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Ravens at Browns

NFL · Sunday, Oct 18 · 12:00 PM CT · Huntington Bank Field · Final BAL 10 – CLE 13
← NFL / Oct 18

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BAL1000010
CLE0031013
Team box
BAL·CLE
235
total yards
237
148
passing yards
144
87
rushing yards
93
13
first downs
14
6-16
third downs
5-16
1
turnovers
0
28:07
time of possession
31:53
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Tyler HuntleyBAL19/3116510
Deshaun WatsonCLE16/2616400
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Derrick HenryBAL17580
Jaleel McLaughlinCLE9410
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Zay FlowersBAL6660
Jerry JeudyCLE4690

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +10
BAL +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 3 · BAL 10lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BAL 62%, CLE 38% · Updated Oct 18

Expected margin
BAL by 6.4
Expected score
BAL 25.1 – 18.7 CLE
Expected total
43.7
RavensThe matchupBrowns
−160Our fair odds+160
25.1Expected points18.7
+0.33Power rating−0.35
29.2Points / game18.6
23.8Allowed / game22.4
394Total yards / game274
6.4Yards / play4.7
230Passing yards / game179
4−1Season record3−2
6−4Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BAL chance · CLE chance
Our model fair61.6%38.4%
Kalshi63.6%40.7%
Polymarket US63.1%40.4%
ProphetX62.3%40.6%
Novig61.5%39.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 12:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 11:59 AM CTProphetXpre-game · 11:58 AM CTNovigpre-game · 11:58 AM CT
Moneyline
BALBaltimore Ravens−16062%−17563.6%−17163.1%−16562.3%−16061.5%
CLECleveland Browns+16038%+14640.7%+14840.4%+14640.6%+15639.0%
SpreadBAL by 6.4
BALBaltimore Ravens−6.4our margin−3.5 +10548.7%−3.5 +10548.7%−3.5 +10947.8%−3.5 +11546.5%
CLECleveland Browns+6.4our margin+3.5 −12655.7%+3.5 −12355.2%+3.5 −12255.0%+3.5 −11754.0%
Totalwe expect 43.7
Over43.7our totalo39.5 −10751.8%o39.5 −10751.7%o39.5 −10651.5%o39.5 −10451.0%
Under43.7our totalu39.5 −11252.7%u39.5 −10952.2%u39.5 −10350.8%u39.5 +10249.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Baltimore Ravens by 6.4 expected
Baltimore Ravens by 40 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 39 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 38 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 37 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 36 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 35 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 34 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 33 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 32 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 31 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 30 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 29 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 28 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 27 points: <1%Baltimore Ravens by 26 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 25 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 24 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 23 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 22 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 21 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 20 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 19 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 18 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 17 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 16 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 15 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 14 points: 4%Baltimore Ravens by 13 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 12 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 11 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 10 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 9 points: 1%Baltimore Ravens by 8 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 7 points: 5%Baltimore Ravens by 6 points: 4%Baltimore Ravens by 5 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 4 points: 3%Baltimore Ravens by 3 points: 8%Baltimore Ravens by 2 points: 2%Baltimore Ravens by 1 point: 3%Tie: <1%Cleveland Browns by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Browns by 2 points: 3%Cleveland Browns by 3 points: 6%Cleveland Browns by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 5 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Browns by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Browns by 8 points: 2%Cleveland Browns by 9 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 10 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 11 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 12 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 13 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 14 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 15 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 16 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 17 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Browns by 19 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 20 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 21 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 22 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 23 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 24 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 25 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 26 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 27 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 28 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 29 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Browns by 40 points: <1%
← BAL wins byCLE wins by →
Baltimore Ravens wins by 3 or more64%
Baltimore Ravens wins by 7 or more46%
Baltimore Ravens wins by 10 or more38%
Within 3 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

