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Titans at Bengals

NFL · Sunday, Nov 1 · 12:00 PM CT · Paycor Stadium · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NFL / Nov 1

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
CIN by 12.5
Expected score
CIN 29.2 – 16.7 TEN
Expected total
46.0
TitansThe matchupBengals
+602Our fair odds−602
16.7Expected points29.2
−1.17Power rating+0.19
15.4Points / game27.2
22.3Allowed / game20.3
249Total yards / game345
4.6Yards / play5.8
157Passing yards / game264
1−6Season record4−2
2−8Last 106−4
Carnell Tate WR · Tommy Townsend P
Tyjae Spears RB · Dorian Mausi LB
Fernando Carmona GOut (5 each)Kyle Dugger S · Andrei Iosivas WR
Brian Parker II OT · Erick All Jr. TE
Ja'Sir Taylor CB

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TEN chance · CIN chance
Our model fair14.2%85.8%
Kalshi14.8%87.8%
Polymarket US14.6%87.3%
ProphetX15.6%86.9%
Novig14.0%86.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:19 AM CTPolymarket US4:19 AM CTProphetX4:17 AM CTNovig3:53 AM CT
Moneyline
TENTennessee Titans+60214%+57414.8%+58614.6%+54115.6%+61414.0%
CINCincinnati Bengals−60286%−71987.8%−68887.3%−66586.9%−64186.5%
SpreadCIN by 12.5
TENTennessee Titans+12.5our margin+13.5 −12154.7%+13.5 −12355.2%+13.5 −11954.4%+13.5 −11553.5%
CINCincinnati Bengals−12.5our margin−13.5 +10149.7%−13.5 +10548.7%−13.5 +10548.9%−13.5 +10848.0%
Totalwe expect 46.0
Over46.0our totalo46.5 −10751.8%o46.5 −10551.2%o46.5 −10250.5%o46.5 +10249.5%
Under46.0our totalu46.5 −11252.7%u46.5 −11252.7%u46.5 −10852.0%u46.5 −10451.0%

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cincinnati Bengals by 12.5 expected
Tennessee Titans by 49 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 48 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 47 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 46 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 45 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 44 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 43 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 42 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 41 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 40 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 39 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 38 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 37 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 36 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 35 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 34 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 33 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 32 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 31 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 30 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 29 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 28 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 27 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 26 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 25 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 24 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 23 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 22 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 21 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 20 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 19 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 18 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 17 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 16 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 15 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 14 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 13 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 12 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 11 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 10 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 9 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 8 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 7 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 6 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 5 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 4 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 3 points: 5%Tennessee Titans by 2 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 1 point: 2%Tie: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 1 point: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 2 points: 3%Cincinnati Bengals by 3 points: 6%Cincinnati Bengals by 4 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 5 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 6 points: 4%Cincinnati Bengals by 7 points: 4%Cincinnati Bengals by 8 points: 3%Cincinnati Bengals by 9 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 10 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 11 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 12 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 13 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 14 points: 3%Cincinnati Bengals by 15 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 16 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 17 points: 4%Cincinnati Bengals by 18 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 19 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 20 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 21 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 22 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 23 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 24 points: 3%Cincinnati Bengals by 25 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 26 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 27 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 28 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 29 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 30 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 31 points: 3%Cincinnati Bengals by 32 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 33 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 34 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 35 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 36 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 37 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 38 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 39 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 40 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 41 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 42 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 43 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 44 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 45 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 46 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 47 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 48 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 49 points: <1%
← TEN wins byCIN wins by →
Cincinnati Bengals wins by 3 or more76%
Cincinnati Bengals wins by 7 or more62%
Cincinnati Bengals wins by 10 or more53%
Within 3 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

