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Cardinals at Rams

NFL · Sunday, Oct 18 · 3:05 PM CT · SoFi Stadium · Final ARI 18 – LAR 16
← NFL / Oct 18

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ARI363618
LAR360716
Team box
ARI·LAR
338
total yards
286
218
passing yards
194
120
rushing yards
92
22
first downs
19
5-15
third downs
4-10
1
turnovers
1
34:52
time of possession
25:08
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Jacoby BrissettARI24/3521801
Matthew StaffordLAR25/3322220
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Bam KnightARI15800
Kyren WilliamsLAR10500
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Trey McBrideARI7530
Puka NacuaLAR6800

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAR +6
ARI +6
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAR 3 · ARI 6lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ARI 16%, LAR 84% · Updated Oct 18

Expected margin
LAR by 12.1
Expected score
LAR 32.4 – 20.3 ARI
Expected total
52.6
CardinalsThe matchupRams
+540Our fair odds−540
20.3Expected points32.4
−0.79Power rating+0.47
21.6Points / game23.8
32.4Allowed / game24.0
301Total yards / game424
4.4Yards / play6.0
210Passing yards / game308
1−4Season record2−3
1−9Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ARI chance · LAR chance
Our model fair15.6%84.4%
Kalshi14.8%87.8%
Polymarket US14.3%87.5%
ProphetX15.2%87.3%
Novig14.0%86.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 3:05 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 3:04 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 3:03 PM CTNovigpre-game · 3:04 PM CT
Moneyline
ARIArizona Cardinals+54016%+57414.8%+59914.3%+55615.2%+61414.0%
LARLos Angeles Rams−54084%−71987.8%−70387.5%−68687.3%−64186.5%
SpreadLAR by 12.1
ARIArizona Cardinals+12.1our margin+12.5 −10350.7%+12.5 −10350.7%+12.5 −10050.0%+12.5 +10449.0%
LARLos Angeles Rams−12.1our margin−12.5 −11653.7%−12.5 −11453.2%−12.5 −10952.2%−12.5 −10651.5%
Totalwe expect 52.6
Over52.6our totalo51.5 −10350.7%o51.5 −10150.2%o51.5 +10149.8%o51.5 +10648.5%
Under52.6our totalu51.5 −11653.7%u51.5 −11653.7%u51.5 −11152.7%u51.5 −10852.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Rams by 12.1 expected
Arizona Cardinals by 49 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 48 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 47 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 46 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 45 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 44 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 43 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 42 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 41 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 40 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 39 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 38 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 37 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 36 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 35 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 34 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 33 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 32 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 31 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 30 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 29 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 28 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 27 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 26 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 25 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 24 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 23 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 22 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 21 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 20 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 19 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 18 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 17 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 16 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 15 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 14 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 13 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 12 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 11 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 10 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 9 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 8 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 7 points: 2%Arizona Cardinals by 6 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 5 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 4 points: 2%Arizona Cardinals by 3 points: 5%Arizona Cardinals by 2 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 1 point: 2%Tie: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 2 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 3 points: 6%Los Angeles Rams by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 6 points: 4%Los Angeles Rams by 7 points: 4%Los Angeles Rams by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 9 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 11 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 16 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 17 points: 4%Los Angeles Rams by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 23 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 24 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 25 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 28 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 31 points: 3%Los Angeles Rams by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 34 points: 2%Los Angeles Rams by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 37 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 38 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 40 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 42 points: 1%Los Angeles Rams by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Rams by 49 points: <1%
← ARI wins byLAR wins by →
Los Angeles Rams wins by 3 or more75%
Los Angeles Rams wins by 7 or more61%
Los Angeles Rams wins by 10 or more52%
Within 3 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