43.7 expected
10 points: <1%11 points: <1%12 points: <1%13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: <1%17 points: <1%18 points: <1%19 points: 1%20 points: 1%21 points: 1%22 points: 1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 2%27 points: 2%28 points: 1%29 points: 2%30 points: 2%31 points: 2%32 points: 2%33 points: 2%34 points: 2%35 points: 2%36 points: 3%37 points: 3%38 points: 3%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 3%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 1%57 points: 2%58 points: 2%59 points: 1%60 points: 1%61 points: 1%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: 1%67 points: 1%68 points: 1%69 points: 1%70 points: <1%71 points: <1%72 points: <1%73 points: <1%74 points: <1%75 points: <1%76 points: <1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%80 points: <1%81 points: <1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 36.569%
Total over 43.548%
Total over 50.530%
Total from 37 to 5039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
BALTyler Huntley · last 3 games: 79% completions, 124 yds/game, 3 TD, 0 INTstarted
CLEDeshaun Watson · last 3 games: 57% completions, 189 yds/game, 4 TD, 1 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BAL·CLE
Oct 11 at ATL
last game
Oct 11 at NYJ
6 days
days of rest
6 days
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Weather

forecast for kickoff · NWS
temp57°F · sunny
wind8 mph S
rain0% chance

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Inactives · Oct 18, 2026, 11:30 AM CT
Baltimore Ravens
BALAndrew Vorhees · footInactive
BALBroderick Washington Jr. · ankleInactive
BALCam Jurgens · concussionInactive
BALElijah Sarratt · coach's decisionInactive
BALK'Von Wallace · coach's decisionInactive
BALLamar Jackson · ankleInactive
BALMatt Hibner · handInactive
Cleveland Browns
CLEMason Graham · knee - mclInactive
CLEMike Hall Jr. · ankleInactive
CLENoah Igbinoghene · coach's decisionInactive
CLEParker Brailsford · coach's decisionInactive
CLEQuinshon Judkins · footInactive
CLETaylen Green · coach's decisionInactive
CLETeven Jenkins · backInactive

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
BAL·CLE
+0.33
rating (0 = average)
−0.35
29.2
points / game
18.6
23.8
points allowed / game
22.4
4−1
season record
3−2
1−1
home record
2−0
3−0
away record
1−2
W3
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
5−5
394
total yards / game
274
6.4
yards / play
4.7
230
passing yards / game
179
164
rushing yards / game
94
21.6
first downs / game
16.2
0.6
turnovers / game
1.4

Rating Trend

BAL · CLE · 18 days
Baltimore RavensCleveland Browns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 4−6
Nov 16, 2025at CLEBAL 23 − 16
Sep 14, 2025at BALBAL 41 − 17
Jan 4, 2025at BALBAL 35 − 10
Oct 27, 2024at CLECLE 29 − 24
Nov 12, 2023at BALCLE 33 − 31
Oct 1, 2023at CLEBAL 28 − 3
Dec 17, 2022at CLECLE 13 − 3
Oct 23, 2022at BALBAL 23 − 20
Dec 12, 2021at CLECLE 24 − 22
Nov 28, 2021at BALBAL 16 − 10

BAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Oct 11at ATL30 − 23W
Oct 4vs TEN24 − 18W
Sep 27at DAL34 − 31W
Sep 20vs NO17 − 24L
Sep 13at IND41 − 23W
Jan 4at PIT24 − 26L
Dec 27, 2025at GB41 − 24W
Dec 21, 2025vs NE24 − 28L
Dec 14, 2025at CIN24 − 0W
Dec 7, 2025vs PIT22 − 27L

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 11at NYJ12 − 17L
Oct 1vs PIT27 − 24W
Sep 27vs CAR21 − 18W
Sep 20at TB23 − 19W
Sep 13at JAX10 − 34L
Jan 4at CIN20 − 18W
Dec 28, 2025vs PIT13 − 6W
Dec 21, 2025vs BUF20 − 23L
Dec 14, 2025at CHI3 − 31L
Dec 7, 2025vs TEN29 − 31L