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Raiders at Eagles

NFL · Sunday, Dec 14 · 12:00 PM CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Final LV 0 – PHI 31
← NFL / Dec 14, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LV00000
PHI7107731
Team box
LV·PHI
75
total yards
387
29
passing yards
204
46
rushing yards
183
7
first downs
27
3-12
third downs
10-13
1
turnovers
0
20:35
time of possession
39:25
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Kenny PickettLV15/256401
Jalen HurtsPHI12/1517530
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Ashton JeantyLV9350
Saquon BarkleyPHI22781
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Brock BowersLV6280
Dallas GoedertPHI6702

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +31
LV +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 31 · LV 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LV 12%, PHI 88% · Updated Dec 14, 2025

Expected margin
PHI by 16.2
Expected score
PHI 28.2 – 12.0 LV
Expected total
40.2
RaidersThe matchupEagles
+702Our fair odds−702
12.0Expected points28.2
−1.23Power rating+0.59
15.1Points / game22.2
25.5Allowed / game20.8
257Total yards / game309
4.5Yards / play5.3
184Passing yards / game199
2−11Season record8−5
1−9Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LV chance · PHI chance
Our model fair12.5%87.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LVLas Vegas Raiders+70212%————
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles−70288%————
SpreadPHI by 16.2
LVLas Vegas Raiders+16.2our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles−16.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 40.2
Over40.2our total————
Under40.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia Eagles by 16.2 expected
Las Vegas Raiders by 50 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 49 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 48 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 47 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 46 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 45 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 44 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 43 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 42 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 41 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 40 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 39 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 38 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 37 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 36 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 35 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 34 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 33 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 32 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 31 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 30 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 29 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 28 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 27 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 26 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 25 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 24 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 23 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 22 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 21 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 20 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 19 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 18 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 17 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 16 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 15 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 14 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 13 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 12 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 11 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 10 points: 1%Las Vegas Raiders by 9 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 8 points: <1%Las Vegas Raiders by 7 points: 1%Las Vegas Raiders by 6 points: 1%Las Vegas Raiders by 5 points: 1%Las Vegas Raiders by 4 points: 1%Las Vegas Raiders by 3 points: 3%Las Vegas Raiders by 2 points: 1%Las Vegas Raiders by 1 point: 1%Tie: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 1 point: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 3 points: 5%Philadelphia Eagles by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 6 points: 4%Philadelphia Eagles by 7 points: 4%Philadelphia Eagles by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 9 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 11 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 14 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 17 points: 5%Philadelphia Eagles by 18 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 20 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 21 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 22 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 23 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 24 points: 4%Philadelphia Eagles by 25 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 26 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 27 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 28 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 31 points: 4%Philadelphia Eagles by 32 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 34 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 35 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 36 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 37 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 38 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 40 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 41 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 42 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 43 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 48 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 49 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 50 points: <1%
← LV wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia Eagles wins by 3 or more84%
Philadelphia Eagles wins by 7 or more72%
Philadelphia Eagles wins by 10 or more64%
Within 3 points either way14%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

40.2 expected
7 points: <1%8 points: <1%9 points: <1%10 points: <1%11 points: <1%12 points: <1%13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: 1%17 points: 1%18 points: 1%19 points: 1%20 points: 1%21 points: 1%22 points: 1%23 points: 2%24 points: 1%25 points: 2%26 points: 2%27 points: 2%28 points: 2%29 points: 2%30 points: 3%31 points: 2%32 points: 2%33 points: 3%34 points: 3%35 points: 3%36 points: 3%37 points: 3%38 points: 3%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 3%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 2%48 points: 2%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 2%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 1%56 points: 1%57 points: 1%58 points: 1%59 points: 1%60 points: 1%61 points: 1%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: <1%67 points: <1%68 points: <1%69 points: <1%70 points: <1%71 points: <1%72 points: <1%73 points: <1%74 points: <1%75 points: <1%76 points: <1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 33.568%
Total over 40.547%
Total over 47.528%
Total from 34 to 4740%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
LVKenny Pickett · last 3 games: 71% completions, 35 yds/game, 1 TD, 0 INTstarted
PHIJalen Hurts · last 3 games: 59% completions, 253 yds/game, 3 TD, 5 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LV·PHI
Dec 7, 2025 vs DEN
last game
Dec 8, 2025 at LAC
6 days
days of rest
5 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
LV·PHI
−1.23
rating (0 = average)
+0.59
15.1
points / game
22.2
25.5
points allowed / game
20.8
2−11
season record
8−5
1−6
home record
4−2
1−5
away record
4−3
L7
streak
L3
1−9
last 10
5−5
257
total yards / game
309
4.5
yards / play
5.3
184
passing yards / game
199
73
rushing yards / game
110
16.2
first downs / game
17.2
1.3
turnovers / game
1.0

Rating Trend

LV · PHI · 42 days
Las Vegas RaidersPhiladelphia Eagles
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 1 meeting · PHI 0−1
Oct 24, 2021at LVLV 33 − 22

LV · Last 10

1−9 · streak L7
Dec 7, 2025vs DEN17 − 24L
Nov 30, 2025at LAC14 − 31L
Nov 23, 2025vs CLE10 − 24L
Nov 17, 2025vs DAL16 − 33L
Nov 6, 2025at DEN7 − 10L
Nov 2, 2025vs JAX29 − 30L
Oct 19, 2025at KC0 − 31L
Oct 12, 2025vs TEN20 − 10W
Oct 5, 2025at IND6 − 40L
Sep 28, 2025vs CHI24 − 25L

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Dec 8, 2025at LAC19 − 22L
Nov 28, 2025vs CHI15 − 24L
Nov 23, 2025at DAL21 − 24L
Nov 16, 2025vs DET16 − 9W
Nov 10, 2025at GB10 − 7W
Oct 26, 2025vs NYG38 − 20W
Oct 19, 2025at MIN28 − 22W
Oct 9, 2025at NYG17 − 34L
Oct 5, 2025vs DEN17 − 21L
Sep 28, 2025at TB31 − 25W