nov 16, 2023at BALBAL 34 − 20
Sep 17, 2023at CINBAL 27 − 24
Jan 15, 2023at CINCIN 24 − 17post
Jan 8, 2023at CINCIN 27 − 16
Oct 9, 2022at BALBAL 19 − 17
Dec 26, 2021at CINCIN 41 − 21
Oct 24, 2021at BALCIN 41 − 17

BAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Dec 7, 2025vs PIT22 − 27L
Nov 27, 2025vs CIN14 − 32L
Nov 23, 2025vs NYJ23 − 10W
Nov 16, 2025at CLE23 − 16W
Nov 9, 2025at MIN27 − 19W
Oct 30, 2025at MIA28 − 6W
Oct 26, 2025vs CHI30 − 16W
Oct 12, 2025vs LAR3 − 17L
Oct 5, 2025vs HOU10 − 44L
Sep 28, 2025at KC20 − 37L

CIN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Dec 7, 2025at BUF34 − 39L
Nov 27, 2025at BAL32 − 14W
Nov 23, 2025vs NE20 − 26L
Nov 16, 2025at PIT12 − 34L
Nov 2, 2025vs CHI42 − 47L
Oct 26, 2025vs NYJ38 − 39L
Oct 16, 2025vs PIT33 − 31W
Oct 12, 2025at GB18 − 27L
Oct 5, 2025vs DET24 − 37L
Sep 29, 2025at DEN3 − 28L