52.6 expected
17 points: <1%18 points: <1%19 points: <1%20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: <1%23 points: <1%24 points: <1%25 points: <1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 1%30 points: 1%31 points: 1%32 points: 1%33 points: 1%34 points: 1%35 points: 1%36 points: 2%37 points: 2%38 points: 2%39 points: 2%40 points: 2%41 points: 2%42 points: 2%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 2%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 3%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 3%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 2%63 points: 2%64 points: 2%65 points: 2%66 points: 2%67 points: 1%68 points: 1%69 points: 1%70 points: 1%71 points: 1%72 points: 1%73 points: 1%74 points: 1%75 points: 1%76 points: 1%77 points: 1%78 points: 1%79 points: 1%80 points: 1%81 points: <1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: <1%90 points: <1%91 points: <1%92 points: <1%93 points: <1%94 points: <1%95 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 45.566%
Total over 52.548%
Total over 59.532%
Total from 46 to 5934%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
ARIJacoby Brissett · last 3 games: 66% completions, 246 yds/game, 7 TD, 4 INTstarted
LARMatthew Stafford · last 3 games: 64% completions, 363 yds/game, 5 TD, 4 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ARI·LAR
Oct 11 vs DET
last game
Oct 12 vs BUF
6 days
days of rest
5 days
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Inactives · Oct 18, 2026, 2:40 PM CT
Arizona Cardinals
ARIAndrew Billings · coach's decisionInactive
ARIAndrew Wingard · kneeInactive
ARICarson Beck · coach's decisionInactive
ARIJeremiyah Love · ankleInactive
ARIJerrick Reed II · coach's decisionInactive
ARIStarling Thomas V · coach's decisionInactive
ARIWydett Williams Jr. · concussionInactive
Los Angeles Rams
LARBill Murray · coach's decisionInactive
LARCJ Daniels · coach's decisionInactive
LARLarrell Murchison · coach's decisionInactive
LARTrent McDuffie · groinInactive
LARTutu Atwell · coach's decisionInactive
LARTy Simpson · coach's decisionInactive

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
ARI·LAR
−0.79
rating (0 = average)
+0.47
21.6
points / game
23.8
32.4
points allowed / game
24.0
1−4
season record
2−3
0−2
home record
1−2
1−2
away record
1−1
L4
streak
L1
1−9
last 10
5−5
301
total yards / game
424
4.4
yards / play
6.0
210
passing yards / game
308
92
rushing yards / game
117
19.8
first downs / game
24.6
1.0
turnovers / game
1.6

Rating Trend

ARI · LAR · 18 days
Arizona CardinalsLos Angeles Rams
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAR 8−2
Jan 4at LARLAR 37 − 20
Dec 7, 2025at ARILAR 45 − 17
Dec 28, 2024at LARLAR 13 − 9
Sep 15, 2024at ARIARI 41 − 10
Nov 26, 2023at ARILAR 37 − 14
Oct 15, 2023at LARLAR 26 − 9
Nov 13, 2022at LARARI 27 − 17
Sep 25, 2022at ARILAR 20 − 12
Jan 17, 2022at LARLAR 34 − 11post
Dec 13, 2021at ARILAR 30 − 23

ARI · Last 10

1−9 · streak L4
Oct 11vs DET21 − 45L
Oct 4at NYG24 − 36L
Sep 27at SF30 − 36L
Sep 20vs SEA7 − 31L
Sep 13at LAC26 − 14W
Jan 4at LAR20 − 37L
Dec 28, 2025at CIN14 − 37L
Dec 21, 2025vs ATL19 − 26L
Dec 14, 2025at HOU20 − 40L
Dec 7, 2025vs LAR17 − 45L

LAR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 12vs BUF34 − 37L
Oct 4at PHI24 − 20W
Sep 27at DEN26 − 30L
Sep 21vs NYG28 − 6W
Sep 10vs SF7 − 27L
Jan 25at SEA27 − 31L
Jan 18at CHI20 − 17W
Jan 10at CAR34 − 31W
Jan 4vs ARI37 − 20W
Dec 29, 2025at ATL24 − 27L