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Browns at Titans

NFL · Sunday, Oct 25 · 12:00 PM CT · Nissan Stadium · Final CLE 27 – TEN 24
← NFL / Oct 25

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE71001027
TEN14001024
Team box
CLE·TEN
491
total yards
322
308
passing yards
181
183
rushing yards
141
26
first downs
18
5-11
third downs
5-13
2
turnovers
2
31:14
time of possession
28:46
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Deshaun WatsonCLE25/3630801
Cam WardTEN20/3118101
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Quinshon JudkinsCLE17962
Tony PollardTEN251293
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
KC ConcepcionCLE81290
Carnell TateTEN5690

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TEN +14
CLE +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TEN 14 · CLE 7lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 58%, TEN 42% · Updated Oct 25

Expected margin
CLE by 2.7
Expected score
CLE 19.4 – 16.7 TEN
Expected total
36.1
BrownsThe matchupTitans
−137Our fair odds+137
19.4Expected points16.7
−0.22Power rating−1.10
17.7Points / game14.0
20.3Allowed / game21.5
268Total yards / game236
4.6Yards / play4.4
174Passing yards / game154
4−2Season record1−5
6−4Last 102−8

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · TEN chance
Our model fair57.9%42.1%
Kalshi56.7%47.7%
Polymarket US56.7%47.0%
ProphetX56.1%46.7%
Novig55.5%45.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 12:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 11:59 AM CTProphetXpre-game · 11:59 AM CTNovigpre-game · 11:58 AM CT
Moneyline
CLECleveland Browns−13758%−13156.7%−13156.7%−12856.1%−12555.5%
TENTennessee Titans+13742%+10947.7%+11347.0%+11446.7%+12245.0%
SpreadCLE by 2.7
CLECleveland Browns−2.7our margin−1.5 −11252.7%−1.5 −10952.2%−1.5 −10852.0%−1.5 −10651.5%
TENTennessee Titans+2.7our margin+1.5 −10751.8%+1.5 −10751.7%+1.5 −10350.8%+1.5 +10249.5%
Totalwe expect 36.1
Over36.1our totalo36.5 −11653.7%o36.5 −11453.2%o36.5 −10751.7%o36.5 −10852.0%
Under36.1our totalu36.5 −10350.7%u36.5 −10350.7%u36.5 −10350.8%u36.5 +10449.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Browns by 2.7 expected
Cleveland Browns by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 29 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 27 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 26 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 16 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 15 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 14 points: 4%Cleveland Browns by 13 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 12 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 11 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Browns by 9 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 8 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 7 points: 5%Cleveland Browns by 6 points: 4%Cleveland Browns by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Browns by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Browns by 3 points: 9%Cleveland Browns by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 1 point: 3%Tie: <1%Tennessee Titans by 1 point: 2%Tennessee Titans by 2 points: 3%Tennessee Titans by 3 points: 7%Tennessee Titans by 4 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 5 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 6 points: 4%Tennessee Titans by 7 points: 3%Tennessee Titans by 8 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 9 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 10 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 11 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 12 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 13 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 14 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 15 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 16 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 17 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 18 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 19 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 20 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 21 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 22 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 23 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 24 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 25 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 26 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 27 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 28 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 29 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 30 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 31 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 32 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 33 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 34 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 35 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 36 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 37 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 38 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 39 points: <1%
← CLE wins byTEN wins by →
Cleveland Browns wins by 3 or more54%
Cleveland Browns wins by 7 or more35%
Cleveland Browns wins by 10 or more27%
Within 3 points either way26%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

36.1 expected
3 points: <1%4 points: <1%5 points: <1%6 points: <1%7 points: <1%8 points: <1%9 points: <1%10 points: <1%11 points: <1%12 points: <1%13 points: 1%14 points: 1%15 points: 1%16 points: 1%17 points: 1%18 points: 1%19 points: 2%20 points: 1%21 points: 2%22 points: 2%23 points: 2%24 points: 2%25 points: 2%26 points: 3%27 points: 3%28 points: 2%29 points: 3%30 points: 3%31 points: 3%32 points: 3%33 points: 3%34 points: 3%35 points: 3%36 points: 3%37 points: 3%38 points: 3%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 2%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 2%46 points: 2%47 points: 2%48 points: 2%49 points: 2%50 points: 1%51 points: 2%52 points: 1%53 points: 1%54 points: 1%55 points: 1%56 points: 1%57 points: 1%58 points: 1%59 points: 1%60 points: 1%61 points: 1%62 points: <1%63 points: <1%64 points: <1%65 points: <1%66 points: <1%67 points: <1%68 points: <1%69 points: <1%70 points: <1%71 points: <1%72 points: <1%73 points: <1%74 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 29.569%
Total over 36.547%
Total over 43.527%
Total from 30 to 4342%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
CLEDeshaun Watson · last 3 games: 60% completions, 196 yds/game, 2 TD, 1 INTstarted
TENCam Ward · last 3 games: 61% completions, 165 yds/game, 2 TD, 3 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·TEN
Oct 18 vs BAL
last game
Oct 18 at IND
6 days
days of rest
6 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Weather

forecast for kickoff · NWS
temp72°F · sunny
wind0 mph
rain0% chance

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Inactives · Oct 25, 2026, 11:30 AM CT
Cleveland Browns
CLEAudric Estime · coach's decisionInactive
CLEJustin Jefferson · coach's decisionInactive
CLEMike Hall Jr. · ankleInactive
CLENoah Igbinoghene · coach's decisionInactive
CLEParker Brailsford · coach's decisionInactive
CLETaylen Green · coach's decisionInactive
Tennessee Titans
TENBrandon Crenshaw-Dickson · coach's decisionInactive
TENCalvin Ridley · hipInactive
TENJackie Marshall · coach's decisionInactive
TENJaylon Jones · coach's decisionInactive
TENKylen Granson · coach's decisionInactive
TENNicholas Singleton · coach's decisionInactive
TENTyjae Spears · kneeInactive

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
CLE·TEN
−0.22
rating (0 = average)
−1.10
17.7
points / game
14.0
20.3
points allowed / game
21.5
4−2
season record
1−5
3−0
home record
0−3
1−2
away record
1−2
W1
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
2−8
268
total yards / game
236
4.6
yards / play
4.4
174
passing yards / game
154
94
rushing yards / game
83
15.8
first downs / game
14.8
1.2
turnovers / game
1.3

Rating Trend

CLE · TEN · 25 days
Cleveland BrownsTennessee Titans
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 2 meetings · TEN 1−1
Dec 7, 2025at CLETEN 31 − 29
Sep 24, 2023at CLECLE 27 − 3

CLE · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 18vs BAL13 − 10W
Oct 11at NYJ12 − 17L
Oct 1vs PIT27 − 24W
Sep 27vs CAR21 − 18W
Sep 20at TB23 − 19W
Sep 13at JAX10 − 34L
Jan 4at CIN20 − 18W
Dec 28, 2025vs PIT13 − 6W
Dec 21, 2025vs BUF20 − 23L
Dec 14, 2025at CHI3 − 31L

TEN · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Oct 18at IND26 − 20W
Oct 11vs HOU3 − 26L
Oct 4at BAL18 − 24L
Sep 27at NYG7 − 12L
Sep 20vs PHI20 − 24L
Sep 13vs NYJ10 − 23L
Jan 4at JAX7 − 41L
Dec 28, 2025vs NO26 − 34L
Dec 21, 2025vs KC26 − 9W
Dec 14, 2025at SF24 − 37L