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Titans at Browns

NFL · Sunday, Dec 7 · 12:00 PM CT · Huntington Bank Field · Final TEN 31 – CLE 29
← NFL / Dec 7, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TEN14071031
CLE31401229
Team box
TEN·CLE
292
total yards
412
108
passing yards
351
184
rushing yards
61
13
first downs
22
6-17
third downs
6-14
1
turnovers
2
31:56
time of possession
28:04
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Cam WardTEN14/2811721
Shedeur SandersCLE23/4236431
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Tony PollardTEN251612
Shedeur SandersCLE3291
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Tyjae SpearsTEN2280
Harold Fannin Jr.CLE81141

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +14
TEN +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 3 · TEN 14lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TEN 31%, CLE 69% · Updated Dec 7, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 7.8
Expected score
CLE 21.4 – 13.7 TEN
Expected total
35.1
TitansThe matchupBrowns
+224Our fair odds−224
13.7Expected points21.4
−1.45Power rating−0.87
14.2Points / game16.2
27.3Allowed / game22.5
242Total yards / game258
4.1Yards / play4.2
166Passing yards / game160
1−11Season record3−9
1−9Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TEN chance · CLE chance
Our model fair30.8%69.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TENTennessee Titans+22431%————
CLECleveland Browns−22469%————
SpreadCLE by 7.8
TENTennessee Titans+7.8our margin————
CLECleveland Browns−7.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 35.1
Over35.1our total————
Under35.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Browns by 7.8 expected
Tennessee Titans by 47 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 46 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 45 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 44 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 43 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 42 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 41 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 40 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 39 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 38 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 37 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 36 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 35 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 34 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 33 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 32 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 31 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 30 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 29 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 28 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 27 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 26 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 25 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 24 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 23 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 22 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 21 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 20 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 19 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 18 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 17 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 16 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 15 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 14 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 13 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 12 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 11 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 10 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 9 points: <1%Tennessee Titans by 8 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 7 points: 3%Tennessee Titans by 6 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 5 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 4 points: 2%Tennessee Titans by 3 points: 6%Tennessee Titans by 2 points: 1%Tennessee Titans by 1 point: 2%Tie: <1%Cleveland Browns by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Browns by 2 points: 3%Cleveland Browns by 3 points: 7%Cleveland Browns by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 6 points: 4%Cleveland Browns by 7 points: 4%Cleveland Browns by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Browns by 9 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 10 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 11 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 15 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 16 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 17 points: 4%Cleveland Browns by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 31 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 47 points: <1%
← TEN wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Browns wins by 3 or more65%
Cleveland Browns wins by 7 or more49%
Cleveland Browns wins by 10 or more41%
Within 3 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

35.1 expected
3 points: <1%4 points: <1%5 points: <1%6 points: <1%7 points: <1%8 points: <1%9 points: 1%10 points: <1%11 points: <1%12 points: <1%13 points: 1%14 points: 1%15 points: 1%16 points: 1%17 points: 1%18 points: 1%19 points: 2%20 points: 1%21 points: 2%22 points: 2%23 points: 2%24 points: 2%25 points: 2%26 points: 3%27 points: 3%28 points: 3%29 points: 3%30 points: 3%31 points: 3%32 points: 3%33 points: 3%34 points: 3%35 points: 3%36 points: 3%37 points: 3%38 points: 3%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 2%43 points: 2%44 points: 3%45 points: 2%46 points: 2%47 points: 2%48 points: 2%49 points: 2%50 points: 1%51 points: 2%52 points: 1%53 points: 1%54 points: 1%55 points: 1%56 points: 1%57 points: 1%58 points: 1%59 points: 1%60 points: <1%61 points: <1%62 points: <1%63 points: <1%64 points: <1%65 points: <1%66 points: <1%67 points: <1%68 points: <1%69 points: <1%70 points: <1%71 points: <1%72 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 28.569%
Total over 35.548%
Total over 42.527%
Total from 29 to 4242%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
TENCam Ward · last 3 games: 65% completions, 197 yds/game, 2 TD, 0 INTstarted
CLEShedeur Sanders · last 3 games: 51% completions, 135 yds/game, 2 TD, 2 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TEN·CLE
Nov 30, 2025 vs JAX
last game
Nov 30, 2025 vs SF
6 days
days of rest
6 days
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 12+ games
TEN·CLE
−1.45
rating (0 = average)
−0.87
14.2
points / game
16.2
27.3
points allowed / game
22.5
1−11
season record
3−9
0−7
home record
2−4
1−4
away record
1−5
L7
streak
L1
1−9
last 10
3−7
242
total yards / game
258
4.1
yards / play
4.2
166
passing yards / game
160
77
rushing yards / game
98
15.0
first downs / game
16.1
1.3
turnovers / game
1.2

Rating Trend

TEN · CLE · 39 days
Tennessee TitansCleveland Browns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 1 meeting · CLE 1−0
Sep 24, 2023at CLECLE 27 − 3

TEN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L7
Nov 30, 2025vs JAX3 − 25L
Nov 23, 2025vs SEA24 − 30L
Nov 16, 2025vs HOU13 − 16L
Nov 2, 2025vs LAC20 − 27L
Oct 26, 2025at IND14 − 38L
Oct 19, 2025vs NE13 − 31L
Oct 12, 2025at LV10 − 20L
Oct 5, 2025at ARI22 − 21W
Sep 28, 2025at HOU0 − 26L
Sep 21, 2025vs IND20 − 41L

CLE · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Nov 30, 2025vs SF8 − 26L
Nov 23, 2025at LV24 − 10W
Nov 16, 2025vs BAL16 − 23L
Nov 9, 2025at NYJ20 − 27L
Oct 26, 2025at NE13 − 32L
Oct 19, 2025vs MIA31 − 6W
Oct 12, 2025at PIT9 − 23L
Oct 5, 2025vs MIN17 − 21L
Sep 28, 2025at DET10 − 34L
Sep 21, 2025vs GB13 − 10W