46.0 expected
12 points: <1%13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: <1%17 points: <1%18 points: <1%19 points: 1%20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: 1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 2%30 points: 2%31 points: 2%32 points: 2%33 points: 2%34 points: 2%35 points: 2%36 points: 2%37 points: 3%38 points: 2%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 3%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 3%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 2%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 1%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: 1%67 points: 1%68 points: 1%69 points: 1%70 points: 1%71 points: 1%72 points: <1%73 points: 1%74 points: <1%75 points: <1%76 points: <1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%80 points: <1%81 points: <1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 38.569%
Total over 45.549%
Total over 52.530%
Total from 39 to 5238%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Probable Starting QBs

as announced
TENCam Ward · last 3 games: 61% completions, 151 yds/game, 1 TD, 3 INTdepth chart
CINJoe Burrow · last 3 games: 72% completions, 303 yds/game, 9 TD, 2 INTdepth chart

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TEN·CIN
Oct 25 vs CLE
last game
Oct 25 at BAL
6 days
days of rest
6 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Tennessee Titans
TENCarnell Tate WR · shoulder, back about Nov 15Out
TENTommy Townsend P · left knee, back about Nov 15Out
TENTyjae Spears RB · knee, back about Nov 15Out
TENCalvin Ridley WR · hip, back about Nov 1Questionable
TENJaylon Jones CB · knee, back about Nov 1Questionable
TENJohn Franklin-Myers DE · groin, back about Nov 1Questionable
TENDorian Mausi LB · undisclosedIR
TENFernando Carmona G · ankle sprain, back about Nov 1IR
TENJackson Slater G · foot, back about Nov 1IR
TENJaren Kanak TE · pectoral, back about Feb 15, 2027IR
and 4 more
Cincinnati Bengals
CINKyle Dugger S · left quadriceps, back about Nov 8Out
CINJoe Giles-Harris LB · calf, back about Nov 1Questionable
CINAndrei Iosivas WR · left thumb surgery, back about Nov 8IR
CINBrian Parker II OT · undisclosed, back about Nov 1IR
CINErick All Jr. TE · right knee - acl surgery, back about Feb 15, 2027IR
CINJa'Sir Taylor CB · undisclosedIR
CINJalen Davis CB · left hamstring, back about Nov 8IR
CINSwayze Bozeman LB · right forearm fracture, back about Nov 23IR
CINTanner Hudson TE · pectoral strain, back about Feb 15, 2027IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
TEN·CIN
−1.17
rating (0 = average)
+0.19
15.4
points / game
27.2
22.3
points allowed / game
20.3
1−6
season record
4−2
0−4
home record
1−1
1−2
away record
3−1
L1
streak
W2
2−8
last 10
6−4
249
total yards / game
345
4.6
yards / play
5.8
157
passing yards / game
264
91
rushing yards / game
81
15.3
first downs / game
21.0
1.4
turnovers / game
1.0

Rating Trend

TEN · CIN · 30 days
Tennessee TitansCincinnati Bengals
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 4 meetings · CIN 3−1
Dec 15, 2024at TENCIN 37 − 27
Oct 1, 2023at TENTEN 27 − 3
Nov 27, 2022at TENCIN 20 − 16
Jan 22, 2022at TENCIN 19 − 16post

TEN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Oct 25vs CLE24 − 27L
Oct 18at IND26 − 20W
Oct 11vs HOU3 − 26L
Oct 4at BAL18 − 24L
Sep 27at NYG7 − 12L
Sep 20vs PHI20 − 24L
Sep 13vs NYJ10 − 23L
Jan 4at JAX7 − 41L
Dec 28, 2025vs NO26 − 34L
Dec 21, 2025vs KC26 − 9W

CIN · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 25at BAL35 − 13W
Oct 11at MIA31 − 24W
Oct 4vs JAX17 − 22L
Sep 27at PIT27 − 30L
Sep 20at HOU20 − 6W
Sep 13vs TB33 − 27W
Jan 4vs CLE18 − 20L
Dec 28, 2025vs ARI37 − 14W
Dec 21, 2025at MIA45 − 21W
Dec 14, 2025vs BAL0 − 24L