bayesRatings

Bengals at Ravens

NFL · Thursday, Nov 27 · 7:20 PM CT · M&T Bank Stadium · Final CIN 32 – BAL 14
← NFL / Nov 27, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CIN3914632
BAL707014
Team box
CIN·BAL
382
total yards
346
254
passing yards
223
128
rushing yards
123
22
first downs
16
8-19
third downs
3-10
1
turnovers
5
38:46
time of possession
21:14
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Joe BurrowCIN24/4626120
Lamar JacksonBAL17/3224601
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Chase BrownCIN15780
Derrick HenryBAL10601
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN71100
Isaiah LikelyBAL5950

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BAL +18
CIN +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BAL 4 · CIN 18lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CIN 21%, BAL 79% · Updated Nov 27, 2025

Expected margin
BAL by 12.0
Expected score
BAL 34.2 – 22.2 CIN
Expected total
56.5
BengalsThe matchupRavens
+383Our fair odds−383
22.2Expected points34.2
−0.58Power rating+0.52
22.5Points / game25.0
32.7Allowed / game23.7
307Total yards / game315
5.1Yards / play5.6
222Passing yards / game177
3−8Season record6−5
2−8Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CIN chance · BAL chance
Our model fair20.7%79.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CINCincinnati Bengals+38321%————
BALBaltimore Ravens−38379%————
SpreadBAL by 12.0
CINCincinnati Bengals+12our margin————
BALBaltimore Ravens−12our margin————
Totalwe expect 56.5
Over56.5our total————
Under56.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Baltimore Ravens by 12.0 expected
Cincinnati Bengals by 49 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 48 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 47 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 46 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 45 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 44 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 43 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 42 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 41 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 40 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 39 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 38 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 37 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 36 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 35 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 34 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 33 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 32 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 31 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 30 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 29 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 28 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 27 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 26 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 25 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 24 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 23 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 22 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 21 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 20 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 19 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 18 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 17 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 16 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 15 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 14 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 13 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 12 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 11 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 10 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 9 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 8 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 7 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 6 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 5 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 4 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 3 points: 5%Cincinnati Bengals by 2 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 1 point: 2%Tie: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 1 point: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 2 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 3 points: 6%Baltimore Ravens by 4 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 5 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 6 points: 4%Baltimore Ravens by 7 points: 4%Baltimore Ravens by 8 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 9 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 10 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 11 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 12 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 13 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 14 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 15 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 16 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 17 points: 4%Baltimore Ravens by 18 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 19 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 20 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 21 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 22 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 23 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 24 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 25 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 26 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 27 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 28 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 29 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 30 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 31 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 32 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 33 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 34 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 35 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 36 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 37 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 38 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 39 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 40 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 41 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 42 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 43 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 44 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 45 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 46 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 47 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 48 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 49 points: <1%
← CIN wins byBAL wins by →
Baltimore Ravens wins by 3 or more75%
Baltimore Ravens wins by 7 or more61%
Baltimore Ravens wins by 10 or more52%
Within 3 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

56.5 expected
20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: <1%23 points: <1%24 points: <1%25 points: <1%26 points: <1%27 points: <1%28 points: <1%29 points: 1%30 points: 1%31 points: 1%32 points: 1%33 points: 1%34 points: 1%35 points: 1%36 points: 1%37 points: 2%38 points: 1%39 points: 1%40 points: 2%41 points: 2%42 points: 2%43 points: 2%44 points: 2%45 points: 2%46 points: 2%47 points: 3%48 points: 2%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 3%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 2%63 points: 2%64 points: 2%65 points: 2%66 points: 2%67 points: 2%68 points: 2%69 points: 2%70 points: 1%71 points: 2%72 points: 1%73 points: 2%74 points: 2%75 points: 1%76 points: 1%77 points: 1%78 points: 1%79 points: 1%80 points: 1%81 points: 1%82 points: 1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: <1%90 points: 1%91 points: <1%92 points: <1%93 points: <1%94 points: <1%95 points: <1%96 points: <1%97 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 49.565%
Total over 56.549%
Total over 63.533%
Total from 50 to 6332%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
CINJoe Burrow · last 3 games: 71% completions, 155 yds/game, 3 TD, 1 INTstarted
BALLamar Jackson · last 3 games: 57% completions, 174 yds/game, 1 TD, 2 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CIN·BAL
Nov 23, 2025 vs NE
last game
Nov 23, 2025 vs NYJ
3 days
days of rest
3 days
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 11+ games
CIN·BAL
−0.58
rating (0 = average)
+0.52
22.5
points / game
25.0
32.7
points allowed / game
23.7
3−8
season record
6−5
2−4
home record
3−3
1−4
away record
3−2
L4
streak
W5
2−8
last 10
6−4
307
total yards / game
315
5.1
yards / play
5.6
222
passing yards / game
177
85
rushing yards / game
138
19.2
first downs / game
18.3
1.5
turnovers / game
1.2

Rating Trend

CIN · BAL · 34 days
Cincinnati BengalsBaltimore Ravens
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · BAL 5−4
Nov 7, 2024at BALBAL 35 − 34
Oct 6, 2024at CINBAL 41 − 38
Nov 16, 2023at BALBAL 34 − 20
Sep 17, 2023at CINBAL 27 − 24
Jan 15, 2023at CINCIN 24 − 17post
Jan 8, 2023at CINCIN 27 − 16
Oct 9, 2022at BALBAL 19 − 17
Dec 26, 2021at CINCIN 41 − 21
Oct 24, 2021at BALCIN 41 − 17

CIN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Nov 23, 2025vs NE20 − 26L
Nov 16, 2025at PIT12 − 34L
Nov 2, 2025vs CHI42 − 47L
Oct 26, 2025vs NYJ38 − 39L
Oct 16, 2025vs PIT33 − 31W
Oct 12, 2025at GB18 − 27L
Oct 5, 2025vs DET24 − 37L
Sep 29, 2025at DEN3 − 28L
Sep 21, 2025at MIN10 − 48L
Sep 14, 2025vs JAX31 − 27W

BAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W5
Nov 23, 2025vs NYJ23 − 10W
Nov 16, 2025at CLE23 − 16W
Nov 9, 2025at MIN27 − 19W
Oct 30, 2025at MIA28 − 6W
Oct 26, 2025vs CHI30 − 16W
Oct 12, 2025vs LAR3 − 17L
Oct 5, 2025vs HOU10 − 44L
Sep 28, 2025at KC20 − 37L
Sep 22, 2025vs DET30 − 38L
Sep 14, 2025vs CLE41 − 17W